The December 2025 quarter marked a sequential improvement for NPR Finance, with the company swinging back to the black after a loss-making September quarter. Net sales remained flat quarter-on-quarter at ₹1.46 crores but declined 2.67% year-on-year, reflecting persistent revenue headwinds. The stock, trading at ₹27.94 as of February 13, 2026, has gained 2.05% intraday but remains 31% below its 52-week high of ₹40.50, signalling investor caution about the company's growth trajectory.
Despite the quarterly profit recovery, NPR Finance's financial performance over the past year paints a concerning picture. For the nine months ending December 2025, the company has struggled with inconsistent profitability, oscillating between modest profits and losses across quarters. The operating profit margin excluding other income stood at 19.18% in Q3 FY26, recovering from negative territory in Q2, but the company's inability to scale revenues remains the primary constraint on sustainable earnings growth.
| Quarter | Dec'25 | Sep'25 | Jun'25 | Mar'25 | Dec'24 | Sep'24 | Jun'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales (₹ Cr) | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.13 | 1.95 | 1.50 | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| QoQ Growth | 0.00% | +29.20% | -42.05% | +30.00% | -21.05% | +3.83% | — |
| YoY Growth | -2.67% | -23.16% | -38.25% | — | — | — | — |
| Net Profit (₹ Cr) | 0.26 | -0.12 | 0.14 | -0.08 | 0.53 | -0.08 | 0.22 |
| PAT Margin (%) | 17.81% | -8.22% | 12.39% | -4.10% | 35.33% | -4.21% | 12.02% |
| Operating Margin (%) | 19.18% | -0.68% | 13.27% | 0.00% | 14.67% | 11.05% | 20.77% |
Financial Performance: Profitability Volatility Amid Revenue Stagnation
In Q3 FY26, NPR Finance reported net sales of ₹1.46 crores, unchanged from the previous quarter but down 2.67% year-on-year. This revenue stagnation represents a critical challenge for the company, which has seen its top line contract from ₹1.83 crores in June 2024 to current levels. The operating profit before depreciation, interest, and tax (PBDIT) excluding other income recovered to ₹0.28 crores in Q3, yielding a margin of 19.18%, up sharply from negative 0.68% in Q2 FY26.
The profit before tax stood at ₹0.26 crores in December 2025, compared to a loss of ₹0.04 crores in the previous quarter. Notably, the company reported zero tax expense for Q3, resulting in a net profit of ₹0.26 crores and a PAT margin of 17.81%. This marks a significant sequential improvement from the 8.22% loss margin recorded in September 2025. However, when compared to December 2024's net profit of ₹0.53 crores, the year-on-year performance shows a 50.94% decline, highlighting the earnings volatility that has characterised NPR Finance's recent trajectory.
Employee costs, a major expense line, declined to ₹0.57 crores in Q3 FY26 from ₹0.70 crores in Q2, providing some operating leverage. Interest costs remained minimal at ₹0.01 crores, reflecting the company's low leverage position with virtually no long-term debt on its balance sheet. The absence of other income in the December quarter (compared to ₹0.45 crores in December 2024) underscores the company's reliance on core operating performance for profitability.
Operational Challenges: Weak Return Ratios Signal Fundamental Issues
The most glaring concern for NPR Finance lies in its return ratios, which remain distressingly weak. The company's latest return on equity (ROE) stands at just 0.94%, whilst the average ROE over recent periods is a mere 0.36%. For context, a healthy NBFC typically generates ROE in the mid-to-high teens, making NPR Finance's sub-1% return a stark indicator of capital inefficiency. The return on capital employed (ROCE) is equally anaemic at 0.48%, suggesting the company is barely generating returns above the risk-free rate on its deployed capital.
This weak profitability is particularly concerning given the company's modest leverage. As of March 2025, NPR Finance had zero long-term debt and total current liabilities of ₹3.69 crores against shareholder funds of ₹50.08 crores. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 indicates an underleveraged balance sheet, which in the NBFC context typically suggests either risk aversion or limited growth opportunities. For a financial services company, the inability to profitably deploy capital through lending activities represents a fundamental operational shortcoming.
The company's asset base has contracted significantly, with fixed assets declining from ₹4.27 crores in March 2022 to just ₹0.18 crores by March 2025. Current assets stood at ₹7.58 crores as of the latest balance sheet date, up from ₹5.77 crores a year earlier. However, this asset growth has not translated into commensurate revenue or profit expansion, raising questions about asset quality and deployment efficiency.
Critical Concern: Capital Efficiency Crisis
With ROE at 0.94% and ROCE at 0.48%, NPR Finance is generating returns well below acceptable thresholds for financial services companies. These metrics indicate that the company is destroying shareholder value rather than creating it, with returns barely covering the cost of capital. The five-year sales growth of -11.96% compounds this concern, suggesting a business in structural decline rather than temporary difficulty.
Long-Term Trends: A Business in Decline
Examining NPR Finance's longer-term trajectory reveals a troubling pattern of persistent contraction. Annual revenues have declined from ₹27.00 crores in FY20 to just ₹7.00 crores in FY25, representing a compound annual decline of approximately 11.96% over five years. This is not cyclical weakness but structural deterioration. The company reported break-even or marginal profits in FY25 (₹0.00 crores PAT), compared to ₹1.00 crore in FY24, and has oscillated between small profits and losses in recent years.
The operating profit margin (excluding other income) has been inconsistent, ranging from negative 16.70% in FY23 to positive 14.30% in FY22 and FY20. For FY25, the operating margin stood at 0.00%, indicating the company barely covered its operating expenses. The PAT margin for FY25 was similarly 0.00%, underscoring the absence of meaningful profitability at the annual level despite occasional quarterly profits.
Cash flow generation has been erratic. In FY25, the company generated ₹2.00 crores from operations, a reversal from the ₹4.00 crore outflow in FY24. However, financing cash flows were negative at ₹3.00 crores, resulting in flat closing cash balances. This pattern suggests limited financial flexibility and an inability to generate sustainable free cash flow for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
| Year | FY25 | FY24 | FY23 | FY22 | FY21 | FY20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales (₹ Cr) | 7.00 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 7.00 | 5.00 | 27.00 |
| YoY Growth | -22.20% | -25.00% | +71.40% | +40.00% | -81.50% | — |
| Net Profit (₹ Cr) | 0.00 | 1.00 | -2.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| PAT Margin (%) | 0.00% | 11.10% | -16.70% | 0.00% | -20.00% | 3.70% |
| Operating Margin (%) | 0.00% | 0.00% | -16.70% | 14.30% | 0.00% | 7.40% |
Peer Comparison: Underperforming on Key Metrics
When benchmarked against its NBFC peers, NPR Finance's underperformance becomes starkly evident. The company's ROE of 0.36% lags significantly behind peers such as United Credit (3.56%) and J J Finance Corporation (2.70%). Whilst NPR Finance trades at a P/E ratio of 35.31x, several peers are loss-making, making direct P/E comparisons challenging. However, the company's price-to-book ratio of 0.33x suggests the market values its equity at a significant discount to book value, reflecting scepticism about its ability to generate adequate returns.
NPR Finance's market capitalisation of ₹16.73 crores positions it as one of the smallest players in its peer group, ranking third. The company's dividend yield is not available, as it last paid a dividend of ₹1.00 per share in September 2007—nearly two decades ago—highlighting the absence of shareholder distributions. In contrast, some peers maintain more consistent return profiles, even if absolute performance remains modest across the micro-cap NBFC segment.
| Company | P/E (TTM) | P/BV | ROE (%) | Debt/Equity | Div Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NPR Finance | 35.31 | 0.33 | 0.36% | 0.01 | NA |
| J J Finance Corp | NA (Loss Making) | 1.60 | 2.70% | 0.00 | NA |
| HB Leasing & Fin. | NA (Loss Making) | 3.03 | 0.00% | 0.01 | NA |
| Guj. Lease Fin. | 404.85 | -3.96 | 0.00% | -2.45 | NA |
| United Credit | 19.91 | 0.52 | 3.56% | 0.01 | NA |
The peer comparison underscores that whilst the micro-cap NBFC segment generally struggles with profitability and scale, NPR Finance's metrics place it near the bottom of an already challenged cohort. The company's inability to generate competitive returns despite low leverage suggests fundamental issues with business model viability rather than mere cyclical headwinds.
Valuation Analysis: Discount Reflects Fundamental Weakness
At the current price of ₹27.94, NPR Finance trades at a P/E ratio of 35.31x based on trailing twelve-month earnings, which appears elevated in absolute terms. However, given the company's earnings volatility and marginal profitability, this multiple is misleading. The more telling metric is the price-to-book ratio of 0.33x, indicating the stock trades at a 67% discount to its book value of ₹83.51 per share. This substantial discount reflects the market's assessment that the company's assets are unlikely to generate adequate returns.
The enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 16.41x and EV to sales ratio of 2.72x appear reasonable on the surface, but must be contextualised against the company's declining revenue trajectory and marginal profitability. The PEG ratio of 0.31x might suggest undervaluation if one focuses solely on the metric, but this calculation is distorted by the company's negative long-term growth and inconsistent earnings.
NPR Finance's valuation grade has fluctuated between "Fair" and "Expensive" over recent months, currently standing at "Fair" as of November 2025. However, this assessment appears generous given the fundamental challenges. The stock's 52-week range of ₹20.00 to ₹40.50 shows significant volatility, with the current price 31.01% below the high and 39.70% above the low. This volatility reflects uncertainty about the company's turnaround prospects.
Shareholding Pattern: Promoter Dominance, Zero Institutional Interest
NPR Finance's shareholding pattern reveals strong promoter control at 68.02%, which has remained unchanged over the past five quarters. The promoter group, led by the Nand Lal Todi family and associated entities, holds a stable stake with no pledging reported. Key promoter entities include Rani Leasings And Finance Private Limited (22.09%), Pawan Kumar Todi (16.51%), and Rishi Todi (10.94%).
The concerning aspect of the shareholding structure is the complete absence of institutional investors. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs), mutual funds, insurance companies, and other domestic institutional investors (DIIs) collectively hold 0.00% of the company. This zero institutional participation is highly unusual even for micro-cap stocks and signals that professional investors have no conviction in the company's prospects. Non-institutional shareholders account for the remaining 31.98%, likely comprising retail investors and non-promoter entities.
| Shareholder Category | Dec'25 | Sep'25 | Jun'25 | Mar'25 | Change (QoQ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoter Holding | 68.02% | 68.02% | 68.02% | 68.02% | 0.00% |
| FII Holding | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Mutual Fund | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Insurance | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Other DII | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Non-Institutional | 31.98% | 31.98% | 31.98% | 31.98% | 0.00% |
The static shareholding pattern over multiple quarters suggests limited trading activity and poor liquidity. The absence of institutional buying despite the stock trading at a discount to book value further reinforces concerns about the company's fundamental quality and growth prospects.
Stock Performance: Volatility Without Direction
NPR Finance's stock has delivered mixed returns across different time horizons, characterised more by volatility than consistent direction. Over the past year, the stock has returned 16.90%, outperforming the Sensex's 8.78% gain by 8.12 percentage points. However, this outperformance must be viewed in context—the stock has underperformed its NBFC sector peers, which returned 23.77% over the same period, resulting in a 6.87 percentage point underperformance versus the sector.
Shorter-term performance has been erratic. The stock gained 5.67% over the past week and 1.60% over one month, but declined 6.30% over three months. Year-to-date, the stock is down 10.45%, significantly underperforming the Sensex's 2.81% decline. Over longer horizons, the stock has delivered 27.00% over two years and 75.72% over three years, substantially outperforming the benchmark. However, this historical outperformance appears disconnected from fundamental improvement and likely reflects the high volatility typical of illiquid micro-cap stocks.
| Period | Stock Return | Sensex Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week | +5.67% | -0.91% | +6.58% |
| 1 Month | +1.60% | -0.96% | +2.56% |
| 3 Months | -6.30% | -1.96% | -4.34% |
| 6 Months | +3.48% | +2.83% | +0.65% |
| YTD | -10.45% | -2.81% | -7.64% |
| 1 Year | +16.90% | +8.78% | +8.12% |
| 2 Years | +27.00% | +15.75% | +11.25% |
| 3 Years | +75.72% | +37.05% | +38.67% |
The stock's high beta of 1.50 indicates it is 50% more volatile than the broader market, which explains the wide return dispersion across periods. With an annualised volatility of 80.95%, NPR Finance falls into the "high risk" category. The risk-adjusted return of 0.21 over one year is substantially lower than the Sensex's 0.77, indicating poor risk-reward characteristics. From a technical perspective, the stock currently exhibits a "mildly bearish" trend, trading below all key moving averages (5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day), which suggests continued near-term pressure.
Investment Thesis: Multiple Red Flags Overshadow Valuation Discount
NPR Finance's investment thesis is severely compromised by a confluence of fundamental weaknesses. The company's proprietary Mojo Score of 28 out of 100 places it firmly in "Strong Sell" territory, reflecting poor marks across multiple dimensions. The quality grade is "Below Average," based on weak long-term financial performance characterised by negative sales growth (-11.96% over five years), minimal EBIT growth (0.59%), and anaemic return ratios.
The financial trend for Q3 FY26 is classified as "Flat," indicating no meaningful improvement despite the return to quarterly profitability. The technical trend remains "Mildly Bearish," with the stock trading below all major moving averages and multiple technical indicators flashing caution signals. The only marginally positive aspect is valuation, which is deemed "Attractive" given the 67% discount to book value. However, this discount exists for valid reasons—the market is pricing in the company's inability to generate adequate returns on its equity base.
Key Strengths & Risk Factors
Key Strengths ✓
- Clean Balance Sheet: Zero long-term debt and debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 provides financial stability
- Valuation Discount: Trading at 0.33x book value offers theoretical margin of safety
- Stable Promoter Holding: 68.02% promoter stake with no pledging shows commitment
- Return to Profitability: Q3 FY26 net profit of ₹0.26 crores reverses Q2 loss
- Improved Margins: PAT margin recovered to 17.81% from negative territory
Key Concerns ⚠
- Abysmal Return Ratios: ROE of 0.94% and ROCE of 0.48% indicate severe capital inefficiency
- Revenue Decline: Five-year sales CAGR of -11.96% shows structural business contraction
- Earnings Volatility: Alternating quarterly profits and losses demonstrate unsustainable earnings
- Zero Institutional Interest: Complete absence of FII, MF, and DII holdings signals quality concerns
- Illiquidity: Daily volume of just 5,434 shares makes entry/exit difficult
- No Dividend History: Last dividend paid in 2007, nearly two decades ago
- Weak Competitive Position: Underperforms even struggling micro-cap NBFC peers on ROE
Outlook: What to Watch
Positive Catalysts
- Sustained quarterly profitability for four consecutive quarters
- Revenue growth returning to positive territory on YoY basis
- ROE improvement above 5% threshold
- Any institutional investor stake acquisition
- Announcement of strategic initiatives or business restructuring
Red Flags to Monitor
- Return to quarterly losses in upcoming quarters
- Further revenue contraction below ₹1.00 crore per quarter
- Any promoter stake reduction or pledging
- Deterioration in asset quality or increase in leverage
- Continued technical weakness with break below ₹20.00 support
The Verdict: Avoid This Value Trap
Score: 28/100
For Fresh Investors: Avoid initiating positions. The company's sub-1% return ratios, persistent revenue decline, and complete absence of institutional interest make this a classic value trap. The valuation discount exists for valid fundamental reasons, not temporary mispricing.
For Existing Holders: Consider exiting on any price strength. The Q3 profitability recovery does not alter the structural challenges facing the business. With ROE of 0.94%, the company is effectively destroying shareholder value. The high volatility (80.95%) and illiquidity add significant execution risk to any exit strategy.
Fair Value Estimate: ₹20.00-22.00 (20-28% downside from current levels). The current price of ₹27.94 appears overvalued relative to the company's earnings power and return profile, despite trading below book value.
Rationale: NPR Finance exhibits multiple characteristics of an uninvestable business—declining revenues, negligible returns on capital, zero institutional interest, and high volatility without corresponding growth prospects. The quarterly profit recovery in Q3 FY26 is insufficient to offset years of structural deterioration. Investors would be better served avoiding this micro-cap NBFC entirely and focusing capital on businesses demonstrating sustainable profitability and competitive return ratios.
Note— ROCE= (EBIT - Other income)/(Capital Employed - Cash - Current Investments)
⚠️ Investment Disclaimer
This article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence, consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investments in micro-cap stocks carry significant risks including illiquidity, volatility, and potential loss of capital.
