The stock, trading at ₹147.95, has shown resilience in recent weeks with an 18.12% gain over the past week, but remains 23.32% below its 52-week high of ₹192.95. The company's technical indicators have turned bearish, with the stock falling below all major moving averages, signalling potential near-term weakness despite the positive quarterly profit headline.
| Quarter | Revenue (₹ Cr) | Net Profit (₹ Cr) | Operating Margin (%) | PAT Margin (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec'25 | 0.55 | 6.50 | -392.73% | 1178.18% |
| Sep'25 | 0.76 | -0.71 | -86.84% | -94.74% |
| Jun'25 | 1.49 | 0.86 | 6.71% | 56.38% |
| Mar'25 | 1.73 | -0.82 | -14.45% | -47.40% |
| Dec'24 | 1.55 | 0.53 | 21.94% | 33.55% |
| Sep'24 | 1.61 | -0.02 | -5.59% | -2.48% |
| Jun'24 | 1.76 | 0.66 | 34.09% | 36.36% |
Financial Performance: A Tale of Operational Distress
The Q3 FY26 results reveal a company in severe operational distress. Net sales plummeted 27.63% quarter-on-quarter to ₹0.55 crores and collapsed 64.52% year-on-year, marking the lowest revenue generation in the trailing seven quarters. This dramatic revenue contraction reflects fundamental challenges in the company's realty business, which appears to be generating minimal transaction activity.
More concerning is the operating performance. The company posted an operating loss (PBDIT excluding other income) of ₹2.16 crores in Q3 FY26, resulting in a staggering negative operating margin of -392.73%. This represents the worst operating performance in recent quarters, deteriorating sharply from the already negative -86.84% margin in Q2 FY26. Employee costs of ₹0.34 crores on revenues of just ₹0.55 crores indicate a severe mismatch between the cost structure and revenue-generating capacity.
The quarterly profit of ₹6.50 crores was entirely driven by exceptional other income of ₹11.30 crores, which contributed 127.40% of the profit before tax. This one-time income masked the underlying operational losses and raises questions about the sustainability of profitability. Without this windfall, the company would have reported a substantial loss, continuing the pattern of erratic quarterly performance.
Operational Challenges: Structural Weakness Persists
The operational metrics paint a picture of fundamental business weakness. The company's average return on equity stands at a meagre 0.93%, indicating extremely poor capital efficiency and an inability to generate meaningful returns for shareholders. The average return on capital employed is similarly weak at 0.73%, suggesting that the company's assets are not being productively deployed.
The balance sheet, whilst showing minimal debt with a net debt-to-equity ratio of -0.02 (indicating a net cash position), reveals limited productive assets. Fixed assets stood at ₹8.70 crores as of March 2025, with investments of ₹4.59 crores and current assets of ₹52.89 crores. The sales-to-capital employed ratio of just 0.10 times highlights the inefficiency in asset utilisation, suggesting that substantial capital is tied up generating minimal revenue.
The company's five-year sales growth rate of -2.51% and five-year EBIT growth of -187.06% underscore the long-term deterioration in business performance. This isn't a cyclical downturn but rather a structural decline in the company's ability to generate sustainable revenues and profits from its realty operations.
⚠️ Critical Red Flag: Unsustainable Profit Quality
Non-operating income constituted 127.40% of profit before tax in Q3 FY26. The company reported exceptional other income of ₹11.30 crores against operating losses of ₹2.16 crores, meaning the entire profit—and more—came from one-time gains rather than core business operations. This raises serious concerns about the sustainability of profitability and the fundamental health of the underlying realty business.
Valuation Analysis: Premium Without Justification
Despite the operational struggles, S V Global Mill trades at a price-to-book value of 4.10 times, representing a significant premium to its book value of ₹36.05 per share. This valuation appears disconnected from fundamentals, particularly given the company's loss-making status on a trailing twelve-month basis (P/E ratio is not applicable) and its weak return profile.
The company's valuation grade has been classified as "Risky" by proprietary assessment models, having oscillated between "Very Expensive," "Risky," and "Does Not Qualify" over the past three years. The current enterprise value-to-sales multiple of 48.12 times is extraordinarily high for a company generating minimal revenues and operating losses, suggesting significant overvaluation relative to business fundamentals.
Valuation Dashboard
P/E Ratio (TTM): NA (Loss Making)
Price-to-Book Value: 4.10x
EV/Sales: 48.12x
Valuation Grade: RISKY
Overall Assessment: Significantly overvalued relative to operational performance and earnings quality
Peer Comparison: Underperformance Across Metrics
When compared to realty sector peers, S V Global Mill's operational weakness becomes even more apparent. The company's return on equity of 0.93% trails substantially behind peers like Generic Engineering (5.87%) and Supreme Holdings (4.68%). Despite this inferior profitability, the company trades at a price-to-book ratio of 4.10 times, significantly higher than most peers including Generic Engineering (1.03x) and Supreme Holdings (0.43x).
| Company | P/E (TTM) | P/BV | ROE (%) | Debt/Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S V Global Mill | NA (Loss Making) | 4.10 | 0.93 | -0.02 |
| RDB Real Estate | 160.62 | 1.64 | 1.30 | 3.01 |
| Generic Engineer | 24.35 | 1.03 | 5.87 | 0.18 |
| Rainbow Foundat. | 35.84 | 3.42 | 0.00 | 6.87 |
| Supreme Holdings | 82.63 | 0.43 | 4.68 | -0.04 |
| Lancor Holdings | NA (Loss Making) | 1.08 | 1.48 | 0.59 |
The valuation premium appears unjustified given the company's operational underperformance. Whilst S V Global Mill benefits from a net cash position (negative debt-to-equity), this advantage is overshadowed by its inability to deploy capital productively and generate sustainable operating profits.
Shareholding Pattern: Stable but Limited Institutional Interest
The shareholding pattern has remained remarkably stable over recent quarters, with promoter holding steady at 68.89% since at least December 2024. This stability provides some comfort regarding management commitment, though it also reflects limited liquidity and market interest in the stock.
| Quarter | Promoter | FII | MF | Other DII | Non-Inst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec'25 | 68.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.11% | 27.00% |
| Sep'25 | 68.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.11% | 27.00% |
| Jun'25 | 68.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.11% | 27.00% |
| Mar'25 | 68.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.22% | 28.89% |
Institutional interest remains minimal, with total institutional holdings at just 4.11%. Foreign institutional investors and mutual funds have zero exposure to the stock, reflecting the lack of confidence from sophisticated investors. The modest increase in other DII holdings from 2.22% to 4.11% in June 2025 represents the only notable change in recent quarters, though this remains at negligible levels.
Stock Performance: Short-Term Volatility, Long-Term Underperformance
The stock's performance has been characterised by extreme volatility and sector underperformance. Whilst the stock has gained 18.12% over the past week and delivered a 2.03% return over one year, it has significantly underperformed the broader realty sector, which declined 20.74% over the same period. This 22.77 percentage point outperformance versus the sector masks the company's fundamental weakness and likely reflects low liquidity and sporadic trading rather than genuine investor confidence.
| Period | Stock Return | Sensex Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week | +18.12% | +0.91% | +17.21% |
| 1 Month | +5.68% | -2.49% | +8.17% |
| 3 Months | +0.17% | -0.17% | +0.34% |
| YTD | -1.37% | -2.24% | +0.87% |
| 1 Year | +2.03% | +6.44% | -4.41% |
| 3 Years | +195.90% | +36.94% | +158.96% |
The stock exhibits high volatility with an annualised volatility of 68.35% and a beta of 1.50, indicating significantly higher risk compared to the broader market. The technical trend has turned bearish as of February 04, 2026, with the stock trading below all major moving averages (5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day), suggesting potential near-term weakness.
Investment Thesis: Multiple Red Flags Outweigh Limited Positives
The investment thesis for S V Global Mill is severely challenged by multiple structural concerns. The company's overall Mojo score of 17 out of 100, placing it in the "Strong Sell" category, reflects the confluence of negative factors: operational losses, unsustainable earnings quality, weak return ratios, and deteriorating business trends.
Mojo Parameters Dashboard
Overall Score: 17/100 (Strong Sell)
Valuation Grade: RISKY
Quality Grade: BELOW AVERAGE
Financial Trend: Positive (Q3 FY26) - Misleading due to one-time income
Technical Trend: BEARISH
Key Strengths & Risk Factors
✓ Key Strengths
⚠️ Key Concerns
Outlook: What to Watch
Positive Catalysts
Red Flags
The Verdict: Avoid This Operational Quagmire
Score: 17/100
For Fresh Investors: Avoid entirely. The company exhibits severe operational distress with collapsing revenues, deeply negative operating margins, and unsustainable earnings quality. The Q3 FY26 profit is entirely attributable to one-time other income, masking fundamental business weakness. At a P/BV of 4.10x despite loss-making operations and ROE below 1%, the stock offers no margin of safety.
For Existing Holders: Consider exiting on any price strength. The structural decline in business operations, evidenced by five-year negative sales growth and deteriorating margins, suggests limited turnaround prospects. The bearish technical trend and minimal institutional interest further reinforce the case for exit. The recent profit spike should not be mistaken for operational recovery.
Fair Value Estimate: ₹30-35 per share (75-76% downside), based on conservative book value discount given operational challenges and weak return profile. Current trading price of ₹147.95 appears significantly overvalued relative to business fundamentals.
Note- ROCE= (EBIT - Other income)/(Capital Employed - Cash - Current Investments)
⚠️ Investment Disclaimer
This article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence, consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
