The Indore-based company, formerly known as Devki Leasing and Finance Limited until its name change in September 2022, operates in the industrial glass trading segment. Despite the micro-cap status and limited institutional interest, the company has demonstrated remarkable long-term growth with five-year sales growth of 52.60%, though recent quarters reveal operational challenges that warrant closer examination.
Financial Performance: Revenue Surge Masks Margin Deterioration
In Q2 FY26, Agarwal Fortune India reported net sales of ₹2.29 crores, marking a sequential increase of 7.01% from ₹2.14 crores in Q1 FY26. More impressively, the year-on-year comparison reveals extraordinary growth of 349.02% compared to ₹0.51 crores in Q2 FY24, signalling a substantial revival in trading activity after a period of subdued operations.
| Quarter | Net Sales (₹ Cr) | QoQ Change | Net Profit (₹ Cr) | PAT Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep'25 | 2.29 | +7.01% | 0.01 | 0.44% |
| Jun'25 | 2.14 | -8.15% | 0.03 | 1.40% |
| Mar'25 | 2.33 | +429.55% | 0.10 | 4.29% |
| Dec'24 | 0.44 | -13.73% | 0.04 | 9.09% |
| Sep'24 | 0.51 | -55.26% | 0.04 | 7.84% |
| Jun'24 | 1.14 | -37.70% | 0.02 | 1.75% |
| Mar'24 | 1.83 | — | 0.01 | 0.55% |
However, the profitability picture tells a concerning story. Operating profit margin (excluding other income) compressed to 3.49% in Q2 FY26 from 3.74% in Q1 FY26, though showing improvement from the negative territory of -0.88% in Jun'24. PAT margin deteriorated sharply to 0.44% from 1.40% in the previous quarter, representing a contraction of 96 basis points. This margin pressure stemmed from rising interest costs, which increased to ₹0.06 crores in Q2 FY26 from ₹0.04 crores in Q1 FY26, reflecting higher working capital requirements to support expanded trading volumes.
The quality of earnings remains questionable with virtually zero tax paid in Q2 FY26, continuing a pattern observed across recent quarters. Employee costs remained minimal at ₹0.02 crores, consistent with the previous quarter, suggesting a lean operational structure typical of micro-cap trading enterprises.
Operational Challenges: Leverage and Profitability Concerns
Agarwal Fortune India's operational metrics reveal a company grappling with structural challenges despite revenue growth. The company's return on equity stands at 21.00% as of the latest quarter, demonstrating reasonable capital efficiency, though this has declined from the five-year average of 26.02%. Higher ROE typically indicates better performance and efficient capital deployment, making this downward trend a point requiring attention.
⚠️ High Leverage Alert
Net Debt to Equity: 1.24 (Average)
The company operates with elevated leverage levels, with net debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24, significantly higher than optimal levels for a trading business. This high leverage amplifies both returns and risks, making the business vulnerable to working capital cycles and interest rate fluctuations. Rising interest costs from ₹0.00 crores in Mar'24 to ₹0.06 crores in Sep'25 reflect this growing financial burden.
The company's ROCE (Return on Capital Employed) stands at a mere 0.53%, indicating poor returns on the capital deployed in the business. This extremely low ROCE suggests that the company is not generating adequate returns relative to the capital invested, raising questions about the sustainability of the business model and capital allocation efficiency.
Operating cash flow dynamics reveal concerning trends. For H1 FY26, the company reported operating cash flow of ₹0.14 crores, representing the highest level in recent periods. However, the quarterly volatility in working capital management, evidenced by the dramatic swings in revenue between quarters, suggests challenges in maintaining consistent operational rhythm.
Industry Context: Navigating a Competitive Glass Trading Landscape
The industrial glass trading sector in India remains highly fragmented with numerous small players competing on thin margins. Agarwal Fortune India operates in this challenging environment with limited scale advantages, facing competition from both organised players and unorganised traders. The company's micro-cap status with market capitalisation of just ₹8.00 crores positions it at the extreme lower end of the listed universe, limiting access to growth capital and institutional investor interest.
The dramatic revenue fluctuations—ranging from ₹0.44 crores in Dec'24 to ₹2.33 crores in Mar'25—suggest a lumpy order book typical of small-scale trading operations rather than stable, recurring business. This volatility makes financial forecasting extremely difficult and increases execution risks.
Zero Institutional Interest
Agarwal Fortune India has zero institutional holdings from FIIs, mutual funds, and insurance companies. This complete absence of institutional participation reflects the company's micro-cap status, limited liquidity, and lack of visibility in the investment community. The promoter holding stands at 49.32%, with the remaining 50.68% held by non-institutional investors, indicating a retail-dominated shareholder base.
Peer Comparison: Premium Valuation Without Justification
When compared to peers in the industrial products sector, Agarwal Fortune India trades at a significant premium on most valuation metrics despite weaker fundamentals. The company's P/E ratio of 37.19x substantially exceeds the sector median, while its return on equity of 26.02% (five-year average) compares favourably to most peers.
| Company | P/E (TTM) | P/BV | ROE (%) | Debt/Equity | Market Cap (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agarwal Fortune | 37.19 | 7.81 | 26.02 | 1.24 | 8.00 |
| Sampann Utpadan | 39.69 | 18.62 | 0.00 | 10.42 | — |
| Shilp Gravures | 37.69 | 1.48 | 9.68 | -0.36 | — |
| Cubex Tubings | 19.09 | 1.75 | 4.95 | 0.42 | — |
| Rishiroop | 10.09 | 0.85 | 13.99 | -0.12 | — |
Agarwal Fortune's price-to-book value of 7.81x appears excessive compared to peers like Shilp Gravures (1.48x) and Cubex Tubings (1.75x), particularly given the company's minimal asset base and trading-oriented business model. The only justification for this premium might be the company's superior ROE of 26.02%, which exceeds most peers. However, this ROE advantage is offset by significantly higher leverage of 1.24x compared to peers with negative or minimal debt.
Valuation Analysis: Expensive Territory Without Growth Visibility
Agarwal Fortune India's valuation metrics suggest the stock trades at unjustifiably expensive levels given its operational profile and growth uncertainties. The company carries an overall valuation grade of "VERY EXPENSIVE" according to proprietary assessment parameters, having been in this category since August 2023.
At a P/E ratio of 37.19x, the stock trades at a 61.70% premium to the industrial products sector average of 23x, despite lacking the scale, visibility, or growth consistency to justify such a premium. The PEG ratio of 0.41x appears attractive superficially, but this metric loses relevance given the extreme volatility in quarterly earnings and questionable sustainability of growth rates.
The stock currently trades at ₹22.25, down 14.42% from its 52-week high of ₹26.00 but up 34.20% from its 52-week low of ₹16.58. This trading range reflects the stock's volatility and limited liquidity, with daily volumes averaging just 202 shares—effectively making this an illiquid investment unsuitable for most investors.
"With a market cap of just ₹8 crores, near-zero institutional interest, and extreme illiquidity, Agarwal Fortune India represents a speculative micro-cap bet rather than a conventional investment opportunity."
Shareholding Pattern: Stable but Uninspiring
The shareholding pattern of Agarwal Fortune India has remained completely static over the past five quarters, with promoter holding fixed at 49.32% and non-institutional investors holding the remaining 50.68%. This stability, while providing some comfort regarding promoter commitment, also reflects the complete absence of institutional interest or trading activity.
| Quarter | Promoter % | FII % | MF % | Insurance % | Non-Inst % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep'25 | 49.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 50.68% |
| Jun'25 | 49.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 50.68% |
| Mar'25 | 49.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 50.68% |
| Dec'24 | 49.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 50.68% |
| Sep'24 | 49.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 50.68% |
Mahesh Kumar Agarwal holds the entire 49.32% promoter stake, with no pledging of shares reported. The absence of any institutional participation—zero holdings from FIIs, mutual funds, and insurance companies—severely limits the stock's liquidity and discovery potential. This retail-dominated shareholder base increases volatility and makes the stock susceptible to manipulation given its tiny market capitalisation.
Stock Performance: Long-Term Gains Mask Recent Weakness
Agarwal Fortune India's stock performance presents a tale of extraordinary long-term returns overshadowed by recent underperformance and extreme volatility. Over the past five years, the stock has delivered remarkable returns of 1,754.17%, vastly outperforming the Sensex return of 108.58% by a staggering 1,645.59 percentage points. Similarly, the 10-year return of 1,585.61% dwarfs the Sensex return of 215.82%.
| Period | Stock Return | Sensex Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week | +5.95% | -0.94% | +6.89% |
| 1 Month | +1.14% | +3.41% | -2.27% |
| 3 Months | +3.49% | +4.19% | -0.70% |
| 6 Months | +10.70% | +4.32% | +6.38% |
| YTD | -3.26% | +7.47% | -10.73% |
| 2 Years | +11.25% | +30.47% | -19.22% |
| 5 Years | +1,754.17% | +108.58% | +1,645.59% |
| 10 Years | +1,585.61% | +215.82% | +1,369.79% |
However, recent performance tells a different story. Year-to-date, the stock has declined 3.26% whilst the Sensex gained 7.47%, resulting in negative alpha of -10.73 percentage points. Over the past two years, the stock returned just 11.25% compared to Sensex's 30.47%, underperforming by 19.22 percentage points. This recent underperformance coincides with the company's operational challenges and margin pressures.
From a technical perspective, the stock currently exhibits a "MILDLY BEARISH" trend as of November 03, 2025, having transitioned from "Bearish" on October 29, 2025. The stock trades above all key moving averages—5-day (₹21.65), 20-day (₹20.89), 50-day (₹21.56), 100-day (₹22.00), and 200-day (₹21.65)—providing some technical support. However, multiple technical indicators including MACD (bearish) and KST (bearish on weekly; mildly bearish on monthly) suggest caution.
Investment Thesis: Speculative Micro-Cap With Limited Appeal
Agarwal Fortune India's investment thesis remains weak across multiple parameters. The company's Mojo Score of 21/100 places it firmly in "STRONG SELL" territory, reflecting poor performance across valuation, quality, financial trends, and technical indicators.
The company's quality assessment of "BELOW AVERAGE" reflects its micro-cap status, high leverage (debt-to-equity of 1.24), and zero institutional holdings. Whilst the five-year sales CAGR of 52.60% appears impressive, the sustainability of this growth remains highly questionable given the lumpy nature of the business and recent margin pressures.
Key Strengths & Risk Factors
✓ Key Strengths
- Strong ROE: 21.00% demonstrates reasonable capital efficiency despite small scale
- Revenue Growth: 349.02% YoY growth in Q2 FY26 shows business revival
- Long-term Track Record: 1,754.17% return over 5 years for patient investors
- Stable Promoter Holding: 49.32% with zero pledging indicates promoter commitment
- Positive Operating Cash Flow: ₹0.14 crores in H1 FY26 shows improving cash generation
⚠ Key Concerns
- Extreme Illiquidity: Daily volume of just 202 shares makes exit difficult
- Margin Compression: PAT margin collapsed to 0.44% from 1.40% QoQ
- High Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 1.24 amplifies financial risks
- Zero Institutional Interest: Complete absence of FII/MF holdings
- Expensive Valuation: P/E of 37.19x unjustified for micro-cap trader
- Poor ROCE: 0.53% indicates inadequate returns on capital employed
- Lumpy Revenue: Extreme quarterly volatility suggests unstable business model
Outlook: What to Watch
Positive Catalysts
- Sustained revenue growth above ₹2 crores per quarter
- Margin improvement back above 2% PAT margin levels
- Reduction in debt levels and interest burden
- Any institutional investor interest or coverage
Red Flags
- Further margin compression below 0.40% PAT margin
- Revenue declining below ₹1.50 crores quarterly
- Increase in debt-to-equity ratio above 1.50
- Continued zero institutional participation
- Technical breakdown below ₹20 support levels
The Verdict: Avoid This Illiquid Micro-Cap
Score: 21/100
For Fresh Investors: Completely avoid this investment. The combination of extreme illiquidity (202 shares daily volume), expensive valuation (P/E 37.19x), deteriorating margins, and zero institutional interest makes this unsuitable for any serious investor. The ₹8 crore market cap and trading-oriented business model offer no compelling investment case.
For Existing Holders: Consider exiting on any liquidity opportunity or price strength. The recent margin compression, high leverage, and mildly bearish technical trend suggest further downside risks. Long-term holders who benefited from the 1,754% five-year return should consider booking profits given current expensive valuations and operational headwinds.
Fair Value Estimate: ₹15.00 (32.58% downside from current price of ₹22.25)
Note- ROCE= (EBIT - Other income)/(Capital Employed - Cash - Current Investments)
⚠️ Investment Disclaimer
This article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence, consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
