The third quarter results reveal a tale of two narratives: robust year-on-year growth driven by higher realisations and volume expansion, contrasted against sequential pressures from seasonal factors and margin compression. The company's standalone net profit of ₹437.00 crores showed resilience, but the consolidated performance highlighted challenges in subsidiary operations and working capital management.
Financial Performance: Revenue Growth Amid Margin Pressures
EID Parry's Q3 FY26 net sales of ₹10,315.58 crores reflected an 18.29% year-on-year increase, demonstrating the company's ability to capitalise on favourable market conditions in both its core fertilizer and sugar businesses. However, the 11.26% quarter-on-quarter decline from ₹11,624.44 crores in Q2 FY26 underscores the seasonal nature of agricultural demand and sugar crushing operations.
| Quarter | Net Sales (₹ Cr) | QoQ Growth | YoY Growth | Operating Margin | PAT Margin | Consol. Net Profit (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec'25 | 10,315.58 | -11.26% | +18.29% | 8.1% | 4.24% | 232.15 |
| Sep'25 | 11,624.44 | +33.25% | +24.59% | 10.3% | 6.59% | 424.41 |
| Jun'25 | 8,723.68 | +28.08% | +29.30% | 9.23% | 5.32% | 246.28 |
| Mar'25 | 6,811.12 | -21.89% | — | 7.78% | 7.92% | 286.52 |
| Dec'24 | 8,720.35 | -6.54% | — | 8.05% | 4.77% | 194.87 |
| Sep'24 | 9,330.35 | +38.29% | — | 10.41% | 6.34% | 305.63 |
| Jun'24 | 6,746.79 | — | — | 7.17% | 3.35% | 91.33 |
The operating margin (excluding other income) of 8.1% in Q3 FY26 showed marginal year-on-year improvement of 5 basis points from 8.05% in Q3 FY25, but contracted sharply by 220 basis points from the 10.3% achieved in Q2 FY26. This sequential compression signals rising input costs and operational pressures that offset the benefits of higher sales volumes. The PAT margin of 4.24% similarly declined from 4.77% year-on-year and 6.59% quarter-on-quarter, reflecting the impact of higher depreciation charges and interest costs.
On a half-yearly basis, H1 FY26 (April-September 2025) net sales of ₹20,348.12 crores grew 26.67% year-on-year, whilst consolidated net profit of ₹670.69 crores surged 73.38%, demonstrating strong momentum in the first half. However, Q3's performance suggests this trajectory may be moderating as cost pressures intensify.
Margin Dynamics Under Scrutiny
The 220-basis-point sequential decline in operating margin from Q2 to Q3 FY26 warrants close attention. Rising raw material costs, particularly in the fertilizer segment, and lower sugar realisations during the off-season crushing period appear to be key culprits. Employee costs rose 6.30% quarter-on-quarter to ₹349.99 crores, whilst depreciation jumped 28.81% to ₹203.53 crores, reflecting the impact of recent capital expenditure programmes.
Operational Excellence: Strong Capital Efficiency Despite ROE Weakness
EID Parry's operational metrics present a nuanced picture of capital efficiency. The company's average Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) stands at an impressive 42.16%, significantly above most industry peers and demonstrating excellent efficiency in deploying capital into productive assets. This high ROCE reflects the company's ability to generate substantial operating profits relative to the capital invested in its sugar factories, fertilizer operations, and power generation facilities.
However, the average Return on Equity (ROE) of 12.82% remains relatively modest, indicating that whilst the company efficiently utilises its operational capital, shareholder returns are diluted by the capital structure and lower profit margins. The latest ROE of 10.38% has declined from the five-year average, suggesting pressure on net profitability relative to equity base. This divergence between high ROCE and moderate ROE typically indicates either conservative leverage or margin pressures at the net profit level.
The balance sheet reveals a net cash position, with average net debt-to-equity of -0.26, meaning the company holds more cash than debt. Long-term debt stood at just ₹226.51 crores as of March 2025, against shareholder funds of ₹7,935.73 crores. This conservative financial structure provides significant flexibility for future expansion but also explains why ROE lags behind ROCE—the company isn't leveraging its strong operational performance with debt to amplify equity returns.
Key Operational Strengths
Capital Efficiency: With ROCE of 42.16% and sales-to-capital-employed ratio of 3.52x, EID Parry demonstrates superior asset utilisation. The company's crushing capacity of 40,800 tonnes per day across six sugar factories, combined with 140 MW power generation and 417 KLPD distillery capacity, creates a well-integrated business model that maximises value extraction from sugarcane inputs. The five-year sales CAGR of 14.41% reflects consistent volume growth and market share gains.
Fertilizer Sector Dynamics: Navigating Policy and Pricing Pressures
As the largest company in the fertilizers sector, EID Parry operates in a highly regulated environment where government subsidy policies significantly impact profitability. The company's fertilizer operations have benefited from stable subsidy disbursements and improved working capital cycles in recent quarters, though the sequential decline in Q3 suggests some normalisation after a strong Q2 performance.
The fertilizer business faces structural challenges from subsidy dependency and price controls, which limit pricing power despite rising raw material costs. However, EID Parry's integrated model—combining sugar, power cogeneration, and nutraceuticals—provides diversification benefits that pure fertilizer players lack. The company's bio-pesticides segment also offers higher-margin growth opportunities as farmers increasingly adopt sustainable agricultural practices.
Interest coverage, measured by EBIT-to-interest ratio, averaged a healthy 8.79x over the past five years, indicating comfortable debt servicing ability. In Q3 FY26, interest costs of ₹103.12 crores declined 19.82% sequentially from ₹128.64 crores in Q2, suggesting improved working capital management or debt reduction, which partially offset margin pressures.
Working Capital Concerns Emerge
Cash flow from operations in FY25 stood at ₹1,936.00 crores, down marginally from ₹1,974.00 crores in FY24. However, the company deployed ₹2,782.00 crores in investing activities during FY25, primarily towards capacity expansion and modernisation. This resulted in negative net cash inflow of ₹772.00 crores, causing closing cash to decline from ₹1,176.00 crores to ₹403.00 crores. Whilst the capital expenditure supports long-term growth, the cash burn rate requires monitoring.
Peer Comparison: Valuation Discount Despite Operational Gaps
EID Parry's valuation metrics reveal an interesting positioning within the fertilizer sector. The company trades at a P/E ratio of 18.00x, which appears reasonable compared to peers like Coromandel International at 31.48x and Deepak Fertilisers at 15.07x. However, the sector average is distorted by FACT's exceptionally high multiple of 3,491.77x due to near-zero earnings.
| Company | P/E (TTM) | P/BV | ROE (%) | Debt/Equity | Div Yield (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EID Parry | 18.00 | 1.87 | 12.82 | -0.26 | — |
| Coromandel Inter | 31.48 | 5.48 | 20.41 | -0.23 | 0.79 |
| Chambal Fert. | 9.64 | 1.87 | 19.28 | -0.08 | 2.17 |
| Deepak Fertilis. | 15.07 | 2.02 | 16.02 | 0.55 | 0.96 |
| Paradeep Phosph. | 12.41 | 1.99 | 9.84 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
The critical gap emerges in ROE comparison: EID Parry's 12.82% ROE trails sector leaders like Coromandel (20.41%), Chambal (19.28%), and Deepak Fertilisers (16.02%). This profitability gap explains why EID Parry trades at a lower P/BV multiple of 1.87x versus Coromandel's 5.48x, despite similar net cash positions. The market is essentially pricing in the lower return profile, though EID Parry's superior ROCE suggests operational efficiency that isn't fully translating to shareholder returns.
EID Parry's market capitalisation of ₹16,221.99 crores positions it as the fourth-largest player in the peer group, behind sector heavyweight Coromandel. The company's diversification into sugar and nutraceuticals provides revenue stability that pure fertilizer players lack, but this hasn't commanded a valuation premium given the moderate ROE profile.
Valuation Analysis: Premium Pricing Despite Mixed Fundamentals
The current valuation assessment classifies EID Parry as "Very Expensive," a grade the stock has held since October 2024 with brief intermissions. At ₹912.00, the stock trades at a P/E of 18.00x, representing a 100% premium to the fertilizer sector average P/E of 9.00x. This premium appears difficult to justify given the company's below-peer ROE and recent margin pressures.
The Price-to-Book ratio of 1.87x aligns with the sector median, suggesting the market values EID Parry's net assets appropriately. However, the EV/EBITDA multiple of 4.30x and EV/EBIT of 5.30x appear reasonable for a company with net cash and stable cash generation. The PEG ratio of 0.83x (below 1.0) suggests the stock isn't overvalued relative to growth, though the five-year EBIT growth of just 4.88% raises questions about future earnings momentum.
Valuation Dashboard
P/E Ratio: 18.00x (100% premium to sector)
P/BV Ratio: 1.87x (in line with sector)
EV/EBITDA: 4.30x (reasonable)
Dividend Yield: Not applicable (last dividend ₹4 in Nov 2023)
52-Week Range: ₹639.30 - ₹1,246.45
Current Price Distance: -26.83% from high, +42.66% from low
The absence of recent dividend payments (last dividend of ₹4 per share paid in November 2023) and low payout ratio of 7.89% suggest management prioritises capital retention for growth investments over shareholder distributions. Whilst this strategy supports the ongoing capacity expansion programme, income-focused investors may find limited appeal.
Shareholding Pattern: Institutional Confidence Building Gradually
The shareholding structure reveals encouraging institutional accumulation over recent quarters, though promoter holding has marginally declined. Promoter stake decreased from 41.69% in December 2024 to 41.44% in December 2025, a cumulative reduction of 25 basis points. This minor dilution appears technical rather than a cause for concern, likely related to corporate actions or employee stock programmes.
| Quarter | Promoter | FII | Mutual Funds | Insurance | Other DII |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec'25 | 41.44% | 12.61% | 15.43% | 0.44% | 0.41% |
| Sep'25 | 41.49% | 12.77% | 14.79% | 0.39% | 0.39% |
| Jun'25 | 41.54% | 12.66% | 13.83% | 0.28% | 0.35% |
| Mar'25 | 41.61% | 12.17% | 13.15% | 0.34% | 0.33% |
| Dec'24 | 41.69% | 12.64% | 12.72% | 0.24% | 0.33% |
The most significant development is the steady rise in mutual fund holdings, which increased from 12.72% in December 2024 to 15.43% in December 2025—a cumulative addition of 271 basis points. This sustained accumulation by 28 mutual fund houses signals growing institutional conviction in the company's long-term prospects despite near-term headwinds. The sequential addition of 64 basis points in Q3 FY26 alone demonstrates continued buying interest even as the stock price declined.
Foreign Institutional Investors maintained stable holdings around 12.61%, with minor quarterly fluctuations suggesting neither aggressive accumulation nor distribution. The total institutional holding of 28.89% (FII + MF + Insurance + DII) provides reasonable liquidity and indicates professional investor interest, though this remains below levels seen in some large-cap peers.
Stock Performance: Significant Underperformance in Recent Months
EID Parry's stock performance reveals a stark divergence between long-term wealth creation and recent struggles. Over the past decade, the stock has delivered exceptional returns of 486.68%, massively outperforming the Sensex return of 260.38% by 226.30 percentage points. The five-year return of 186.39% similarly crushed the Sensex's 60.71%, generating alpha of 125.68 percentage points.
| Period | Stock Return | Sensex Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week | +3.54% | -0.89% | +4.43% |
| 1 Month | -3.13% | -0.94% | -2.19% |
| 3 Months | -12.70% | -1.94% | -10.76% |
| 6 Months | -19.92% | +2.85% | -22.77% |
| YTD | -11.92% | -2.80% | -9.12% |
| 1 Year | +16.36% | +8.80% | +7.56% |
| 3 Years | +75.88% | +37.08% | +38.80% |
| 5 Years | +186.39% | +60.71% | +125.68% |
However, recent performance tells a concerning story. The stock has declined 19.92% over the past six months, underperforming the Sensex by 22.77 percentage points. The three-month decline of 12.70% and year-to-date loss of 11.92% reflect mounting investor concerns about margin pressures and valuation sustainability. The stock trades 26.83% below its 52-week high of ₹1,246.45, though it remains 42.66% above the 52-week low of ₹639.30.
Technical indicators paint a bearish picture: the stock trades below all key moving averages (5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day), and the overall trend turned bearish on January 16, 2026. The MACD shows bearish signals on both weekly and monthly timeframes, whilst Bollinger Bands indicate mildly bearish to bearish momentum. The beta of 1.04 suggests the stock moves in line with market volatility, offering limited defensive characteristics during market downturns.
Investment Thesis: Quality Under Pressure
The investment case for EID Parry rests on several pillars, though each comes with meaningful caveats. The company maintains "Good" quality grade based on its long-term financial performance, zero debt position, and market leadership in fertilizers. The five-year sales CAGR of 14.41% demonstrates consistent growth, whilst the average ROCE of 42.16% highlights operational excellence.
However, the financial trend assessment of "Positive" based on latest six-month performance (sales growth of 21.55%, PAT growth of 31.18%) contrasts sharply with the "Bearish" technical trend that began in January 2026. This disconnect between fundamental momentum and market sentiment creates complexity for investment decisions. The valuation grade of "Very Expensive" further complicates the picture, suggesting limited margin of safety at current prices.
Mojo Score Analysis
Overall Score: 43/100 (SELL category)
Valuation: Very Expensive ⚠️
Quality Grade: Good ✓
Financial Trend: Positive ✓
Technical Trend: Bearish ✗
The score of 43 places EID Parry in "SELL" territory (30-50 range), downgraded from "HOLD" status in early January 2026. The primary drag comes from expensive valuation and deteriorating technical picture, which offset the company's good fundamental quality and positive recent financial trends.
Key Strengths & Risk Factors
KEY STRENGTHS
- Market Leadership: Largest company in fertilizers sector with established distribution network and brand equity
- Operational Efficiency: ROCE of 42.16% demonstrates superior capital deployment and asset utilisation
- Debt-Free Balance Sheet: Net cash position (debt-to-equity of -0.26) provides financial flexibility and reduces risk
- Diversified Business Model: Integration of sugar, fertilizers, power, and nutraceuticals reduces single-sector dependency
- Institutional Confidence: Rising mutual fund holdings (15.43%, up 271 bps YoY) signals professional investor conviction
- Long-Term Track Record: Five-year returns of 186.39% demonstrate wealth creation capability
- Capacity Expansion: Recent capex of ₹2,782 crores positions company for future growth
KEY CONCERNS
- Margin Compression: Operating margin declined 220 bps QoQ to 8.1%, signalling cost pressures
- Below-Peer Profitability: ROE of 12.82% trails sector leaders by 500-750 basis points
- Sequential Profit Decline: Consolidated PAT fell 45.30% QoQ despite revenue growth
- Expensive Valuation: P/E of 18x represents 100% premium to sector average with "Very Expensive" grade
- Regulatory Dependency: Fertilizer business heavily reliant on government subsidy policies and timely disbursements
- Cash Burn: Operating cash flow of ₹1,936 crores offset by capex of ₹2,782 crores in FY25
- Technical Weakness: Stock in bearish trend, trading below all major moving averages
Outlook: What to Watch in Coming Quarters
POSITIVE CATALYSTS
- Sugar crushing season momentum and realisation trends
- Government subsidy disbursement acceleration in fertilizer segment
- Operating margin recovery towards 10%+ levels seen in Q2
- Capacity utilisation improvements from recent capex
- Continued institutional accumulation by mutual funds
RED FLAGS TO MONITOR
- Further sequential margin compression below 8% levels
- Sustained cash burn requiring external funding
- Raw material cost escalation without pricing power
- Promoter stake declining below 40% threshold
- Technical breakdown below ₹900 support level
The outlook for EID Parry hinges on management's ability to navigate near-term margin pressures whilst executing on the long-term capacity expansion strategy. The sugar crushing season performance in Q4 FY26 will be critical, as will any announcements regarding fertilizer subsidy policies in the upcoming Union Budget. Investors should monitor whether the institutional buying interest continues or reverses if technical weakness persists.
The Verdict: Sell on Valuation Concerns
Score: 43/100
For Fresh Investors: Avoid initiating positions at current levels. The "Very Expensive" valuation grade, combined with sequential margin compression and bearish technical trend, offers limited margin of safety. Wait for meaningful valuation correction towards ₹750-800 levels (P/E of 14-15x) or evidence of sustained margin recovery before considering entry.
For Existing Holders: Consider booking partial profits, particularly for positions acquired below ₹700. Whilst the long-term business quality remains intact, the near-term risk-reward appears unfavourable given stretched valuations and margin headwinds. Retain exposure only if conviction in multi-year growth story justifies riding through current volatility.
Fair Value Estimate: ₹780 (14.4% downside from current price of ₹912)
EID Parry's fundamental quality and market leadership deserve respect, but valuation discipline matters. The stock's 100% premium to sector P/E appears unjustified given below-peer ROE and margin pressures. The combination of expensive valuation, deteriorating technicals, and sequential profit decline creates a challenging setup for near-term returns, warranting a cautious stance despite the company's long-term credentials.
Note- ROCE= (EBIT - Other income)/(Capital Employed - Cash - Current Investments)
⚠️ Investment Disclaimer
This article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence, consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
