The stock closed at ₹35.58 on February 05, 2026, down 58.14% from its 52-week high of ₹85.00, reflecting investor concerns about the company's deteriorating fundamentals. Trading volumes remain anaemic at just 393 shares, underscoring the lack of institutional interest in this loss-making entity. The company's technical indicators paint a uniformly bearish picture, with the stock trading below all major moving averages and multiple indicators signalling continued downward pressure.
Cambridge Technology's struggles extend beyond a single weak quarter. The company posted a full-year loss of ₹48.00 crores in FY25, a stark reversal from the ₹5.00 crore profit recorded in FY24. This represents the most significant annual loss in the company's recent history, driven by a combination of revenue stagnation, ballooning employee costs, and operational inefficiencies that management has thus far failed to address effectively.
| Quarter | Revenue (₹ Cr) | QoQ Change | Net Profit (₹ Cr) | QoQ Change | PAT Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep'25 (Q2) | 44.11 | ▼ 12.24% | -5.21 | ▼ 983.05% | -11.81% |
| Jun'25 (Q1) | 50.26 | ▼ 0.53% | 0.59 | ▼ 109.47% | 1.17% |
| Mar'25 (Q4) | 50.53 | ▼ 2.04% | -6.23 | ▲ 40.63% | -12.33% |
| Dec'24 (Q3) | 51.58 | ▲ 19.81% | -4.43 | ▼ 84.70% | -8.59% |
| Sep'24 (Q2) | 43.05 | ▼ 19.92% | -28.96 | ▲ 243.13% | -67.27% |
| Jun'24 (Q1) | 53.76 | ▼ 5.80% | -8.44 | ▼ 252.62% | -15.70% |
| Mar'24 (Q4) | 57.07 | — | 4.53 | — | 7.94% |
Financial Performance: Revenue Contraction and Margin Collapse
The Q2 FY26 results reveal a company in distress across multiple dimensions. Net sales declined 12.24% quarter-on-quarter to ₹44.11 crores, whilst year-on-year growth of just 2.46% highlights the company's inability to generate meaningful top-line momentum. More concerning is the complete erosion of profitability, with operating profit before depreciation, interest, tax, and other income (PBDIT excl OI) turning marginally negative at -₹0.04 crores, compared to a positive ₹3.04 crores in Q1 FY26.
The operating margin excluding other income collapsed to -0.09% in Q2 FY26 from 6.05% in the previous quarter, marking one of the worst margin performances in recent quarters. This deterioration stems primarily from rigid employee costs of ₹30.13 crores, which consumed 68.29% of revenues despite the sequential revenue decline. The company's inability to align its cost structure with revenue realities represents a fundamental operational failure.
Interest expenses surged 87.50% quarter-on-quarter to ₹2.85 crores, adding further pressure to an already strained profit and loss account. Combined with depreciation of ₹3.20 crores, the company recorded a profit before tax of -₹5.04 crores. The tax credit of ₹0.17 crores provided minimal relief, resulting in the consolidated net loss of ₹5.21 crores. The PAT margin of -11.81% compares unfavourably to the already weak 1.17% recorded in Q1 FY26.
Operational Challenges: Structural Weaknesses Persist
Cambridge Technology's operational metrics reveal deep-seated structural problems that extend well beyond cyclical industry headwinds. The company's return on equity (ROE) stands at a sharply negative -22.54% on a trailing basis, reflecting the destruction of shareholder value. The average ROE over recent periods of 4.02% ranks among the weakest in the software consulting sector, underscoring chronic underperformance in capital deployment.
The balance sheet shows mounting stress, with long-term debt increasing to ₹49.28 crores in FY25 from ₹63.45 crores in FY24, though this represents a reduction. However, the company's debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.13 and net debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10 indicate elevated leverage for a loss-making entity. More troubling is the sharp decline in cash and cash equivalents to just ₹2.00 crores at the end of FY25, down from ₹25.00 crores a year earlier, raising questions about liquidity and the company's ability to fund operations without additional capital infusions.
The company's return on capital employed (ROCE) of -8.41% on a trailing basis highlights the inefficiency with which management deploys capital. This metric has deteriorated significantly from already weak historical levels, with the five-year average ROCE standing at a paltry -0.07%. The combination of negative returns, high leverage, and shrinking cash reserves creates a precarious financial position that leaves little room for error.
Critical Red Flags
Liquidity Crisis: Cash reserves plummeted from ₹25.00 crores (FY24) to just ₹2.00 crores (FY25), representing a 92% decline that severely constrains operational flexibility and raises going-concern questions.
Persistent Losses: The company has now posted losses in four of the last seven quarters, with FY25 marking a full-year loss of ₹48.00 crores—the worst annual performance in company history.
Margin Deterioration: Operating margins have collapsed from healthy double-digit levels in FY24 (10.2%) to deeply negative territory in FY25 (-13.1%), indicating fundamental business model stress.
Industry Context: Underperforming a Challenging Sector
The broader Computers - Software & Consulting sector has faced headwinds over the past year, with the sector returning -18.72% over the 12-month period. However, Cambridge Technology's performance has been dramatically worse, with the stock declining 57.71% over the same timeframe, resulting in an underperformance of 38.99 percentage points relative to its sector peers.
This massive underperformance reflects company-specific execution failures rather than sector-wide challenges. Whilst peers have navigated demand volatility and pricing pressures with varying degrees of success, Cambridge Technology's inability to maintain positive margins or generate consistent profits sets it apart as a laggard. The company's five-year sales growth of 13.04% appears respectable in isolation but pales when considering the simultaneous collapse in profitability, with five-year EBIT growth at a staggering -209.40%.
The company's weak competitive positioning is further evidenced by its complete absence of institutional interest. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs), mutual funds, and insurance companies collectively hold virtually no stake in the company, with FII holdings at 0.00% and mutual fund holdings also at 0.00%. This institutional vacuum speaks volumes about professional investors' assessment of the company's prospects and governance quality.
Peer Comparison: Lagging Across Key Metrics
A comparative analysis against sector peers reveals Cambridge Technology's weak positioning across critical financial metrics. The company's average ROE of 4.02% trails significantly behind stronger peers such as Identixweb (28.19%) and Riddhi Corporate (15.26%). Even loss-making peer Praruh Tech trades at a price-to-book ratio of 1.81x, reflecting market expectations of a turnaround, whilst Cambridge Technology's 1.03x P/BV suggests limited confidence in asset quality or recovery prospects.
| Company | P/E (TTM) | P/BV | ROE (%) | Debt/Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge Tech. | NA (Loss Making) | 1.03x | 4.02% | 1.10 |
| Riddhi Corporate | 5.14x | 1.04x | 15.26% | 0.23 |
| Praruh Tech | 11.28x | 1.81x | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| Identixweb | 17.65x | 2.23x | 28.19% | -0.34 |
| Sylph Industries | 47.61x | 0.63x | 1.72% | -0.01 |
| SGL Resources | 80.65x | 0.40x | 1.50% | 0.04 |
Cambridge Technology's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10 stands out as particularly concerning when compared to the virtually debt-free capital structures of several peers. This leverage, combined with negative profitability, creates a toxic combination that limits strategic flexibility and increases financial risk. The company's market capitalisation of ₹71.00 crores ranks it last amongst the peer group, reflecting its status as the sector's weakest player.
Valuation Analysis: Risky Classification Reflects Fundamental Weakness
Cambridge Technology's valuation metrics paint a picture of a company trading at distressed levels, yet still failing to offer compelling value given the severity of its operational challenges. The stock's price-to-book ratio of 1.03x might appear modest, but this valuation fails to account for the rapid erosion of book value through sustained losses. With shareholders' funds declining from ₹112.47 crores in FY24 to ₹67.95 crores in FY25—a 39.58% reduction—the book value per share of ₹34.61 provides minimal downside protection.
The company's valuation grade has been classified as "Risky" since November 2024, having deteriorated from "Very Attractive" earlier in the year. This dramatic downgrade reflects the market's reassessment of the company's prospects as losses mounted and operational metrics deteriorated. The absence of a meaningful P/E ratio due to losses, combined with an EV/EBITDA multiple of 32.64x based on trailing twelve-month figures, suggests the market is pricing in significant uncertainty about the company's ability to return to profitability.
At the current price of ₹35.58, the stock trades just 10.50% above its 52-week low of ₹32.20, but a staggering 58.14% below its 52-week high of ₹85.00. This price action reflects the progressive loss of investor confidence as quarterly results have consistently disappointed. The stock's beta of 1.50 indicates high volatility relative to the broader market, adding to the risk profile for potential investors.
Valuation Dashboard
P/E Ratio (TTM): NA (Loss Making)
Price to Book Value: 1.03x
EV/EBITDA: 32.64x
Overall Assessment: RISKY - Distressed valuation reflecting fundamental deterioration
Shareholding: Promoter Stability Amidst Retail Exodus
The shareholding pattern reveals a stable promoter base but a complete absence of institutional confidence. Promoter holding stands at 50.91% as of December 2025, having increased by 4.00 percentage points in March 2025. This increase suggests promoter commitment, though it may also reflect a lack of external investors willing to participate at any price. The promoter entity, Cloud Computing LLC, maintains its majority stake without any pledging, which provides some comfort regarding governance risks.
| Quarter | Promoter % | FII % | MF % | Non-Inst % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec'25 | 50.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 49.09% |
| Sep'25 | 50.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 49.09% |
| Jun'25 | 50.91% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 49.04% |
| Mar'25 | 50.91% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 49.06% |
| Dec'24 | 46.91% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 53.08% |
The complete exit of foreign institutional investors, with holdings declining from 0.04% in June 2025 to 0.00% by September 2025, signals professional investors' lack of faith in a turnaround. Mutual funds and insurance companies have maintained zero exposure throughout the period, whilst non-institutional holdings have declined from 53.08% in December 2024 to 49.09% currently. This 4.00 percentage point reduction in retail holdings mirrors the promoter increase, suggesting a shift in ownership from disappointed retail investors to promoters potentially supporting the stock or increasing control.
Stock Performance: Severe Underperformance Across All Timeframes
Cambridge Technology's stock performance has been catastrophic across virtually every meaningful timeframe, with the severity of underperformance increasing with longer holding periods. Over the past year, the stock has plummeted 57.71% whilst the Sensex gained 6.44%, resulting in a negative alpha of 64.15 percentage points. This represents one of the worst risk-adjusted return profiles in the software consulting sector.
| Period | Stock Return | Sensex Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week | +6.98% | +0.91% | +6.07% |
| 1 Month | -11.05% | -2.49% | -8.56% |
| 3 Month | -33.80% | -0.17% | -33.63% |
| 6 Month | -17.90% | +3.23% | -21.13% |
| YTD | -9.88% | -2.24% | -7.64% |
| 1 Year | -57.71% | +6.44% | -64.15% |
| 2 Years | -58.57% | +16.15% | -74.72% |
| 3 Years | -37.91% | +36.94% | -74.85% |
The three-month return of -33.80% highlights the acceleration of the downtrend following disappointing quarterly results. The stock's recent one-week gain of 6.98% represents a minor technical bounce rather than any fundamental improvement, with the stock still trading deeply in negative territory year-to-date (-9.88%). The 10-year return of -73.97% compared to the Sensex's gain of 238.44% illustrates the long-term value destruction that shareholders have endured.
Technical indicators uniformly point to continued weakness, with the stock trading below all key moving averages—5-day (₹35.07), 20-day (₹35.65), 50-day (₹39.04), 100-day (₹42.69), and 200-day (₹43.94). The bearish trend, in place since January 23, 2026, shows no signs of reversal, with MACD, KST, and Dow Theory all flashing bearish signals on both weekly and monthly timeframes.
Investment Thesis: Multiple Red Flags Override Any Positives
The investment case for Cambridge Technology is severely compromised by a confluence of negative factors that far outweigh any potential positives. The company's proprietary Mojo Score of just 17 out of 100 places it firmly in "Strong Sell" territory, reflecting weak fundamentals across valuation, quality, financial trends, and technical indicators. This score has deteriorated from 37 in November 2024, when it was rated "Sell," indicating an accelerating decline in investment merit.
The company's quality assessment of "Below Average" reflects its weak long-term financial performance, characterised by negative ROCE of -0.07% on average and ROE of just 4.02%. The combination of operating losses, high debt (debt-to-equity of 1.10), and poor capital efficiency creates a low-quality business profile. The financial trend, whilst marked as "Positive" based on recent quarterly improvements, must be viewed sceptically given the Q2 FY26 relapse into losses.
Key Strengths
- Stable Promoter Base: 50.91% promoter holding with zero pledging provides governance stability
- Revenue Base Maintained: Despite challenges, company maintains ₹44-50 crore quarterly revenue run-rate
- Debt Reduction Initiated: Long-term debt reduced from ₹63.45 crores (FY24) to ₹49.28 crores (FY25)
- No Major Contingent Liabilities: Balance sheet relatively clean of off-balance sheet risks
- Long Operating History: Company established in 1999 with over two decades of operations
Key Concerns
- Persistent Losses: Four of last seven quarters loss-making; FY25 loss of ₹48 crores represents severe deterioration
- Liquidity Crisis: Cash reserves collapsed 92% to just ₹2 crores, raising going-concern questions
- Margin Collapse: Operating margins turned deeply negative (-13.1% in FY25) from healthy double-digit levels
- Zero Institutional Interest: Complete absence of FII, mutual fund, and insurance holdings signals lack of professional confidence
- Negative Returns: ROE of -22.54% and ROCE of -8.41% indicate value destruction
- High Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 1.10 creates financial risk for loss-making entity
- Technical Breakdown: Stock below all moving averages with uniformly bearish indicators
Outlook: Recovery Path Remains Elusive
The path to recovery for Cambridge Technology appears fraught with challenges, requiring fundamental operational restructuring that management has thus far failed to execute. For the company to return to profitability, it must address cost structure rigidities, particularly the employee cost base that consumed 68% of Q2 FY26 revenues. Additionally, the company needs to stabilise and grow its revenue base whilst simultaneously improving margins—a difficult balancing act in a competitive market.
Positive Catalysts
- Successful cost restructuring programme reducing employee costs by 20-25%
- Return to positive operating margins on sustained basis for two consecutive quarters
- Revenue growth acceleration to double-digit levels with margin stability
- Entry of institutional investors signalling professional validation of turnaround
- Improvement in cash generation with operating cash flow turning consistently positive
Red Flags to Monitor
- Further sequential revenue declines below ₹40 crore quarterly run-rate
- Continued negative operating margins for another two quarters
- Cash balance declining below ₹1 crore, forcing distressed capital raising
- Promoter stake dilution or pledging emergence signalling financial stress
- Debt covenant breaches or restructuring requirements
- Key client losses or employee attrition exceeding 25% annually
The near-term outlook remains challenging, with no clear catalysts for improvement visible in the current operating environment. The company's Q3 FY26 results will be critical in determining whether the Q2 loss represents a temporary setback or the continuation of a deteriorating trend. Given the severity of the liquidity situation and persistent operational losses, investors should monitor closely for any signs of capital raising or restructuring announcements.
The Verdict: Exit Recommended for All Investors
Score: 17/100
For Fresh Investors: Avoid completely. The combination of persistent losses, liquidity stress, zero institutional interest, and negative returns on capital creates an unacceptable risk-reward profile. No entry point appears attractive until fundamental operational improvements are demonstrated over multiple quarters.
For Existing Holders: Exit positions at current levels or on any technical bounce. The 92% decline in cash reserves, sustained losses across multiple quarters, and absence of credible turnaround signals suggest further downside risk. The stock's 58% decline from 52-week highs may not represent the bottom given deteriorating fundamentals.
Fair Value Estimate: Given the loss-making status and weak balance sheet, fair value is difficult to estimate but likely lies below current levels. Book value of ₹34.61 per share provides theoretical support, but continued losses will erode this rapidly. Target: ₹28-30 (21% downside risk from current price of ₹35.58).
Note- ROCE= (EBIT - Other income)/(Capital Employed - Cash - Current Investments)
⚠️ Investment Disclaimer
This article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence, consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing in securities involves risks, including the potential loss of principal.
