The results present a mixed narrative. Whilst net sales grew 12.28% sequentially to ₹55.86 crores in Q2 FY26 from ₹49.75 crores in Q1 FY26, the year-on-year growth remains anaemic at 5.58%. Operating margins excluding other income improved to 41.60% from 39.38% in the previous quarter, demonstrating enhanced operational efficiency. However, the disproportionate contribution of other income—which surged from ₹3.59 crores in Q1 FY26 to ₹64.92 crores in Q2 FY26—raises fundamental questions about the quality and sustainability of reported earnings.
For context, this mirrors the pattern observed in Q2 FY25 when other income stood at ₹65.60 crores, suggesting these exceptional items may be periodic rather than structural. The company's small-cap status and relatively modest institutional holding of just 1.43% further amplifies concerns about earnings quality and corporate governance transparency.
Financial Performance: A Tale of Two Narratives
Alembic's Q2 FY26 financial performance reveals a stark dichotomy between reported profitability and underlying operational health. Net sales of ₹55.86 crores represent the highest quarterly revenue in recent history, surpassing the previous peak of ₹60.27 crores recorded in Q4 FY25. On a sequential basis, the 12.28% growth is commendable, particularly following the 17.45% contraction witnessed in Q1 FY26. However, the year-on-year growth of 5.58% remains lacklustre, barely outpacing inflation and indicating limited volume expansion or pricing power.
| Quarter | Net Sales (₹ Cr) | QoQ Growth | Operating Profit (₹ Cr) | Margin % | Consol. Net Profit (₹ Cr) | YoY Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep'25 | 55.86 | +12.28% | 23.24 | 41.60% | 128.49 | +6.17% |
| Jun'25 | 49.75 | -17.45% | 19.59 | 39.38% | 61.64 | +10.43% |
| Mar'25 | 60.27 | +4.06% | 27.33 | 45.35% | 68.45 | -5.13% |
| Dec'24 | 57.92 | +9.47% | 26.40 | 45.58% | 65.39 | — |
| Sep'24 | 52.91 | +4.19% | 19.58 | 37.01% | 121.02 | — |
| Jun'24 | 50.78 | +3.55% | 20.40 | 40.17% | 55.82 | — |
| Mar'24 | 49.04 | — | 24.15 | 49.25% | 72.15 | — |
Operating profit excluding other income stood at ₹23.24 crores in Q2 FY26, marking a 18.63% sequential improvement from ₹19.59 crores in Q1 FY26. The operating margin expansion of 222 basis points to 41.60% reflects improved cost management, with employee costs declining marginally to ₹7.55 crores from ₹7.83 crores despite higher revenues. This suggests operational leverage is beginning to materialise as the company scales its real estate and pharmaceutical operations.
However, the profit before tax of ₹84.78 crores—whilst impressive on the surface—is heavily distorted by the ₹64.92 crores other income component. Stripping this out reveals a normalised PBT of approximately ₹19.86 crores, which aligns more closely with the company's operational trajectory. The standalone net profit of ₹76.06 crores represents a 327.30% quarter-on-quarter surge, but this metric loses significance when viewed through the lens of earnings quality.
Earnings Quality Concern
Critical Issue: Other income of ₹64.92 crores constitutes 76.57% of profit before tax in Q2 FY26, raising serious questions about earnings sustainability. This exceptional item appears to be periodic rather than recurring, as evidenced by the ₹3.59 crores reported in Q1 FY26. Investors should exercise caution when evaluating the company's true earning power, focusing instead on normalised operational profitability.
Operational Challenges: Weak Return Ratios Signal Capital Inefficiency
Beneath the headline profitability figures lies a troubling operational reality characterised by persistently weak return on capital metrics. Alembic's average return on equity (ROE) of 11.82% over recent periods falls substantially below the threshold of 15% typically expected from quality businesses. More concerning is the average return on capital employed (ROCE) of just 1.34%, indicating severe capital inefficiency and questioning whether the company is generating adequate returns on the substantial capital deployed in its real estate and pharmaceutical ventures.
The latest ROCE of 3.62%, whilst representing an improvement from the average, remains woefully inadequate. This metric suggests that for every ₹100 of capital employed, the company generates merely ₹3.62 in operating profit—a level that barely exceeds risk-free government bond yields and certainly fails to compensate equity investors for the inherent business risks. The low sales-to-capital-employed ratio of 0.06x further underscores the capital-intensive nature of the business and the extended gestation periods associated with real estate development projects.
On a more positive note, the company maintains a fortress balance sheet with negligible debt. The debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.11 and net debt-to-equity of -0.02 indicate Alembic is essentially a net cash company. Long-term debt stood at just ₹10.67 crores as of March 2025 against shareholder funds of ₹2,338.59 crores. This conservative capital structure provides financial flexibility and insulates the company from interest rate volatility, though it also raises questions about whether management is being too conservative in deploying capital for growth opportunities.
Capital Efficiency Red Flag
Critical Weakness: Average ROCE of 1.34% and average ROE of 11.82% indicate severe capital inefficiency. The company's extensive investments, particularly in real estate development, are generating inadequate returns. This structural weakness limits the investment case despite the strong balance sheet and operational margins. Management must demonstrate a credible path to improving capital productivity to justify the current valuation.
The Other Income Conundrum: Sustainability Under Question
The elephant in the room for Alembic's Q2 FY26 results is the extraordinary other income of ₹64.92 crores, which dwarfs the operating profit of ₹23.24 crores and accounts for three-quarters of profit before tax. This pattern is not unprecedented for the company—Q2 FY25 witnessed similar other income of ₹65.60 crores—suggesting these may be periodic gains from real estate asset sales or investment portfolio revaluations rather than sustainable recurring income streams.
For a company primarily engaged in real estate development, such lumpy other income is not uncommon. Real estate businesses often recognise substantial gains when projects reach completion milestones or when investment properties are revalued or sold. However, the lack of detailed disclosure in the available financial data makes it impossible to definitively ascertain the source of these gains. This opacity is concerning for minority shareholders and contributes to the stock's valuation discount relative to operational metrics.
Normalising the earnings by excluding exceptional other income provides a more realistic picture of operational performance. On this basis, Q2 FY26 profit before tax would approximate ₹19.86 crores, representing a more modest 22.37% quarter-on-quarter growth. This normalised view aligns with the 12.28% revenue growth and suggests the underlying business is growing, albeit at a pedestrian pace insufficient to justify premium valuations.
| Metric | Q2 FY26 | Q1 FY26 | Q2 FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Profit (Excl OI) | ₹23.24 Cr | ₹19.59 Cr | ₹19.58 Cr |
| Other Income | ₹64.92 Cr | ₹3.59 Cr | ₹65.60 Cr |
| Total Operating Profit | ₹88.16 Cr | ₹23.18 Cr | ₹85.18 Cr |
| Other Income as % of PBT | 76.57% | 18.13% | 80.19% |
Industry Context: Real Estate Sector Headwinds Persist
Alembic operates in India's real estate sector, which has faced significant headwinds over the past year. The broader realty index has declined 0.98% over the past twelve months, whilst Alembic has significantly underperformed with a 25.42% decline, resulting in a 24.44 percentage point underperformance versus the sector. This divergence suggests company-specific challenges beyond sector-wide issues.
The real estate sector in India continues to grapple with inventory overhang in certain markets, regulatory changes including RERA implementation, and elevated interest rates that have dampened housing demand. Whilst premium housing in major metropolitan areas has witnessed resilience, mid-market segments—where many developers including Alembic operate—face demand pressures. The company's Vadodara base in Gujarat provides some insulation from the worst-affected markets, but growth prospects remain constrained by the broader sectoral malaise.
Alembic's diversification into pharmaceutical manufacturing provides some hedge against pure real estate exposure. However, the pharmaceutical business also faces its own challenges including pricing pressures in generic markets and regulatory compliance costs. The company's dual-sector positioning, whilst offering diversification benefits, may also result in management bandwidth constraints and prevent the focused execution required to excel in either domain.
Peer Comparison: Valuation Discount Reflects Quality Concerns
Alembic's valuation metrics reveal a substantial discount to peers, reflecting market scepticism about earnings quality and growth prospects. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.97x compared to the realty sector average P/E of 34x—a discount of approximately 77%. Whilst value investors might view this as an opportunity, the discount appears justified given the weak return ratios and lumpy earnings profile.
| Company | P/E (TTM) | P/BV | ROE % | Div Yield % | Debt/Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alembic | 7.97 | 1.08 | 11.82 | 2.54 | -0.02 |
| Arkade | 19.75 | 0.33 | 1.66 | 0.60 | -0.02 |
| Arvind SmartSp. | 30.58 | 0.47 | 6.62 | 0.98 | -0.29 |
| Ashiana Housing | 68.44 | 3.53 | 3.71 | 0.92 | -0.48 |
| EFC (I) | 22.61 | 5.50 | 17.13 | — | 1.36 |
| Kesar India | 108.88 | 39.17 | 39.38 | — | -0.44 |
Alembic's ROE of 11.82%, whilst superior to several peers, remains well below EFC (I) at 17.13% and Kesar India at 39.38%. The price-to-book ratio of 1.08x appears reasonable given the ROE profile, but the market is clearly assigning little premium for growth prospects. The dividend yield of 2.54%—the highest amongst peers—provides some income support but is insufficient to compensate for capital depreciation, with the stock declining 25.42% over the past year.
The company's debt-free status is a relative strength, particularly compared to EFC (I) with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.36. However, this conservative capital structure has not translated into superior returns, suggesting management may be too risk-averse in pursuing growth opportunities or alternatively lacks attractive investment options within the current operating environment.
Valuation Analysis: Cheap for a Reason
At the current price of ₹98.18, Alembic trades at a P/E ratio of 7.97x compared to the realty sector average of 34x, representing a substantial 77% discount. The price-to-book value of 1.08x appears modest given the book value per share of ₹91.07. However, these seemingly attractive multiples mask fundamental concerns about earnings quality, capital efficiency, and growth sustainability.
The enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple of 26.65x appears elevated, but this metric is distorted by the inclusion of exceptional other income in EBITDA calculations. A more relevant metric is the EV-to-EBIT ratio of 30.20x, which still appears expensive given the modest growth trajectory and weak return ratios. The EV-to-sales ratio of 11.21x is particularly concerning for a company growing revenues at single-digit rates.
The stock's valuation grade has been assessed as "Very Expensive" since January 2021, despite the significant price correction witnessed over the past year. This persistent expensive rating reflects the market's view that even at current depressed levels, the stock fails to offer compelling value given the quality concerns. The PEG ratio of 0.61x might suggest the stock is undervalued relative to growth, but this metric loses relevance when earnings quality is questionable.
Valuation Dashboard
P/E Ratio (TTM): 7.97x (77% discount to sector)
P/BV Ratio: 1.08x (vs book value of ₹91.07)
EV/EBITDA: 26.65x (Expensive despite correction)
Dividend Yield: 2.54% (Highest amongst peers)
Valuation Grade: VERY EXPENSIVE
Overall Assessment: Valuation discount appears justified by quality concerns and weak capital efficiency. Limited margin of safety despite low multiples.
Shareholding Pattern: Stable but Limited Institutional Interest
Alembic's shareholding pattern reveals a stable promoter holding of 70.88% that has remained unchanged over the past five quarters, indicating strong management commitment. However, the near-absence of institutional investors is concerning. Foreign institutional investor (FII) holdings have declined steadily from 1.97% in September 2024 to 1.38% in September 2025, suggesting institutional investors are reducing exposure. Mutual fund and insurance company holdings are virtually non-existent at 0.00%, reflecting institutional scepticism about the investment case.
| Category | Sep'25 | Jun'25 | Mar'25 | Dec'24 | Sep'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoter | 70.88% | 70.88% | 70.88% | 70.88% | 70.88% |
| FII | 1.38% | 1.50% | 1.66% | 1.78% | 1.97% |
| Mutual Funds | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Insurance | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Other DII | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.09% |
| Non-Institutional | 27.69% | 27.57% | 27.41% | 27.27% | 27.06% |
The non-institutional shareholding has increased marginally from 27.06% to 27.69% over the past year, suggesting retail investors are gradually accumulating shares, possibly attracted by the low valuation multiples and dividend yield. However, the lack of institutional sponsorship is a significant red flag. Sophisticated institutional investors with extensive research capabilities are evidently unconvinced about the company's prospects, and their continued exodus should give pause to potential investors.
The promoter group is led by Nirayu Limited holding 63.06%, with the Amin family members holding the balance. The absence of promoter pledging is positive, indicating the promoters are not financially stressed. However, the 70.88% promoter holding also means limited free float, which can result in liquidity constraints and price volatility during periods of selling pressure.
Stock Performance: Persistent Underperformance Across Timeframes
Alembic's stock performance has been deeply disappointing across virtually all timeframes, with the stock consistently underperforming both the benchmark Sensex and the broader realty sector. Over the past year, the stock has declined 25.42% compared to the Sensex's 5.09% gain, resulting in negative alpha of 30.51 percentage points. Year-to-date performance is even worse, with the stock down 25.76% versus the Sensex's 6.91% gain.
| Period | Stock Return | Sensex Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | -1.55% | +0.38% | -1.93% |
| 1 Week | -3.53% | -0.53% | -3.00% |
| 1 Month | -2.19% | +1.25% | -3.44% |
| 3 Month | -7.90% | +4.61% | -12.51% |
| 6 Month | +0.34% | +5.14% | -4.80% |
| YTD | -25.76% | +6.91% | -32.67% |
| 1 Year | -25.42% | +5.09% | -30.51% |
| 2 Years | +24.72% | +28.70% | -3.98% |
| 3 Years | +33.31% | +37.82% | -4.51% |
| 5 Years | +10.75% | +93.02% | -82.27% |
The technical picture is equally concerning. The stock is currently in a bearish trend that commenced on 15th September 2025 at ₹105.70. It trades below all key moving averages—5-day (₹100.74), 20-day (₹100.23), 50-day (₹102.31), 100-day (₹108.16), and 200-day (₹106.73)—a configuration that typically signals sustained downward momentum. The MACD indicator shows bearish signals on both weekly and monthly timeframes, whilst Bollinger Bands indicate the stock is in bearish territory.
The stock's beta of 1.35 indicates it is 35% more volatile than the broader market, amplifying both gains and losses. However, given the consistent underperformance, this high beta has worked against investors, magnifying losses during market corrections. The risk-adjusted return of -0.71 over the past year, compared to the Sensex's positive 0.41, underscores the poor risk-reward profile. The stock is classified as "HIGH RISK LOW RETURN"—the worst possible combination for investors.
"Alembic's persistent underperformance across timeframes, combined with bearish technicals and weak fundamentals, suggests the market has lost confidence in the company's ability to generate sustainable value for shareholders."
Investment Thesis: Quality Concerns Outweigh Valuation Appeal
Alembic's investment thesis is fundamentally challenged by the disconnect between reported profitability and underlying operational performance. Whilst the company has demonstrated the ability to generate substantial profits periodically—as evidenced by the ₹128.49 crores consolidated net profit in Q2 FY26—the heavy reliance on exceptional other income raises serious sustainability concerns. Normalised operational profitability remains modest, with the ₹23.24 crores operating profit in Q2 FY26 representing merely 18.08% of reported consolidated net profit.
The company's quality metrics are concerning. An average ROE of 11.82% and average ROCE of 1.34% indicate severe capital inefficiency, suggesting the substantial investments in real estate and pharmaceutical manufacturing are generating inadequate returns. This structural weakness cannot be dismissed as cyclical—it reflects fundamental challenges in the business model and execution capabilities. The five-year sales CAGR of 29.23% is impressive, but this growth has not translated into commensurate improvements in capital productivity.
The valuation appears optically cheap at a P/E of 7.97x, but this discount is justified by quality concerns. The stock's classification as "Very Expensive" by valuation grading algorithms—despite the low P/E multiple—reflects the market's assessment that even at current levels, the stock offers limited value given the earnings quality issues and weak return ratios. The dividend yield of 2.54% provides some income support but is insufficient compensation for the capital at risk.
Mojo Parameters Dashboard
Overall Score: 30/100 (SELL)
Valuation: VERY EXPENSIVE (Despite low P/E)
Quality Grade: AVERAGE
Financial Trend: FLAT (Q2 FY26)
Technical Trend: BEARISH
Assessment: Mixed signals with more negatives than positives. Quality concerns and earnings sustainability issues outweigh valuation appeal.
Key Strengths & Risk Factors
KEY STRENGTHS
- Debt-Free Balance Sheet: Net debt-to-equity of -0.02 provides financial flexibility and eliminates refinancing risks
- Stable Promoter Holding: Consistent 70.88% promoter stake with zero pledging demonstrates management commitment
- Operational Margin Improvement: Operating margin expanded 222 bps QoQ to 41.60%, indicating enhanced efficiency
- Sequential Revenue Growth: Q2 FY26 sales of ₹55.86 crores represent 12.28% QoQ improvement
- Diversified Business Model: Presence in both real estate and pharmaceuticals provides sector diversification
- Attractive Dividend Yield: 2.54% yield highest amongst peer group, providing income support
- Strong Interest Coverage: EBIT-to-interest ratio of 26.01x indicates robust debt servicing capability
KEY CONCERNS
- Earnings Quality Issues: 76.57% of Q2 FY26 PBT from other income raises sustainability concerns
- Weak Return Ratios: Average ROCE of 1.34% and ROE of 11.82% indicate severe capital inefficiency
- Persistent Stock Underperformance: 25.42% decline over past year versus Sensex gain of 5.09%
- Negligible Institutional Interest: Zero mutual fund holdings and declining FII stake signal lack of conviction
- Bearish Technical Setup: Trading below all major moving averages with bearish MACD signals
- Modest YoY Growth: 5.58% sales growth in Q2 FY26 insufficient to drive meaningful value creation
- High Volatility: Beta of 1.35 amplifies downside during market corrections
Outlook: What to Watch
POSITIVE CATALYSTS
- Sustained improvement in operating margins above 42% for three consecutive quarters
- Acceleration in YoY revenue growth to double-digit levels driven by project completions
- Improvement in ROCE above 5% indicating better capital deployment
- Entry of institutional investors (mutual funds or insurance companies) signalling confidence
- Stabilisation of other income at normalised levels demonstrating recurring earning power
RED FLAGS
- Further decline in operating profit margins below 38% indicating cost pressures
- Continued reliance on exceptional other income exceeding 50% of PBT
- Decline in FII holdings below 1% suggesting complete institutional abandonment
- Deterioration in cash flow from operations despite reported profitability
- Break below ₹85.55 (52-week low) indicating loss of technical support
Looking ahead, Alembic faces the critical challenge of demonstrating that Q2 FY26's profitability can be sustained without reliance on exceptional other income. The company must focus on accelerating operational revenue growth, improving capital efficiency, and providing greater transparency around the sources of other income. Until these fundamental concerns are addressed, the stock is likely to remain range-bound with limited institutional interest.
The real estate sector outlook remains mixed, with premium housing showing resilience but mid-market segments facing demand headwinds. Alembic's ability to navigate this environment whilst maintaining margins will be crucial. The pharmaceutical business provides some diversification, but investors need greater clarity on the growth strategy and return expectations for this segment.
The Verdict: Avoid Until Quality Improves
Score: 30/100
For Fresh Investors: Avoid initiating positions. The apparent valuation discount is a value trap, with quality concerns and earnings sustainability issues outweighing the low P/E multiple. Wait for sustained improvement in operational performance and capital efficiency metrics before considering entry.
For Existing Holders: Consider reducing exposure on any technical bounce towards ₹105-108 levels. The persistent underperformance, weak return ratios, and lack of institutional interest suggest limited near-term catalysts for re-rating. Retain only if conviction exists about long-term real estate asset monetisation.
Fair Value Estimate: ₹85-90 (13% downside from current levels), reflecting normalised operational earnings and appropriate discount for quality concerns. Current price of ₹98.18 offers limited margin of safety.
Note- ROCE= (EBIT - Other income)/(Capital Employed - Cash - Current Investments)
⚠️ Investment Disclaimer
This article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence, consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are based on available data as of November 10, 2025, and are subject to change.
