The stock has responded negatively to the company's ongoing struggles, declining 17.87% over the past year whilst the Sensex gained 10.41%, resulting in a significant underperformance of 28.28 percentage points. Trading at ₹132.40 as of February 11, 2026, the shares remain in a bearish technical trend and are trading 30.32% below their 52-week high of ₹190.00.
| Quarter | Net Sales (₹ Cr) | QoQ Growth | Net Profit (₹ Cr) | QoQ Growth | PAT Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep'25 (Q2) | 15.51 | +143.87% | 2.91 | +182.52% | 18.76% |
| Jun'25 (Q1) | 6.36 | +218.00% | 1.03 | -127.76% | 16.19% |
| Mar'25 (Q4) | 2.00 | -84.73% | -3.71 | -563.75% | -185.50% |
| Dec'24 (Q3) | 13.10 | -13.59% | 0.80 | -88.92% | 6.11% |
| Sep'24 (Q2) | 15.16 | +96.37% | 7.22 | +587.62% | 47.63% |
| Jun'24 (Q1) | 7.72 | +192.42% | 1.05 | -126.18% | 13.60% |
Financial Performance: Erratic Quarterly Trajectory Raises Sustainability Concerns
In Q2 FY26, Ganges Securities reported net sales of ₹15.51 crores, representing a robust sequential improvement of 143.87% from Q1 FY26's ₹6.36 crores. However, the year-on-year comparison reveals marginal growth of just 2.31% from ₹15.16 crores in Q2 FY25. The company's revenue pattern exhibits extreme volatility, with quarterly sales swinging wildly between ₹2.00 crores and ₹15.51 crores over the past six quarters, suggesting an unstable business model or lumpy transaction-based revenue recognition.
Operating profit before depreciation, interest, and tax (excluding other income) stood at ₹4.95 crores in Q2 FY26, yielding an operating margin of 31.91%. Whilst this represents a significant sequential improvement from Q1 FY26's 13.99% margin, it remains substantially below the exceptional 58.97% achieved in Q2 FY25. The PAT margin of 18.76% in Q2 FY26, though improved from the previous quarter's 16.19%, pales in comparison to the 47.63% margin recorded in the year-ago quarter.
Employee costs have remained relatively stable at ₹5.96 crores in Q2 FY26 compared to ₹6.02 crores in Q2 FY25, demonstrating controlled overhead expenses. However, the tax rate of 39.25% in Q2 FY26 represents a significant increase from 19.06% in Q2 FY25, substantially impacting bottom-line profitability and raising questions about tax planning efficiency.
Operational Challenges: Critically Weak Return on Equity Signals Capital Inefficiency
The most alarming aspect of Ganges Securities' operational performance is its critically weak return on equity (ROE) of just 0.19% as of the latest quarter. This extraordinarily low figure indicates that the company is generating negligible returns on shareholder capital, a fundamental red flag for any investment company. The average ROE over the assessment period stands at a mere 1.01%, placing the company in the bottom tier of capital efficiency amongst listed entities.
For context, a healthy ROE for investment companies typically exceeds 12-15%, with superior performers achieving 20% or more. Ganges Securities' ROE of 0.19% means that for every ₹100 of shareholder equity, the company generates less than ₹0.20 in annual profit—an unacceptably low level of capital productivity. This metric alone raises serious questions about the company's ability to create shareholder value and justifies significant investor caution.
The balance sheet reveals shareholder funds of ₹676.26 crores as of March 2025, comprising share capital of ₹10.00 crores and reserves of ₹666.25 crores. Whilst the company maintains a debt-free balance sheet with zero long-term borrowings, this conservative capital structure has not translated into meaningful profitability. The company's investments stood at ₹667.69 crores, representing the bulk of total assets, yet these holdings are evidently not generating adequate returns.
⚠️ Critical Concern: Abysmal Capital Efficiency
Return on Equity (ROE): 0.19% – This extraordinarily low ROE indicates that Ganges Securities is generating virtually no returns on shareholder capital. As an investment company, this represents a fundamental failure in capital allocation and portfolio management. Investors should note that even risk-free government securities currently offer yields of 6-7%, making the company's 0.19% ROE completely unacceptable from a risk-return perspective.
Investment Company Context: Business Model Under Scrutiny
Ganges Securities operates as an Unregistered Core Investment Company (CIC) under Reserve Bank of India guidelines, with its primary objective being to invest and deal in securities, mainly of group companies, and in immovable properties. This business model inherently depends on the performance of underlying investments and the timing of divestments or dividend income from portfolio companies.
The erratic quarterly revenue pattern likely reflects the lumpy nature of investment realisations and dividend receipts. However, for a company with ₹667.69 crores in investments as of March 2025, the paltry annual profit of ₹5.00 crores in FY25 translates to an investment yield of less than 1%, far below market benchmarks and even below the prevailing risk-free rate.
The company's classification as "Below Average" in quality assessment reflects its weak long-term financial performance, with 5-year sales growth of just 0.45% and 5-year EBIT growth declining at 30.66% annually. These figures paint a picture of a stagnant or deteriorating investment portfolio that has failed to capitalise on India's robust equity market performance over the past half-decade.
| Financial Year | Net Sales (₹ Cr) | YoY Growth | Net Profit (₹ Cr) | PAT Margin | Operating Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY25 | 37.00 | +8.80% | 5.00 | 13.50% | 16.20% |
| FY24 | 34.00 | -17.10% | 3.00 | 8.80% | 17.60% |
| FY23 | 41.00 | +20.60% | 9.00 | 22.00% | 26.80% |
| FY22 | 34.00 | 0.00% | 7.00 | 20.60% | 23.50% |
| FY21 | 34.00 | +9.70% | 9.00 | 26.50% | 32.40% |
Peer Comparison: Lagging Across Critical Metrics
When compared to peers in the broader FMCG classification (noting that direct investment company peers are limited in the dataset), Ganges Securities demonstrates significant underperformance across key metrics. The company's ROE of 1.01% trails substantially behind peers such as B&A (9.70%), Narmada Agrobase (5.53%), and Milkfood (3.20%).
The company's P/E ratio of 105.84x appears extraordinarily expensive, particularly given its weak profitability and negative growth trajectory. This valuation multiple is approximately 4.4 times the peer average of roughly 24x, creating a significant valuation disconnect. The price-to-book ratio of 0.20x, whilst appearing attractively low on the surface, reflects market scepticism about the company's ability to generate returns on its book value—a scepticism that appears entirely justified given the 0.19% ROE.
| Company | P/E (TTM) | P/BV | ROE (%) | Debt to Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ganges Securities | 105.84 | 0.20 | 1.01% | 0.00 |
| B&A | 12.75 | 0.73 | 9.70% | 0.30 |
| Narmada Agrobase | 32.87 | 2.25 | 5.53% | -0.10 |
| Milkfood | NA (Loss Making) | 0.81 | 3.20% | 0.76 |
| Ravelcare | 26.60 | 13.53 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
Valuation Analysis: Expensive Despite Weak Fundamentals
Ganges Securities' current valuation grade of "Very Expensive" reflects a concerning disconnect between market pricing and fundamental performance. With a P/E ratio of 105.84x compared to the industry average of 23x, the stock trades at a premium of approximately 360% to sector peers—a premium entirely unjustified by the company's weak profitability metrics and negative growth trajectory.
The EV/EBITDA multiple of 71.90x and EV/EBIT of 120.07x further underscore the expensive valuation. These elevated multiples would typically be reserved for high-growth companies with strong competitive moats and expanding margins—characteristics conspicuously absent in Ganges Securities' profile. The company's valuation grade deteriorated from "Expensive" to "Very Expensive" in October 2025, reflecting either market inefficiency or speculative interest disconnected from fundamentals.
Book value per share stands at ₹676.01, whilst the stock trades at ₹132.40, implying a price-to-book ratio of 0.20x. Whilst this might appear to offer a margin of safety, the market's deep discount to book value reflects justified concerns about asset quality and the company's inability to generate adequate returns on these assets. With an ROE of 0.19%, the company is effectively destroying shareholder value rather than creating it.
Valuation Dashboard
Shareholding Pattern: Stable Promoter Base, Minimal Institutional Interest
The shareholding structure of Ganges Securities has remained remarkably stable over the past five quarters, with promoter holding consistently at 66.64%. The promoter group, led by entities within the K K Birla Group including Sil Investments Limited (13.38%) and Chandra Shekhar Nopany as trustee of Shekhar Family Trust (9.09%), demonstrates long-term commitment to the company. Importantly, there is no promoter pledging, eliminating one potential source of corporate governance concern.
However, institutional participation remains virtually non-existent, with FII holdings at a negligible 0.03%, mutual fund holdings at 0.01%, and zero insurance company participation. This minimal institutional interest reflects professional investors' assessment of the company's weak fundamentals and limited growth prospects. The absence of institutional buying despite the stock's 17.87% decline over the past year signals a lack of conviction in any potential turnaround.
| Quarter | Promoter | FII | Mutual Funds | Insurance | Non-Institutional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec'25 | 66.64% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 33.32% |
| Sep'25 | 66.64% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 33.32% |
| Jun'25 | 66.64% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 33.32% |
| Mar'25 | 66.64% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 33.32% |
| Dec'24 | 66.64% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 33.27% |
Stock Performance: Persistent Underperformance Across All Timeframes
Ganges Securities has delivered disappointing returns across virtually all meaningful timeframes, significantly underperforming both the Sensex and its FMCG sector peers. Over the past year, the stock declined 17.87% whilst the Sensex gained 10.41%, resulting in negative alpha of 28.28 percentage points. This underperformance extends across shorter timeframes as well, with the stock down 11.73% over three months (versus Sensex +0.43%) and down 15.13% over six months (versus Sensex +4.50%).
The stock's risk-adjusted returns paint an even grimmer picture. With a volatility of 45.71%—nearly four times the Sensex's 11.52%—and negative absolute returns, the stock exhibits a highly unfavourable risk-return profile. The risk-adjusted return of -0.39 and negative Sharpe ratio classify the stock firmly in the "High Risk Low Return" category, making it unsuitable for most investment portfolios.
Technical indicators uniformly point to continued weakness. The stock trades below all key moving averages—5-day (₹126.09), 20-day (₹124.28), 50-day (₹135.48), 100-day (₹144.97), and 200-day (₹152.80)—indicating persistent selling pressure. The overall technical trend remains "Bearish" as of February 10, 2026, with multiple indicators including MACD, KST, and Dow Theory signalling negative momentum.
| Period | Stock Return | Sensex Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week | +5.88% | +0.50% | +5.38% |
| 1 Month | +0.95% | +0.79% | +0.16% |
| 3 Months | -11.73% | +0.43% | -12.16% |
| 6 Months | -15.13% | +4.50% | -19.63% |
| 1 Year | -17.87% | +10.41% | -28.28% |
| 2 Years | -2.83% | +17.65% | -20.48% |
| 3 Years | +15.13% | +38.81% | -23.68% |
Investment Thesis: Multiple Red Flags Outweigh Limited Positives
The investment case for Ganges Securities is fundamentally challenged by a confluence of negative factors that overwhelm any potential positives. The company's proprietary Mojo Score of 7/100 with a "Strong Sell" rating accurately reflects the severe shortcomings across critical investment parameters.
Mojo Parameters Dashboard
Key Strengths & Risk Factors
✅ Key Strengths
⚠️ Key Concerns
Outlook: What to Watch
Positive Catalysts
Red Flags
The Verdict: Avoid This Value Trap
Score: 7/100
For Fresh Investors: Avoid initiating any position. The combination of critically weak ROE (0.19%), expensive valuation (P/E 105.84x), negative financial trends, and bearish technicals creates an unfavourable risk-reward profile. Better opportunities exist elsewhere in the market offering superior fundamentals at more reasonable valuations.
For Existing Holders: Consider exiting positions on any strength. The company's inability to generate meaningful returns on capital, coupled with persistent underperformance and lack of institutional interest, suggests limited near-term recovery prospects. The 0.19% ROE indicates fundamental business model challenges that require significant restructuring to address.
Fair Value Estimate: ₹95-100 (28-32% downside from current levels), reflecting the company's weak profitability, below-average quality grade, and expensive valuation multiples relative to fundamentals.
Note- ROCE= (EBIT - Other income)/(Capital Employed - Cash - Current Investments)
⚠️ Investment Disclaimer
This article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence, consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
