The results reveal a company struggling with margin compression and inconsistent profitability despite maintaining revenue growth. Operating margins collapsed from 16.40% in Q1 FY26 to just 5.33% in Q2 FY26, raising serious questions about cost management and operational efficiency. With a proprietary Mojo Score of just 21 out of 100 and a "Strong Sell" rating, Gujarat Terce faces an uphill battle to restore investor confidence.
Gujarat Terce Laboratories, incorporated in 1985, produces branded generic formulations for the domestic market with an extensive product basket comprising 50 brands across multiple therapeutic areas. The company's 180-plus strong medical representative team operates across 13 Indian states, providing a reasonable distribution footprint. However, the company's operational execution has failed to translate this presence into consistent profitability, as evidenced by the dramatic quarterly fluctuations in margins and earnings.
| Quarter | Net Sales (₹ Cr) | QoQ Change | Net Profit (₹ Cr) | QoQ Change | Operating Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep'21 | 10.13 | +1.91% | 0.45 | -71.88% | 5.33% |
| Jun'21 | 9.94 | +38.06% | 1.60 | -8100.00% | 16.40% |
| Sep'20 | 7.20 | +44.58% | -0.02 | -95.45% | 1.53% |
| Jun'20 | 4.98 | -50.74% | -0.44 | -218.92% | -8.03% |
| Dec'19 | 10.11 | -9.33% | 0.37 | -78.11% | 4.45% |
| Sep'19 | 11.15 | +34.18% | 1.69 | +196.49% | 16.50% |
Financial Performance: Margin Collapse Overshadows Revenue Stability
The most alarming aspect of Q2 FY26 results is the dramatic margin compression. Operating profit (PBDIT excluding other income) plummeted to ₹0.54 crores from ₹1.63 crores in Q1 FY26, representing a margin collapse from 16.40% to 5.33%. This 1,107 basis point margin erosion suggests severe operational challenges, potentially stemming from rising input costs, pricing pressures, or inefficient cost management. Net sales grew modestly by 1.91% QoQ to ₹10.13 crores, but this tepid top-line expansion failed to support profitability.
On a year-on-year basis, the picture remains mixed. Whilst net profit improved 21.62% compared to Q2 FY25's ₹0.37 crores, and sales grew marginally by 0.20%, the company's inability to maintain consistent margins raises fundamental questions about business sustainability. Employee costs rose to ₹3.95 crores in Q2 FY26 from ₹3.30 crores in Q1 FY26, consuming 39% of revenues compared to 33% in the previous quarter. This deterioration in the cost structure signals either inefficient workforce deployment or pricing power erosion.
The annual perspective reinforces these concerns. For FY25, Gujarat Terce reported net sales of ₹50.00 crores, representing 6.40% year-on-year growth. However, the company posted zero profit after tax for the full year despite generating ₹3.00 crores in operating profit. The extraordinary tax rate of 133.30% in FY25, where tax outflow of ₹4.00 crores exceeded pre-tax profit of ₹3.00 crores, wiped out all profitability. This unusual tax treatment warrants careful scrutiny and raises questions about the sustainability of reported earnings.
Critical Red Flag: Extraordinary Tax Treatment
Gujarat Terce's FY25 tax rate of 133.30% is highly unusual and concerning. The company paid ₹4.00 crores in taxes on a pre-tax profit of just ₹3.00 crores, resulting in zero net profit for the year. This suggests potential prior-period tax adjustments, disputes, or accounting irregularities that merit close investigation. Investors should seek clarity on the nature and recurrence risk of such extraordinary tax charges.
Operational Challenges: Weak Returns and Balance Sheet Erosion
Gujarat Terce's return on equity (ROE) of 5.89% over the past five years falls well below acceptable standards for a pharmaceutical company, indicating poor capital efficiency. More troubling is the latest annual ROE of -13.62%, reflecting actual wealth destruction for shareholders. The return on capital employed (ROCE) tells a contradictory story—whilst the five-year average stands at a respectable 26.99%, the latest annual ROCE surged to 70.84%. This dramatic improvement appears inconsistent with deteriorating profitability and likely reflects distortions from a shrinking capital base rather than genuine operational excellence.
The balance sheet has deteriorated significantly over the past five years. Shareholder funds declined from ₹11.11 crores in March 2020 to ₹6.48 crores in March 2025, representing a 41.68% erosion in book value. Reserves and surplus turned negative at -₹1.29 crores in March 2025 from -₹0.31 crores a year earlier, indicating accumulated losses. Whilst the company maintains minimal debt with long-term borrowings of just ₹0.30 crores, current liabilities rose to ₹12.64 crores, exceeding current assets of ₹12.02 crores. This tight liquidity position leaves little room for operational missteps.
Quality Concerns: Below Average Fundamentals
Gujarat Terce carries a "Below Average" quality grade based on long-term financial performance. Whilst the company benefits from zero promoter pledging and minimal debt, its weak ROE of 5.89%, inconsistent profitability, and complete absence of institutional shareholding (0.00% FII and mutual fund holdings) reflect a lack of confidence from sophisticated investors. The five-year sales CAGR of 9.05% is modest for a pharmaceutical company, and EBIT growth of 39.01% appears driven more by base effects than sustainable operational improvements.
The Valuation Paradox: Expensive Despite Poor Fundamentals
Gujarat Terce trades at a price-to-book value of 4.59 times, a substantial premium considering the company's deteriorating fundamentals and negative earnings. The stock is classified as "Very Expensive" in Mojo's proprietary valuation framework, having transitioned from "Very Attractive" in December 2024 to "Expensive" by July 2025 as the share price rallied without corresponding fundamental improvement. With the company loss-making on a trailing twelve-month basis, traditional P/E valuation metrics are not applicable.
The enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 7.96 times and EV to sales ratio of 0.66 times appear modest in isolation, but must be evaluated against the backdrop of margin volatility and questionable earnings quality. The stock has fallen 44.00% from its 52-week high of ₹82.75, now trading at ₹46.34, yet remains 24.57% above its 52-week low of ₹37.20. This suggests the market has partially repriced the stock for deteriorating fundamentals, but further downside remains likely given the "Strong Sell" rating and score of just 21 out of 100.
| Valuation Metric | Current Value | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | NA (Loss Making) | Not Applicable |
| Price to Book Value | 4.59x | Expensive |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.96x | Moderate |
| EV/Sales | 0.66x | Reasonable |
| Book Value per Share | ₹8.26 | Declining |
Peer Comparison: Underperforming on Quality Metrics
Comparing Gujarat Terce to pharmaceutical sector peers reveals its relative weakness. Whilst the company's five-year average ROE of 5.89% exceeds some micro-cap peers like Veerhealth Care (2.72%) and Sandu Pharmaceuticals (3.73%), it trails Roopa Industries (9.78%) significantly. More concerning is Gujarat Terce's price-to-book ratio of 4.59 times, which represents a substantial premium to peers—Roopa Industries trades at 2.06 times book, Sandu at 0.78 times, and Welcure Drugs at just 0.37 times book value.
This valuation premium appears unjustified given Gujarat Terce's operational challenges and deteriorating profitability. The company's market capitalisation of ₹33.00 crores positions it as the fourth-largest amongst this peer group, but size provides no competitive advantage in the fragmented generic pharmaceuticals market. The complete absence of institutional shareholding (0.00% FII, mutual fund, and insurance holdings) contrasts with more established peers and signals sophisticated investors' reluctance to participate in the equity.
| Company | P/E (TTM) | P/BV Ratio | ROE (%) | Debt/Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gujarat Terce Labs | NA (Loss Making) | 4.59x | 5.89% | -0.32 |
| Roopa Industries | 19.54x | 2.06x | 9.78% | 1.88 |
| Welcure Drugs | 1.11x | 0.37x | 4.93% | 1.20 |
| Veerhealth Care | 77.26x | 1.60x | 2.72% | 0.17 |
| Sandu Pharma | 20.99x | 0.78x | 3.73% | -0.05 |
Shareholding Pattern: Promoter Stake Increase Provides Limited Comfort
Promoter shareholding increased to 40.03% in December 2025 from 37.03% in the preceding three quarters, representing a 3.00 percentage point sequential increase. This accumulation by promoters could signal confidence in the business outlook, though it may equally reflect difficulty in attracting external investors. The promoter group includes Aalap Natubhai Prajapati (17.35%), Abundant Trade Link Private Limited (13.81%), and Natwarbhai Parsottam Prajapati (8.16%). Positively, there is zero promoter pledging, eliminating concerns about forced selling in adverse market conditions.
The shareholding structure reveals a complete absence of institutional participation. Foreign institutional investors, mutual funds, insurance companies, and other domestic institutional investors collectively hold 0.00% of the equity. Non-institutional shareholders hold the remaining 59.97%, down from 62.97% in the previous quarter. This retail-dominated shareholder base increases stock price volatility and reduces liquidity, making the stock unsuitable for institutional investors or those requiring exit flexibility.
| Quarter | Promoter % | Change | FII % | MF % | Public % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec'25 | 40.03% | +3.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 59.97% |
| Sep'25 | 37.03% | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 62.97% |
| Jun'25 | 37.03% | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 62.97% |
| Mar'25 | 37.03% | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 62.97% |
Stock Performance: Severe Underperformance Across Timeframes
Gujarat Terce has delivered catastrophic returns over the past year, declining 43.76% whilst the Sensex gained 6.66%, resulting in negative alpha of 50.42 percentage points. The stock has underperformed its pharmaceutical sector peers by 45.93 percentage points over this period. Year-to-date performance shows a 6.53% gain, but this modest recovery follows the severe drawdown and remains 44.00% below the 52-week high. The stock's one-year risk-adjusted return of -0.64 combined with volatility of 68.21% places it firmly in the "High Risk Low Return" category.
Longer-term returns paint a more complex picture. Over three years, the stock has delivered 153.92% returns versus the Sensex's 37.76%, generating alpha of 116.16 percentage points. Five-year returns of 494.87% substantially exceed the Sensex's 65.60%. However, these historical gains reflect the stock's journey from extremely depressed levels rather than sustainable business improvement. The current technical trend is "Mildly Bearish" with the stock trading below all key moving averages (5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day), suggesting continued downward pressure.
| Period | Stock Return | Sensex Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week | +3.25% | +1.79% | +1.46% |
| 1 Month | -1.36% | -2.27% | +0.91% |
| 3 Months | +1.05% | +0.43% | +0.62% |
| 6 Months | -4.53% | +3.45% | -7.98% |
| 1 Year | -43.76% | +6.66% | -50.42% |
| 3 Years | +153.92% | +37.76% | +116.16% |
| 5 Years | +494.87% | +65.60% | +429.27% |
Investment Thesis: Multiple Red Flags Justify Strong Sell Rating
Gujarat Terce's Mojo Score of 21 out of 100 reflects a confluence of negative factors across all key investment parameters. The "Strong Sell" rating, assigned since May 2025, stems from deteriorating fundamentals, expensive valuation, bearish technical trends, and flat financial performance. The company scores poorly on near-term drivers with a "Mildly Bearish" technical trend and "Flat" quarterly financial performance. Quality assessment remains "Below Average" despite the company's debt-free status, whilst valuation stands at "Very Expensive" levels unjustified by business fundamentals.
The stock's high beta of 1.50 indicates significantly greater volatility than the broader market, amplifying downside risk in adverse conditions. With the stock trading below all major moving averages and technical indicators predominantly negative or neutral, momentum factors provide no support. The one-year underperformance of 50.42 percentage points versus the Sensex and 45.93 percentage points versus the pharmaceutical sector reflects market recognition of the company's structural challenges.
Key Strengths & Risk Factors
✓ KEY STRENGTHS
- Debt-Free Balance Sheet: Net cash position with minimal long-term debt of ₹0.30 crores eliminates financial leverage risk
- Zero Promoter Pledging: No pledged shares removes forced-selling concerns in market downturns
- Promoter Accumulation: 3.00 percentage point increase in promoter stake to 40.03% in Q3 FY26 signals confidence
- Established Distribution: 180-plus medical representative team across 13 states provides market reach
- Diversified Portfolio: 50 brands across multiple therapeutic areas reduces product concentration risk
- Long Operating History: Four decades in business since 1985 demonstrates survival capability
⚠ KEY CONCERNS
- Severe Margin Compression: Operating margin collapsed from 16.40% to 5.33% in single quarter, indicating structural cost issues
- Inconsistent Profitability: Quarterly earnings volatility ranging from losses to ₹1.69 crores undermines reliability
- Extraordinary Tax Burden: FY25 tax rate of 133.30% wiped out entire annual profitability, raising accounting concerns
- Zero Institutional Holdings: Complete absence of FII, mutual fund, and insurance participation signals quality concerns
- Eroding Book Value: Shareholder funds declined 41.68% from ₹11.11 crores to ₹6.48 crores over five years
- Expensive Valuation: P/BV of 4.59x unjustified for loss-making company with deteriorating fundamentals
- High Volatility: 68.21% volatility and 1.50 beta amplify downside risk in market corrections
Outlook: What to Watch Going Forward
POSITIVE CATALYSTS
- Sustained margin recovery above 12% for three consecutive quarters
- Clarification and resolution of extraordinary tax burden from FY25
- Entry of institutional investors (FII or mutual funds) signalling quality improvement
- Consistent quarterly profitability exceeding ₹1.00 crore demonstrating operational stability
- Revenue growth acceleration above 15% annually with maintained margins
RED FLAGS TO MONITOR
- Further margin compression below 5% in upcoming quarters
- Return to quarterly losses or sub-₹0.30 crore profitability
- Additional extraordinary tax charges or accounting irregularities
- Promoter stake reduction or emergence of pledging
- Working capital deterioration with current ratio falling below 0.90
The Verdict: Exit Recommended for All Investors
Score: 21/100
For Fresh Investors: Avoid completely. The combination of collapsing margins, inconsistent profitability, expensive valuation at 4.59 times book value, and complete absence of institutional participation creates an unfavourable risk-reward proposition. The 71.88% quarterly profit decline signals fundamental operational distress requiring substantial time and management capability to resolve.
For Existing Holders: Exit on any price recovery towards ₹50-52 levels. The stock has declined 43.76% over the past year and faces continued downward pressure with "Mildly Bearish" technical trends and deteriorating fundamentals. The extraordinary tax burden of 133.30% in FY25 that eliminated all profitability raises serious questions about earnings quality and sustainability.
Fair Value Estimate: ₹32-35 (30-32% downside from current levels) based on 2.5-2.8 times eroding book value of ₹8.26, reflecting below-average quality and inconsistent profitability. The current price of ₹46.34 offers no margin of safety.
Note— ROCE = (EBIT - Other income)/(Capital Employed - Cash - Current Investments)
⚠️ Investment Disclaimer
This article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence, consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult with a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investments in small-cap and micro-cap stocks carry significantly higher risks including liquidity constraints, volatility, and potential for total capital loss.
