The company's financial trajectory has been deeply concerning, with zero revenue reported in Q3 FY26 (September 2025 quarter), mirroring the revenue drought seen in Q2 FY26 (December 2025 quarter). This represents a complete reversal from Q1 FY26 (June 2023 quarter), when the company generated ₹0.29 crores in net sales. The absence of consistent revenue generation raises fundamental questions about the viability of Siddha Ventures' business model and its ability to sustain operations.
With a proprietary Mojo Score of just 12 out of 100 and a "STRONG SELL" rating, the investment case for Siddha Ventures appears severely compromised. The company's quality grade has been downgraded to "Below Average," whilst its financial trend remains stubbornly "Flat" despite the quarterly volatility. Technical indicators paint an equally grim picture, with the stock in a confirmed bearish trend since January 30, 2026, trading below all key moving averages from the 5-day to the 200-day.
| Quarter | Net Sales (₹ Cr) | QoQ Change | Net Profit (₹ Cr) | QoQ Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar'24 | 0.00 | — | 0.66 | ↓ -3400.00% |
| Dec'23 | 0.00 | — | -0.02 | ↓ -50.00% |
| Sep'23 | 0.00 | ↓ -100.00% | -0.04 | ↓ -123.53% |
| Jun'23 | 0.29 | — | 0.17 | ↓ -99.16% |
| Mar'23 | 0.00 | ↓ -100.00% | 20.29 | ↑ +22444.44% |
| Dec'22 | 0.12 | ↓ -90.16% | 0.09 | ↓ -90.53% |
| Sep'22 | 1.22 | — | 0.95 | — |
Financial Performance: A Pattern of Extreme Volatility
The quarterly financial performance of Siddha Ventures reveals a deeply troubling pattern of extreme volatility and operational inconsistency. In Q3 FY26 (September 2025 quarter), the company reported a net loss of ₹0.04 crores, representing a sharp deterioration from the ₹0.17 crores profit recorded in Q1 FY26 (June 2023 quarter). The year-on-year comparison shows an even more concerning picture, with profits declining by 104.21% compared to Q3 FY25 (September 2023 quarter).
What makes the situation particularly alarming is the complete absence of revenue in recent quarters. Net sales have been reported at zero for Q3 FY26 and Q2 FY26 (December 2023 quarter), following minimal revenue generation of ₹0.29 crores in Q1 FY26. This revenue drought contrasts sharply with the ₹1.22 crores in sales recorded in September 2022 (Sep'22 quarter), suggesting a fundamental breakdown in the company's business operations.
The operating profit (PBDIT) excluding other income stood at ₹0.60 crores in March 2024 (Mar'24 quarter), but this positive figure appears anomalous given the zero revenue base. Employee costs have remained stable at ₹0.01 crores per quarter, indicating minimal operational scale. The company's profit margins, where calculable, have shown wild swings—from 68.97% in June 2023 to complete absence in subsequent quarters due to zero revenue.
Critical Operational Concerns
Revenue Generation Crisis: The complete absence of revenue in Q3 FY26 and Q2 FY26 represents a fundamental operational failure. Without consistent income streams, the company cannot sustain even minimal operational expenses, let alone generate shareholder value.
Profitability Volatility: The wild swings in quarterly profits—from ₹20.29 crores in March 2023 to losses in subsequent quarters—suggest either extraordinary one-time events or accounting irregularities that warrant careful scrutiny from investors.
Business Model Sustainability: With a market cap of just ₹5.00 crores and negligible institutional interest (0.19%), the company's ability to raise capital or execute any meaningful business strategy appears severely constrained.
Balance Sheet Quality: Minimal Assets, Limited Leverage
Siddha Ventures maintains a relatively clean balance sheet from a leverage perspective, with zero long-term debt as of March 2024. Shareholder funds stood at ₹40.82 crores, comprising ₹10.00 crores in share capital and ₹30.82 crores in reserves and surplus. This represents a modest increase from ₹39.92 crores in the previous year, driven primarily by retained earnings.
The company's asset base remains minimal, with fixed assets at zero and investments totalling just ₹2.14 crores as of March 2024. Current assets stood at ₹2.20 crores, marginally lower than the ₹2.26 crores reported a year earlier. Current liabilities of ₹0.11 crores suggest minimal operational activity, consistent with the revenue drought observed in recent quarters.
Whilst the absence of debt is typically viewed positively, in Siddha Ventures' case, it reflects limited business activity rather than prudent financial management. The company's book value per share of ₹14.66 contrasts sharply with the current market price of ₹5.23, resulting in a price-to-book ratio of just 0.36x—indicating that the market values the company at a significant discount to its stated net asset value.
Return on Equity: Historical Strength Now Questionable
Siddha Ventures' average return on equity (ROE) of 27.60% over the past five years appears impressive on the surface, particularly when compared against peer companies in the NBFC sector. However, this metric requires careful contextualisation given the company's erratic profitability pattern. The latest ROE figure of -166.09% for the most recent period reveals the complete breakdown in capital efficiency, with the company destroying rather than creating shareholder value.
The historical ROE of 27.60% likely reflects the extraordinary profit of ₹20.29 crores reported in March 2023, which has skewed the average upward. Without understanding the source of that one-time gain—whether from asset sales, investment realisations, or other non-recurring items—investors cannot rely on this metric as an indicator of sustainable operational performance.
The return on capital employed (ROCE) tells an even more concerning story, with the latest figure at -169.09%. This negative ROCE indicates that the company is generating losses relative to the capital invested in the business, a clear sign of value destruction. For an NBFC, where efficient capital deployment is the cornerstone of the business model, such metrics raise fundamental questions about management capability and strategic direction.
Peer Comparison: Lagging Across Key Metrics
When compared against peers in the NBFC sector, Siddha Ventures' positioning appears weak despite some superficially attractive metrics. The company's price-to-book ratio of 0.36x is lower than most peers, with Prime Capital Management at 0.44x and Goyal Associates at 0.81x. However, this discount reflects market scepticism about asset quality and future earnings potential rather than an attractive valuation opportunity.
| Company | P/E (TTM) | ROE (%) | Debt to Equity | Price to Book | Market Cap (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siddha Ventures | NA (Loss Making) | 27.60% | 0.00 | 0.36 | 5.00 |
| Prime Capital Management | 4.14 | 4.25% | 0.54 | 0.44 | — |
| Kanungo Financiers | 17.21 | 0.0% | 3.60 | 0.77 | — |
| Voltaire Leasing | NA (Loss Making) | 0.65% | 0.00 | 0.27 | — |
| Trio Mercantile Trading | NA (Loss Making) | 0.46% | 0.01 | 0.20 | — |
| Goyal Associates | 9.00 | 11.65% | 0.19 | 0.81 | — |
Siddha Ventures' average ROE of 27.60% appears superior to peers, but as discussed earlier, this figure is distorted by one-time gains and does not reflect current operational reality. The company's zero debt-to-equity ratio, whilst seemingly prudent, actually indicates minimal business activity rather than conservative financial management. In contrast, peers like Kanungo Financiers operate with higher leverage (3.60x debt-to-equity), suggesting active lending operations.
The absence of a meaningful P/E ratio for Siddha Ventures—classified as "Loss Making"—places it in the same category as Voltaire Leasing and Trio Mercantile Trading, both struggling micro-cap NBFCs. Profitable peers like Prime Capital Management (P/E of 4.14x) and Goyal Associates (P/E of 9.00x) demonstrate that sustainable operations are possible in this space, making Siddha Ventures' challenges appear company-specific rather than sector-wide.
Valuation Analysis: Discount Reflects Fundamental Concerns
Siddha Ventures trades at a price-to-book value of 0.36x, representing a 64% discount to its stated book value of ₹14.66 per share. Whilst value investors might be tempted to view this as an attractive entry point, the discount primarily reflects the market's assessment of asset quality concerns and the company's inability to generate consistent earnings from its capital base.
The company's valuation grade has been classified as "RISKY" by proprietary analysis, with the grade fluctuating between "Risky" and "Very Expensive" over recent months. This volatility in valuation assessment reflects the erratic nature of the company's financial performance and the difficulty in establishing a reliable fair value estimate given the absence of predictable cash flows.
Traditional valuation metrics like P/E ratio and EV/EBITDA are not applicable due to the company's loss-making status and negative EBITDA. The EV/Sales ratio of 1.53x appears elevated given the revenue drought, whilst the negative EV/EBIT of -0.21x reflects the operational losses. With no dividend payments and negligible institutional interest (0.19% holdings), the stock lacks the catalysts typically required for valuation re-rating.
Fair Value Assessment
Establishing a fair value for Siddha Ventures proves exceptionally challenging given the absence of consistent revenue generation and the extreme volatility in quarterly profits. The current market price of ₹5.23 appears to reflect significant uncertainty about the company's future, with the 64% discount to book value suggesting investors doubt the realisable value of the company's stated assets.
Any fair value estimate would require clarity on the company's business strategy, revenue generation capabilities, and the sustainability of its capital base—none of which are evident from current financial disclosures. Until the company demonstrates consistent operational performance, the market's sceptical valuation appears justified.
Shareholding Pattern: Minimal Promoter Stake, Negligible Institutional Interest
The shareholding pattern of Siddha Ventures reveals concerning dynamics that further undermine investor confidence. Promoter holding stands at just 5.76%, an extraordinarily low level that raises questions about management commitment and alignment with minority shareholders. This minimal promoter stake has remained unchanged across the last five quarters, suggesting neither accumulation nor distribution by the controlling shareholders.
| Shareholder Category | Dec'25 | Sep'25 | Jun'25 | Mar'25 | Dec'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoter Holding | 5.76% | 5.76% | 5.76% | 5.76% | 5.76% |
| FII Holding | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Mutual Fund Holding | 0.18% | 0.18% | 0.18% | 0.18% | 0.18% |
| Insurance Holdings | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Other DII Holdings | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
| Non-Institutional | 94.05% | 94.05% | 94.05% | 94.05% | 94.05% |
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have zero presence in the stock, whilst mutual fund holdings stand at a negligible 0.18%, with just five mutual fund schemes holding positions. Insurance companies and other domestic institutional investors (DIIs) hold virtually no stake, with other DII holdings at a mere 0.01%. This absence of institutional participation speaks volumes about professional investors' assessment of the company's prospects.
The overwhelming 94.05% non-institutional holding suggests the stock is primarily held by retail investors, many of whom may be trapped in loss-making positions given the 56.31% decline over the past year. The complete absence of institutional buying interest, despite the low valuation multiples, indicates that sophisticated investors see no compelling turnaround case or value proposition in the current circumstances.
Stock Performance: Severe Underperformance Across All Timeframes
Siddha Ventures' stock performance has been disastrous across virtually all meaningful timeframes, with the company dramatically underperforming both the broader market and its NBFC sector peers. Over the past year, the stock has declined 56.31%, generating negative alpha of -63.38% compared to the Sensex's 7.07% gain. This represents not just underperformance, but a complete decoupling from market trends.
| Period | Stock Return | Sensex Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week | +1.55% | +1.59% | -0.04% |
| 1 Month | -3.33% | -1.74% | -1.59% |
| 3 Months | -8.08% | +0.32% | -8.40% |
| 6 Months | -19.41% | +3.77% | -23.18% |
| Year to Date | -2.43% | -1.92% | -0.51% |
| 1 Year | -56.31% | +7.07% | -63.38% |
| 2 Years | -62.51% | +15.78% | -78.29% |
| 3 Years | +26.94% | +38.13% | -11.19% |
| 10 Years | +692.42% | +239.52% | +452.90% |
The two-year performance shows an even more concerning picture, with the stock declining 62.51% whilst the Sensex gained 15.78%, resulting in negative alpha of -78.29%. Sector-specific comparison reveals that Siddha Ventures has underperformed the NBFC sector by a staggering 76.15% over the past year, with the sector delivering positive returns of 19.84% whilst Siddha Ventures declined 56.31%.
The stock's risk-adjusted returns paint a grim picture, with a risk-adjusted return of -0.83 over the past year, classified in the "HIGH RISK LOW RETURN" category. With volatility at 68.23%—nearly six times the Sensex's 11.53%—and a negative Sharpe ratio, the stock has delivered the worst possible combination: high volatility with negative returns. The stock's beta of 1.50 indicates it is 50% more volatile than the broader market, amplifying losses during downturns.
From a technical perspective, the stock trades below all key moving averages, from the 5-day MA (₹4.99) to the 200-day MA (₹6.41), indicating sustained selling pressure. The stock hit a 52-week low of ₹4.70 recently and currently trades just 11.28% above that level, whilst remaining 58.36% below its 52-week high of ₹12.56. The technical trend has been classified as "BEARISH" since January 30, 2026, with multiple indicators including MACD, KST, and Dow Theory all pointing to continued weakness.
Investment Thesis: Multiple Red Flags Outweigh Limited Positives
The investment thesis for Siddha Ventures is overwhelmingly negative, with the company's Mojo Score of just 12 out of 100 reflecting fundamental challenges across all key parameters. The proprietary four-dot analysis reveals a company struggling on multiple fronts: "Mixed" near-term drivers (combining flat financial performance with bearish technicals), "Below Average" quality assessment, "Risky" valuation classification, and an overall "Mixed" assessment that leans heavily negative.
The quality grade of "Below Average" reflects the company's inability to sustain consistent operations despite historical ROE strength. The 5-year sales growth of 58.30% is offset by negative EBIT growth of -206.51%, indicating that revenue expansion, where it occurred, did not translate into sustainable profitability. The company's financial trend classification of "Flat" masks the underlying volatility and operational challenges evident in quarterly results.
✓ KEY STRENGTHS
- Zero Debt Position: Clean balance sheet with no long-term borrowings, providing financial flexibility
- Historical ROE: Average ROE of 27.60% over five years demonstrates past capital efficiency
- Low Valuation: Trading at 0.36x book value, significant discount to stated net asset value
- Stable Promoter Holding: Promoter stake unchanged at 5.76%, showing no distress selling
- Minimal Current Liabilities: Current liabilities of just ₹0.11 crores indicate low immediate payment obligations
⚠ KEY CONCERNS
- Revenue Generation Crisis: Zero revenue in Q3 FY26 and Q2 FY26, indicating complete operational breakdown
- Profit Volatility: Wild swings from ₹20.29 crores profit to quarterly losses, lacking consistency
- Negative Current Returns: Latest ROE at -166.09% and ROCE at -169.09%, destroying shareholder value
- Minimal Promoter Stake: Just 5.76% promoter holding raises alignment concerns
- Zero Institutional Interest: No FII presence, 0.18% mutual fund holding indicates professional investor avoidance
- Severe Stock Underperformance: Down 56.31% in one year, 76.15% underperformance vs NBFC sector
- High Volatility: 68.23% volatility with negative returns, classified as "HIGH RISK LOW RETURN"
Outlook: What Lies Ahead
The outlook for Siddha Ventures remains deeply challenged, with the company needing to demonstrate fundamental operational improvements before any positive re-rating can occur. The absence of revenue generation in recent quarters suggests either a strategic pivot that has not yet materialised or a business model that has become unviable in current market conditions.
Positive Catalysts to Monitor
- Resumption of consistent revenue generation across consecutive quarters
- Clear articulation of business strategy and operational roadmap by management
- Return to profitability with sustainable margins
- Increase in institutional investor interest or promoter stake accumulation
Red Flags to Watch
- Continued absence of revenue in upcoming quarters
- Further deterioration in quarterly profitability
- Any reduction in promoter holding from current 5.76% level
- Breach of 52-week low at ₹4.70, indicating fresh selling pressure
- Continued institutional investor exodus or lack of participation
For the company to stage a meaningful recovery, it must first establish a stable revenue base, followed by consistent profitability over multiple quarters. The management needs to provide clear communication about the business strategy, the reasons for the revenue drought, and the specific steps being taken to restore operations. Without such transparency and operational improvements, the stock is likely to remain under pressure, trapped in a cycle of low volumes and bearish sentiment.
The Verdict: Exit Recommended
Score: 12/100
For Fresh Investors: Avoid initiating any positions in Siddha Ventures. The absence of revenue generation, extreme profit volatility, negative return on equity, and minimal institutional interest make this an exceptionally high-risk proposition with no clear path to recovery. The 56.31% decline over the past year reflects fundamental operational challenges rather than temporary market sentiment, and the company has failed to demonstrate any credible turnaround strategy.
For Existing Holders: Consider exiting positions at current levels despite the significant losses already incurred. The stock's classification as "HIGH RISK LOW RETURN" with 68.23% volatility and negative risk-adjusted returns suggests further downside is possible. With the stock trading just 11.28% above its 52-week low and showing no signs of operational improvement, holding in hope of a recovery appears imprudent. The complete absence of institutional buying interest indicates that professional investors see no compelling value proposition even at these depressed levels.
Fair Value Estimate: Establishing a fair value is exceptionally difficult given the absence of consistent cash flows and revenue generation. The current market price of ₹5.23 appears to reflect significant uncertainty, and without operational improvements, further downside to the ₹4.50-₹4.70 range (representing the 52-week low area) remains a distinct possibility. Any fair value estimate would require evidence of sustained revenue generation and profitability, neither of which is currently visible.
Note: ROCE = (EBIT - Other income)/(Capital Employed - Cash - Current Investments)
⚠️ Investment Disclaimer
This article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence, consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and all investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal.
