CCL Products Q3 FY26: Robust Growth Momentum Continues Despite Margin Pressures

Feb 05 2026 09:46 AM IST
share
Share Via
CCL Products (India) Ltd., the country's leading instant coffee manufacturer, reported a stellar 59.06% year-on-year growth in consolidated net profit for Q3 FY26, reaching ₹100.27 crores compared to ₹63.04 crores in Q3 FY25. However, the quarter witnessed a marginal sequential decline of 0.58% from ₹100.86 crores in Q2 FY26, reflecting the company's ongoing battle with margin pressures despite strong top-line momentum. The stock responded positively to the results, trading at ₹1,021.00 on February 5, 2026, up 1.92% from the previous close, with the market capitalisation standing at ₹13,633.20 crores.
CCL Products Q3 FY26: Robust Growth Momentum Continues Despite Margin Pressures
Net Profit (Q3 FY26)
₹100.27 Cr
▲ 59.06% YoY
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.52%
▲ Strong momentum
Operating Margin
17.61%
▼ 96 bps QoQ
ROE (Latest)
16.21%
Good efficiency

The quarterly results underscore CCL Products' ability to capitalise on robust demand in the instant coffee segment, with net sales surging 38.52% year-on-year to ₹1,050.56 crores in Q3 FY26. This impressive growth trajectory has been consistent throughout FY26, with the company delivering strong double-digit expansion across all three quarters reported thus far. The nine-month FY26 performance has been particularly noteworthy, with cumulative net sales reaching ₹3,232.93 crores, representing a substantial 45.48% increase over the corresponding period last year.

Quarter Net Sales (₹ Cr) QoQ Change Net Profit (₹ Cr) QoQ Change PAT Margin
Dec'25 1,050.56 -6.76% 100.27 -0.58% 9.54%
Sep'25 1,126.73 +6.73% 100.86 +39.21% 8.95%
Jun'25 1,055.64 +26.30% 72.45 -28.88% 6.86%
Mar'25 835.85 +10.21% 101.87 +61.60% 12.19%
Dec'24 758.41 +2.74% 63.04 -14.75% 8.31%
Sep'24 738.20 -4.54% 73.95 +3.47% 10.02%

Financial Performance: Strong Growth Amid Margin Normalisation

The third quarter of FY26 presented a mixed picture for CCL Products, with robust revenue growth offset by sequential margin compression. Net sales of ₹1,050.56 crores in Q3 FY26 marked a 38.52% year-on-year surge, though the quarter witnessed a 6.76% sequential decline from Q2 FY26's ₹1,126.73 crores. This sequential dip appears tactical rather than structural, reflecting typical quarter-end dynamics in the instant coffee export business.

Operating profit before depreciation, interest, tax and other income (PBDIT excluding OI) stood at ₹184.96 crores in Q3 FY26, yielding an operating margin of 17.61%. Whilst this represents a healthy expansion of 117 basis points year-on-year from 16.41% in Q3 FY25, the sequential trajectory reveals margin pressures, with a 96 basis point contraction from Q2 FY26's 17.50%. The company's gross profit margin followed a similar pattern, settling at 14.78% in Q3 FY26 compared to 14.73% in Q2 FY26, indicating relatively stable cost management despite raw material volatility in the coffee segment.

Revenue (Q3 FY26)
₹1,050.56 Cr
▲ 38.52% YoY | ▼ 6.76% QoQ
Net Profit (Q3 FY26)
₹100.27 Cr
▲ 59.06% YoY | ▼ 0.58% QoQ
Operating Margin
17.61%
▲ 117 bps YoY | ▼ 96 bps QoQ
PAT Margin
9.54%
▲ 123 bps YoY | ▲ 59 bps QoQ

The bottom-line performance showcased resilience, with profit after tax (PAT) margin expanding to 9.54% in Q3 FY26 from 8.31% in Q3 FY25, marking a 123 basis point year-on-year improvement. This margin expansion was facilitated by a favourable tax rate of 13.77% in Q3 FY26 compared to 12.28% in the year-ago quarter, alongside disciplined cost management. Employee costs remained well-controlled at ₹47.44 crores, representing approximately 4.52% of net sales, demonstrating operational efficiency.

Interest costs remained elevated at ₹32.24 crores in Q3 FY26, reflecting the company's substantial debt-funded capacity expansion initiatives. Depreciation charges surged to ₹39.05 crores from ₹24.80 crores year-on-year, a consequence of the aggressive capital expenditure programme undertaken to expand manufacturing capacity and enhance technological capabilities. These investments, whilst pressuring near-term profitability, position the company favourably for long-term growth in the burgeoning instant coffee market.

Capital Efficiency: Good Returns Despite Leverage Concerns

CCL Products has demonstrated commendable capital efficiency metrics, with the latest return on equity (ROE) standing at 16.21%, reflecting the company's ability to generate solid returns for shareholders despite operating in a competitive FMCG segment. The five-year average ROE of 16.37% underscores consistent profitability and efficient capital deployment. Higher ROE values indicate superior capital efficiency, and CCL Products' performance in this regard positions it favourably amongst mid-sized FMCG companies, demonstrating management's capability to convert shareholder capital into profitable growth.

Return on capital employed (ROCE) for the half-year FY26 reached a peak of 14.27%, the highest recorded level, indicating improving asset productivity. The five-year average ROCE of 14.03% suggests that the company has consistently generated adequate returns above its cost of capital, though there remains scope for improvement to match industry leaders. The latest ROCE of 15.48% reflects the positive impact of capacity utilisation improvements and operational efficiencies gained from recent capital investments.

Balance Sheet Expansion Supporting Growth

Shareholder funds expanded to ₹1,967.23 crores as of March 2025 from ₹1,673.81 crores a year earlier, reflecting retained earnings and capital appreciation. However, long-term debt surged to ₹556.30 crores from ₹518.63 crores, with the debt-to-EBITDA ratio averaging 2.58 times over the past five years. Net debt to equity stood at 0.61 times, indicating moderate leverage that warrants monitoring as the company continues its expansion trajectory. Fixed assets increased substantially to ₹1,619.57 crores, validating the ongoing capacity enhancement initiatives.

Key Monitoring Point: Whilst the company's growth investments are strategically sound, the elevated debt levels and rising interest burden of ₹32.24 crores quarterly necessitate close monitoring of cash flow generation and deleveraging plans. The EBIT to interest coverage ratio averaging 8.91 times provides adequate cushion, but any deterioration in operating performance could strain debt servicing capabilities.

Industry Context: Riding the Instant Coffee Wave

CCL Products operates in the dynamic instant coffee manufacturing segment, serving as the second-largest company in the broader FMCG sector by market capitalisation. The company has established a formidable presence across India, Vietnam, and Switzerland, producing both spray-dried and freeze-dried instant coffee formats. The global instant coffee market has witnessed robust growth, driven by changing consumer preferences towards convenience, premiumisation trends, and expanding café culture in emerging markets.

The company's strategic positioning in the B2B instant coffee supply chain, catering to major international brands and coffee chains, provides stable revenue visibility and insulates it partially from direct consumer market volatility. With continuous investments in state-of-the-art technology and capacity expansion, CCL Products has strengthened its competitive moat, enabling it to capture incremental market share in the global instant coffee trade.

The five-year sales compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.22% significantly outpaces the broader FMCG sector growth, validating the company's market share gains and successful penetration into new geographies. This growth trajectory has been supported by favourable coffee bean pricing dynamics, operational efficiencies, and the company's ability to maintain long-term relationships with marquee global clients.

Peer Comparison: Valuation Premium Justified by Growth

CCL Products trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 39.55 times trailing twelve-month earnings, representing a notable premium to the FMCG sector average P/E of 23 times. This valuation premium reflects investor confidence in the company's superior growth trajectory and market leadership in the instant coffee segment. However, when compared to direct FMCG peers, CCL Products trades at a relative discount, with companies like Bikaji Foods commanding a P/E of 65.93 times and Hatsun Agro at 52.76 times.

Company P/E (TTM) Price to Book ROE (%) Dividend Yield Debt to Equity
CCL Products 39.55 6.41 16.37% 0.50% 0.61
Gillette India 45.86 24.47 40.86% 3.34% -0.51
Emami 28.26 7.27 29.50% 2.05% -0.25
Hatsun Agro 52.76 10.93 19.32% NA 1.06
Bikaji Foods 65.93 10.99 17.88% 0.15% -0.01
Avanti Feeds 23.60 4.85 16.10% 0.84% -0.91

From a price-to-book value perspective, CCL Products trades at 6.41 times, substantially lower than Gillette India's 24.47 times but higher than Avanti Feeds' 4.85 times. The company's ROE of 16.37% positions it in the middle of the peer group, trailing Gillette India's exceptional 40.86% and Emami's 29.50%, but comparable to Hatsun Agro and Bikaji Foods. The modest dividend yield of 0.50% reflects the company's strategy of retaining earnings for growth investments rather than aggressive dividend distribution.

CCL Products' debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61 times stands out in a peer group where most companies operate with net cash positions. This leverage, whilst supporting aggressive capacity expansion, differentiates CCL Products' capital structure and introduces financial risk that investors must weigh against growth prospects. The company's enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 22.75 times appears reasonable given the strong revenue growth visibility and improving profitability metrics.

Valuation Analysis: Attractive Entry Point for Long-Term Investors

At the current market price of ₹1,021.00, CCL Products trades at an enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 4.36 times, which appears attractive considering the company's ROCE of 15.48%. This valuation metric suggests that the market is offering reasonable value for the company's capital efficiency and growth prospects. The stock has delivered exceptional returns over multiple time horizons, with a one-year return of 50.80% significantly outperforming the Sensex return of 6.55%, generating an alpha of 44.25 percentage points.

The company's current valuation grade stands at "Attractive", having oscillated between "Attractive" and "Very Attractive" over the past year based on price movements and earnings trajectory. With a price-to-book value of 6.41 times against a book value per share of ₹147.33, the stock trades at a premium that reflects investor confidence in future earnings growth and return on equity expansion.

P/E Ratio (TTM)
39.55x
vs Industry 23x
Price to Book
6.41x
Moderate premium
EV/EBITDA
22.75x
Reasonable multiple
Dividend Yield
0.50%
Growth-focused

The PEG ratio of 1.69 suggests that the stock is trading at a reasonable valuation relative to its earnings growth rate, with the metric below the threshold of 2.0 that typically indicates overvaluation. The company's five-year sales CAGR of 26.22% and EBIT CAGR of 16.07% provide strong fundamental support for the current valuation multiples, particularly when considering the visible growth runway in the instant coffee segment.

Trading near its 52-week high of ₹1,072.65, the stock has demonstrated strong momentum, currently positioned just 4.82% below this peak. The substantial distance of 114.95% from the 52-week low of ₹475.00 reflects the remarkable re-rating the stock has undergone over the past year, driven by consistent earnings delivery and improved market sentiment towards the FMCG sector.

Shareholding Pattern: Institutional Confidence Building

The shareholding structure of CCL Products reveals a stable promoter base holding 46.11% as of December 2025, unchanged from the previous quarter. This consistent promoter holding, with zero pledging of shares, demonstrates strong management confidence and alignment with minority shareholders. The promoter group, led by Challa Shantha Prasad (24.01%), Challa Srishant (10.57%), and Challa Rajendra Prasad (10.02%), maintains strategic control whilst allowing significant institutional participation.

Quarter Promoter FII Mutual Funds Insurance Other DII
Dec'25 46.11% 11.01% 19.22% 0.06% 2.25%
Sep'25 46.11% 10.53% 19.59% 0.01% 2.23%
Jun'25 46.09% 10.65% 18.91% 0.01% 2.27%
Mar'25 46.09% 10.20% 18.38% 0.07% 2.43%
Dec'24 46.09% 10.13% 19.00% 0.17% 1.89%

Foreign institutional investor (FII) holding increased to 11.01% in Q3 FY26 from 10.53% in Q2 FY26, marking a sequential gain of 48 basis points. This upward trajectory in FII participation, supported by 125 foreign institutional investors, signals growing international recognition of CCL Products' growth story and competitive positioning in the global instant coffee supply chain. The year-on-year increase from 10.13% in December 2024 reflects sustained foreign investor interest.

Mutual fund holding witnessed a marginal decline to 19.22% in Q3 FY26 from 19.59% in Q2 FY26, though this remains substantially higher than the 18.38% holding in March 2025. With 28 mutual funds holding stakes, the company enjoys broad-based domestic institutional support. The sequential reduction of 37 basis points appears tactical rather than a loss of conviction, as the absolute holding remains robust and well-distributed across multiple fund houses.

The combined institutional holding of 32.54% underscores strong professional investor confidence in CCL Products' business model and growth trajectory. The minimal insurance company participation at 0.06% and other domestic institutional investor (DII) holding at 2.25% suggest potential for further institutional accumulation as the company's market capitalisation and liquidity continue to expand.

Stock Performance: Stellar Returns Across Timeframes

CCL Products has delivered exceptional shareholder returns across multiple investment horizons, significantly outperforming benchmark indices. The stock's one-year return of 50.80% dwarfs the Sensex return of 6.55%, generating a remarkable alpha of 44.25 percentage points. This outperformance extends across shorter timeframes as well, with the three-month return of 15.06% exceeding the Sensex's marginal decline of 0.08%, and the six-month return of 12.12% surpassing the benchmark's 3.33% gain.

Period Stock Return Sensex Return Alpha
1 Week 9.56% 1.01% +8.55%
1 Month 9.40% -2.39% +11.79%
3 Months 15.06% -0.08% +15.14%
6 Months 12.12% 3.33% +8.79%
YTD 8.21% -2.14% +10.35%
1 Year 50.80% 6.55% +44.25%
2 Years 61.17% 16.26% +44.91%
3 Years 79.42% 37.07% +42.35%

The longer-term performance narrative becomes even more compelling, with the five-year return of 315.04% and ten-year return of 520.67% demonstrating the wealth creation potential for patient investors. The five-year alpha of 250.65 percentage points against the Sensex return of 64.39% validates the company's transformation from a mid-sized instant coffee manufacturer to a market leader with global scale and operational excellence.

From a risk-adjusted returns perspective, the stock's one-year risk-adjusted return of 1.21 compares favourably to the Sensex's 0.57, despite the higher volatility of 41.84% versus the benchmark's 11.52%. The positive Sharpe ratio indicates that investors are being adequately compensated for the additional risk, with the stock classified as "HIGH RISK HIGH RETURN". The adjusted beta of 1.35 confirms that CCL Products is a high-beta stock, amplifying market movements in both directions.

The stock's technical positioning appears constructive, trading above all key moving averages including the 5-day (₹981.13), 20-day (₹955.88), 50-day (₹963.84), 100-day (₹935.16), and 200-day (₹880.88) moving averages. This alignment suggests strong momentum and broad-based technical support. The current trend classification of "Mildly Bullish" following a change on February 1, 2026, indicates consolidation after a strong rally, with technical indicators presenting mixed signals across weekly and monthly timeframes.

Investment Thesis: Quality Growth at Reasonable Valuation

CCL Products presents a compelling investment case built on four key pillars: attractive valuation, good quality fundamentals, positive financial trends, and constructive technical momentum. The company's proprietary Mojo Score of 71 out of 100 translates to a "BUY" rating, reflecting confidence in the stock's ability to deliver sustained shareholder value over the medium to long term.

Valuation Grade
Attractive
✓ Good entry point
Quality Grade
Good
✓ Strong fundamentals
Financial Trend
Positive
✓ Growth momentum
Technical Trend
Mildly Bullish
✓ Consolidating gains

The valuation pillar is supported by the stock's "Attractive" grade, with the enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 4.36 times appearing reasonable against the ROCE of 15.48%. The quality assessment of "Good" reflects the company's healthy long-term sales CAGR of 26.22%, zero promoter pledging, substantial institutional holdings of 32.54%, and market leadership position in the instant coffee segment. The positive financial trend, driven by 45.48% half-yearly sales growth and 46.82% PAT growth, validates the ongoing business momentum.

The technical trend classification of "Mildly Bullish" suggests that whilst the stock has witnessed a strong rally, it is currently consolidating gains rather than exhibiting overbought conditions. The stock's positioning above all major moving averages provides technical support, though mixed signals from indicators like MACD (mildly bearish weekly) and OBV (mildly bearish weekly) warrant cautious optimism rather than aggressive accumulation.

"With ROCE reaching a peak of 14.27% in H1 FY26 and an attractive enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 4.36 times, CCL Products offers compelling value for investors seeking exposure to India's consumption growth story through the lens of the global instant coffee trade."

Key Strengths & Risk Factors

✓ KEY STRENGTHS

  • Market Leadership: Second largest FMCG company with established global presence in instant coffee manufacturing across India, Vietnam, and Switzerland
  • Robust Growth Trajectory: Five-year sales CAGR of 26.22% significantly outpacing industry growth, with nine-month FY26 sales up 45.48% year-on-year
  • Improving Capital Efficiency: ROE of 16.21% and ROCE reaching peak of 14.27% in H1 FY26, demonstrating strong capital deployment capabilities
  • Clean Governance: Zero promoter pledging with stable 46.11% promoter holding and high institutional participation at 32.54%
  • Strong Cash Generation: Operating cash flow of ₹289 crores in FY25 supporting capacity expansion whilst servicing debt obligations
  • Attractive Valuation: EV/Capital Employed of 4.36x appears reasonable against ROCE of 15.48%, offering value for long-term investors
  • Consistent Profitability: Maintained PAT margins above 9% in recent quarters despite raw material volatility and capacity expansion costs

⚠ KEY CONCERNS

  • Elevated Debt Levels: Long-term debt of ₹556.30 crores with debt-to-EBITDA of 2.58x and rising interest burden of ₹32.24 crores quarterly
  • Margin Pressure: Sequential operating margin contraction of 96 bps from Q2 to Q3 FY26, indicating potential pricing or cost challenges
  • High Valuation Multiple: P/E of 39.55x represents significant premium to industry average of 23x, limiting margin of safety
  • Working Capital Intensity: Negative operating cash flow of ₹228 crores in FY25 due to working capital build-up, straining liquidity
  • Commodity Price Volatility: Coffee bean price fluctuations can materially impact margins and profitability in the instant coffee business
  • High Beta Risk: Beta of 1.35 and volatility of 41.84% indicate amplified downside risk during market corrections
  • Limited Dividend Appeal: Dividend yield of just 0.50% with payout ratio of 23.94% offers minimal income for yield-focused investors

Outlook: What to Watch Going Forward

POSITIVE CATALYSTS

  • Sustained demand growth in global instant coffee consumption driving volume expansion
  • Operating leverage benefits as new capacity utilisation improves, enhancing margins
  • Deleveraging progress as operating cash flows strengthen with capacity ramp-up
  • Further institutional accumulation as market cap and liquidity expand
  • Margin recovery if raw material costs stabilise and pricing power improves

RED FLAGS TO MONITOR

  • Sequential margin compression continuing beyond Q3 FY26, indicating structural pricing pressure
  • Working capital deterioration leading to negative free cash flow generation
  • Debt-to-EBITDA ratio rising above 3.0x, constraining financial flexibility
  • Promoter stake reduction or any pledging of shares, signalling confidence erosion
  • Revenue growth deceleration below 20% year-on-year, questioning growth sustainability

The forward outlook for CCL Products hinges on the company's ability to sustain its impressive revenue growth trajectory whilst managing margin pressures and deleveraging the balance sheet. The global instant coffee market's structural growth tailwinds, combined with CCL Products' established relationships with major international brands, provide visibility for continued top-line expansion. However, investors must monitor quarterly margin trends closely, as sustained compression could indicate pricing challenges or structural cost inflation that may necessitate downward earnings revisions.

The company's capital allocation strategy will be critical in determining shareholder returns over the next 12-24 months. With substantial capacity additions now in place, the focus must shift towards optimising utilisation, generating robust free cash flows, and systematically reducing debt levels. Any acceleration in the deleveraging trajectory would be viewed positively by the market and could support valuation multiple expansion despite the already elevated P/E ratio.

The Verdict: Buy on Dips for Long-Term Wealth Creation

BUY

Score: 71/100

For Fresh Investors: Accumulate on any corrections towards ₹950-980 levels for a 12-18 month investment horizon. The combination of 26% sales CAGR, improving capital efficiency with ROE above 16%, and attractive valuation at 4.36x EV/Capital Employed offers compelling risk-reward. However, high volatility (beta 1.35) necessitates a staggered entry approach.

For Existing Holders: Continue holding with a revised target of ₹1,180-1,200 over the next 12 months, implying 15-17% upside from current levels. Book partial profits on rallies above ₹1,100 to manage portfolio risk, but maintain core holding given the company's market leadership and visible growth runway in the instant coffee segment.

Fair Value Estimate: ₹1,150 (12.6% upside from current price of ₹1,021)

Investment Rationale: CCL Products merits a BUY rating based on its exceptional revenue growth momentum, improving return ratios, market leadership in instant coffee manufacturing, and attractive valuation relative to capital efficiency. Whilst elevated debt levels and margin pressures warrant monitoring, the structural growth opportunity in global instant coffee consumption and the company's established client relationships provide confidence in sustained earnings growth. The stock's strong technical positioning above all major moving averages and consistent institutional accumulation further support the positive investment thesis for patient, long-term investors.

Note- ROCE= (EBIT - Other income)/(Capital Employed - Cash - Current Investments)

⚠️ Investment Disclaimer

This article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence, consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Stock market investments are subject to market risks, and investors may lose their entire capital. The author and publisher assume no responsibility for any financial losses incurred based on the information presented in this article.

{{stockdata.stock.stock_name.value}} Live

{{stockdata.stock.price.value}} {{stockdata.stock.price_difference.value}} ({{stockdata.stock.price_percentage.value}}%)

{{stockdata.stock.date.value}} | BSE+NSE Vol: {{stockdata.index_name}} Vol: {{stockdata.stock.bse_nse_vol.value}} ({{stockdata.stock.bse_nse_vol_per.value}}%)


Our weekly and monthly stock recommendations are here
Loading...
{{!sm.blur ? sm.comp_name : ''}}
Industry
{{sm.old_ind_name }}
Market Cap
{{sm.mcapsizerank }}
Date of Entry
{{sm.date }}
Entry Price
Target Price
{{sm.target_price }} ({{sm.performance_target }}%)
Holding Duration
{{sm.target_duration }}
Last 1 Year Return
{{sm.performance_1y}}%
{{sm.comp_name}} price as on {{sm.todays_date}}
{{sm.price_as_on}} ({{sm.performance}}%)
Industry
{{sm.old_ind_name}}
Market Cap
{{sm.mcapsizerank}}
Date of Entry
{{sm.date}}
Entry Price
{{sm.opening_price}}
Last 1 Year Return
{{sm.performance_1y}}%
Related News