The December quarter results showcase MedPlus's ability to drive topline expansion whilst grappling with margin compression. Net sales reached an all-time quarterly high of ₹1,806.12 crores, reflecting healthy demand across its pharmacy network. However, the company's operating margin (excluding other income) dipped marginally to 8.78% from 8.86% in the previous quarter, indicating that cost pressures and competitive intensity continue to weigh on profitability. The PAT margin of 3.20% remains relatively thin for a retail operation, highlighting the capital-intensive nature of pharmacy retail expansion.
Quarterly Performance: Revenue Momentum Meets Margin Headwinds
MedPlus delivered its strongest quarterly revenue performance in Q3 FY26, with net sales climbing 7.55% sequentially to ₹1,806.12 crores. On a year-on-year basis, revenue growth accelerated to 15.67%, outpacing the 6.54% YoY growth recorded in Q2 FY26. This acceleration suggests improving same-store sales growth and successful store additions, critical drivers for a retail pharmacy chain expanding across tier-2 and tier-3 cities.
| Quarter | Net Sales (₹ Cr) | QoQ Growth | Net Profit (₹ Cr) | QoQ Growth | PAT Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec'25 | 1,806.12 | +7.55% | 57.81 | +4.16% | 3.20% |
| Sep'25 | 1,679.33 | +8.86% | 55.50 | +31.02% | 3.30% |
| Jun'25 | 1,542.63 | +2.19% | 42.36 | -17.49% | 2.74% |
| Mar'25 | 1,509.61 | -3.32% | 51.34 | +11.88% | 3.40% |
| Dec'24 | 1,561.45 | -0.93% | 45.89 | +18.46% | 2.94% |
| Sep'24 | 1,576.17 | +5.87% | 38.74 | +169.78% | 2.46% |
| Jun'24 | 1,488.83 | — | 14.36 | — | 0.96% |
Operating profit before depreciation, interest, and tax (PBDIT), excluding other income, reached ₹158.62 crores in Q3 FY26, the highest quarterly EBITDA on record. However, the margin contraction to 8.78% from 8.86% in Q2 FY26 signals that rising employee costs and operational expenses are offsetting the benefits of revenue scale. Employee costs surged 9.06% sequentially to ₹232.65 crores, reflecting both wage inflation and increased hiring to support store expansion.
Interest costs climbed 6.97% QoQ to ₹30.83 crores, reflecting higher working capital requirements and debt servicing as the company finances its aggressive expansion. Depreciation expenses increased 6.09% to ₹72.74 crores, in line with capital expenditure for new store openings. The tax rate for Q3 FY26 stood at 21.15%, up from 19.48% in Q2 FY26, contributing to slower net profit growth relative to operating profit expansion.
Quality of Earnings: Sustainable Growth or Stretched Margins?
Whilst MedPlus achieved record quarterly revenue, the declining operating margin raises concerns about the sustainability of profit growth. The company's PAT margin of 3.20% remains below the 3.40% recorded in Q4 FY25, suggesting that operational efficiencies are not keeping pace with topline expansion. Other income contributed ₹18.24 crores in Q3 FY26, representing 10.31% of operating profit, indicating reliance on treasury income to support overall profitability.
Operational Challenges: Return Ratios Signal Weak Capital Efficiency
MedPlus's return on equity (ROE) stood at 10.57% for the latest period, a marked improvement from the five-year average of just 5.80%. Whilst this uptick is encouraging, the ROE remains well below industry leaders and highlights the company's historical struggle to generate attractive returns on shareholder capital. The return on capital employed (ROCE) reached 11.34% in the most recent period, up from the five-year average of 6.52%, but still reflects suboptimal capital productivity for a retail business.
The company's balance sheet reveals moderate leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio averaging 0.37 over the past five years. As of March 2025, shareholder funds totalled ₹1,740.56 crores, supported by reserves of ₹1,716.62 crores. The absence of long-term debt is a positive, but current liabilities of ₹576.59 crores, including trade payables of ₹298.96 crores, indicate working capital intensity typical of pharmacy retail operations.
⚠️ Capital Efficiency Concerns
MedPlus's average ROCE of 6.52% and average ROE of 5.80% over the past five years underscore weak capital efficiency. The company's EBIT-to-interest coverage ratio averaged just 1.92 times, indicating limited financial flexibility. Whilst recent improvements in ROE and ROCE are positive, sustained margin expansion and operational leverage will be critical to achieving competitive return ratios.
Fixed assets stood at ₹338.47 crores as of March 2025, down from ₹364.49 crores in the prior year, reflecting depreciation outpacing capital expenditure. Current assets totalled ₹1,843.52 crores, driven by inventory and receivables necessary to support the growing store network. The company's inventory turnover ratio reached a record high of 4.91 times on a half-yearly basis, suggesting improved inventory management and faster stock rotation.
Pharmacy Retail Dynamics: Navigating Competitive Intensity
The Indian pharmacy retail sector remains highly fragmented and intensely competitive, with organised chains like MedPlus competing against both standalone pharmacies and larger rivals. MedPlus's strategy focuses on penetrating tier-2 and tier-3 cities, where organised retail pharmacy penetration is lower and growth opportunities are more substantial. The company's emphasis on affordable generic medicines and value pricing positions it well to capture market share in price-sensitive markets.
However, margin pressures are endemic to the sector. Pharmacy retail operates on thin gross margins, typically in the range of 20-25%, with operating margins compressed by rental costs, employee expenses, and logistics. MedPlus's gross profit margin of 8.09% in Q3 FY26, whilst an improvement from 7.63% in Q3 FY25, remains modest and vulnerable to competitive pricing pressures and supplier negotiations.
| Metric | Q3 FY26 | Q2 FY26 | Q3 FY25 | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 8.09% | 8.19% | 7.63% | YoY improvement, QoQ dip |
| Operating Margin (Excl OI) | 8.78% | 8.86% | 8.49% | Marginal compression |
| PAT Margin | 3.20% | 3.30% | 2.94% | Below Q4 FY25 peak |
| Employee Cost (₹ Cr) | 232.65 | 213.32 | 189.68 | Rising wage inflation |
The company's debt-to-EBITDA ratio averaged 3.08 times over the past five years, indicating moderate leverage relative to operating cash flow generation. With interest costs consuming a significant portion of operating profit, MedPlus must prioritise margin expansion and operational efficiency to reduce financial strain and improve return metrics.
Peer Comparison: Valuation Premium Despite Weak Returns
MedPlus trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 49.01 times trailing twelve-month earnings, a premium to the retailing sector average P/E of 73 times but elevated relative to its own return profile. The company's price-to-book (P/BV) ratio of 5.18 times reflects investor expectations of future growth, but appears stretched given the average ROE of just 5.80% over the past five years.
| Company | P/E (TTM) | P/BV | ROE (%) | Debt/Equity | Div Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MedPlus Health | 49.01 | 5.18 | 5.80 | 0.37 | NA |
| A B Lifestyle | 89.49 | 9.69 | 11.08 | 2.35 | NA |
| Aditya Vision | 57.48 | 10.11 | 37.54 | 0.49 | 0.22% |
| Entero Healthcare | 43.30 | 2.71 | 6.26 | 0.16 | NA |
| Shankara Buildpro | 23.30 | 3.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | NA |
Compared to peers, MedPlus's ROE of 5.80% lags significantly behind Aditya Vision's 37.54% and A B Lifestyle's 11.08%. The company's P/BV multiple of 5.18 times is lower than Aditya Vision (10.11 times) and A B Lifestyle (9.69 times), but higher than Entero Healthcare (2.71 times). This suggests that whilst MedPlus trades at a relative valuation discount to some peers, its weak return ratios do not justify a premium valuation.
MedPlus's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37 is lower than A B Lifestyle (2.35) and comparable to Aditya Vision (0.49), indicating conservative leverage. However, the absence of dividend payments limits income appeal for investors, particularly given the modest ROE profile.
Valuation Analysis: Attractive Entry Point or Value Trap?
At the current price of ₹798.00, MedPlus trades at a P/E multiple of 49.01 times, below the retailing sector average of 73 times. The stock's P/BV ratio of 5.18 times and EV/EBITDA multiple of 18.69 times suggest moderate valuation relative to growth expectations. However, the company's weak historical return ratios and margin pressures raise questions about whether the current valuation reflects sustainable earnings power or merely optimistic growth assumptions.
The stock's PEG ratio of 0.52 suggests that MedPlus may be undervalued relative to its growth rate, with five-year sales CAGR of 15.91% and EBIT CAGR of 13.01%. However, this metric assumes that growth can be sustained without further margin erosion, a significant assumption given recent quarterly trends. The company's valuation grade shifted from "Attractive" to "Very Attractive" in October 2025, reflecting the stock's decline from its 52-week high.
MedPlus currently trades 24.15% below its 52-week high of ₹1,052.05 and 32.34% above its 52-week low of ₹603.00. This mid-range positioning offers limited margin of safety for investors, particularly given the company's below-average quality grade and weak return metrics.
Shareholding Pattern: Institutional Confidence Stabilising
Promoter holding in MedPlus remained stable at 40.29% in Q3 FY26, unchanged from Q2 FY26 but marginally lower than 40.39% in Q4 FY24. The consistent promoter stake suggests management confidence, though the lack of increase may indicate limited appetite for further capital infusion. Notably, 60.74% of promoter shares are pledged, a significant concern that raises questions about financial stress or liquidity constraints at the promoter level.
| Quarter | Promoter | FII | Mutual Fund | Insurance | Other DII |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec'25 | 40.29% | 16.83% | 21.48% | 2.29% | 2.81% |
| Sep'25 | 40.29% | 16.54% | 21.48% | 2.24% | 2.79% |
| Jun'25 | 40.32% | 16.42% | 21.47% | 2.17% | 2.39% |
| Mar'25 | 40.34% | 15.61% | 21.59% | 2.26% | 2.34% |
| Dec'24 | 40.39% | 15.23% | 21.51% | 2.47% | 1.68% |
Foreign institutional investor (FII) holding increased to 16.83% in Q3 FY26 from 16.54% in Q2 FY26, reflecting growing international interest despite the company's operational challenges. Mutual fund holding remained flat at 21.48%, indicating stable domestic institutional support. Insurance holdings edged up to 2.29% from 2.24%, whilst other domestic institutional investors (DIIs) increased their stake to 2.81% from 2.79%.
Non-institutional shareholding declined to 16.30% in Q3 FY26 from 16.65% in Q2 FY26, suggesting some retail investor profit-taking. Overall, institutional holdings of 43.41% provide a solid anchor for the stock, though the high promoter pledge remains a red flag that warrants close monitoring.
Stock Performance: Underperformance Amidst Bearish Technicals
MedPlus has delivered a one-year return of 9.32%, marginally outperforming the Sensex's 7.18% return by 2.14 percentage points. However, the stock has underperformed significantly over longer periods, with a three-year return of 24.82% compared to the Sensex's 38.27%, resulting in negative alpha of 13.45 percentage points. The four-year return of -27.34% versus the Sensex's 43.83% highlights the stock's volatile and disappointing long-term performance.
| Period | Stock Return | Sensex Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | +3.33% | -0.36% | +3.69% |
| 1 Week | +2.88% | +0.90% | +1.98% |
| 1 Month | -1.01% | -2.84% | +1.83% |
| 3 Month | +5.56% | -2.53% | +8.09% |
| 6 Month | -14.47% | +0.97% | -15.44% |
| YTD | -1.02% | -3.46% | +2.44% |
| 1 Year | +9.32% | +7.18% | +2.14% |
| 3 Years | +24.82% | +38.27% | -13.45% |
| 4 Years | -27.34% | +43.83% | -71.17% |
The stock's six-month return of -14.47% versus the Sensex's 0.97% gain underscores recent weakness, with the stock trading below all key moving averages—5-day (₹780.61), 20-day (₹808.35), 50-day (₹805.18), 100-day (₹796.50), and 200-day (₹831.11). This technical setup indicates a "mildly bearish" trend, as classified by technical analysis, with immediate resistance at the 20-day moving average around ₹808.35.
MedPlus's high beta of 1.35 suggests the stock is 35% more volatile than the broader market, with annualised volatility of 31.95% compared to the Sensex's 11.21%. The stock's risk-adjusted return of 0.29 over one year is significantly lower than the Sensex's 0.64, indicating that investors are not being adequately compensated for the elevated risk. The stock's classification as "HIGH RISK MEDIUM RETURN" reflects this unfavourable risk-return profile.
Investment Thesis: Mixed Signals Across Key Parameters
MedPlus's investment case presents a mixed picture across critical evaluation parameters. The company's near-term financial trend is classified as "Positive," driven by record quarterly revenue and net profit. However, the quality grade remains "Below Average," reflecting weak historical return ratios and modest capital efficiency. Valuation is assessed as "Very Attractive," with the stock trading below sector multiples, but technical indicators signal a "Mildly Bearish" trend.
The company's proprietary Mojo Score stands at 46 out of 100, placing it in the "SELL" category. This score reflects concerns about technical weakness, below-average quality, and limited margin expansion despite attractive valuation. The score downgraded from "HOLD" to "SELL" in October 2025, coinciding with the stock's bearish technical trend shift.
Key Strengths & Risk Factors
KEY STRENGTHS
- Revenue Momentum: Record quarterly revenue of ₹1,806.12 crores with 15.67% YoY growth demonstrates strong topline expansion.
- Institutional Support: High institutional holdings of 43.41% provide stability and liquidity.
- Market Positioning: Focus on tier-2 and tier-3 cities offers significant growth runway in underpenetrated markets.
- Improving ROE/ROCE: Latest ROE of 10.57% and ROCE of 11.34% show sequential improvement from weak historical averages.
- Inventory Efficiency: Record inventory turnover ratio of 4.91 times indicates improving operational efficiency.
- Attractive Valuation: P/E of 49.01x below sector average of 73x and PEG ratio of 0.52 suggest relative undervaluation.
- Conservative Leverage: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37 and absence of long-term debt provide financial flexibility.
KEY CONCERNS
- Margin Compression: Operating margin declined to 8.78% from 8.86% QoQ despite revenue growth, indicating cost pressures.
- Weak Return Ratios: Average ROE of 5.80% and ROCE of 6.52% over five years reflect poor capital efficiency.
- High Promoter Pledge: 60.74% of promoter shares pledged raises concerns about financial stress and governance risk.
- Thin PAT Margins: PAT margin of 3.20% remains vulnerable to competitive pricing and cost inflation.
- Technical Weakness: Stock trading below all key moving averages with "Mildly Bearish" trend classification.
- High Volatility: Beta of 1.35 and volatility of 31.95% indicate elevated risk without commensurate returns.
- No Dividend Income: Absence of dividend policy limits income appeal for investors seeking cash flows.
Outlook: What to Watch
POSITIVE CATALYSTS
- Sustained operating margin above 9% for two consecutive quarters
- ROE exceeding 12% on a sustained basis
- Reduction in promoter pledge below 40%
- Same-store sales growth acceleration above 10%
- Successful integration of new store openings with profitability
RED FLAGS
- Further margin compression below 8.5% operating margin
- Increase in promoter pledge above 65%
- Sequential decline in net profit for two quarters
- Deterioration in inventory turnover ratio
- Increase in debt-to-equity ratio above 0.50
Looking ahead, MedPlus must demonstrate that its topline expansion can translate into sustainable margin improvement and enhanced return ratios. The company's ability to leverage its growing store network, negotiate better supplier terms, and control employee costs will be critical to achieving operational leverage. Investors should monitor quarterly margin trends, promoter pledge levels, and institutional shareholding patterns for early signals of improving fundamentals or emerging risks.
The Verdict: Margin Pressures Outweigh Topline Growth
Score: 46/100
For Fresh Investors: Avoid initiating positions at current levels. Whilst valuation appears attractive and revenue momentum is strong, persistent margin compression, weak return ratios, and high promoter pledge present significant risks. Wait for sustained margin improvement and clearer evidence of operational leverage before considering entry.
For Existing Holders: Consider reducing exposure on any near-term strength. The stock's technical weakness, below-average quality grade, and limited margin expansion suggest limited upside potential in the near term. Use rallies towards ₹830-₹850 to trim positions and reallocate to higher-quality retail or healthcare plays.
Fair Value Estimate: ₹720 (9.77% downside from current price of ₹798)
MedPlus's expansion story remains compelling, but the company's inability to convert revenue growth into margin expansion and improved return ratios undermines the investment case. Until management demonstrates sustained operational efficiency and addresses the high promoter pledge, investors are better served by remaining on the sidelines.
Note— ROCE = (EBIT - Other income)/(Capital Employed - Cash - Current Investments)
⚠️ Investment Disclaimer
This article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence, consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
