Dec-2025 Quarterly Earnings Reveal Mixed Trends Across Market Caps

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The December 2025 quarter earnings season has unfolded with a mixed bag of results as 1,744 companies declared their financials, revealing a modest improvement in positive earnings surprises compared to previous quarters. While mid-cap firms led the charge with a 52.0% positivity rate, large caps lagged behind at 38.0%, underscoring divergent sectoral and market cap trends amid evolving macroeconomic conditions.
Dec-2025 Quarterly Earnings Reveal Mixed Trends Across Market Caps

Quarterly Earnings Trends: A Gradual Uptick in Positivity

The proportion of companies reporting positive results in the December 2025 quarter stood at 46.0%, marking a slight improvement from 42.0% in September 2025 and 40.0% in June 2025. This uptick suggests a tentative recovery in corporate profitability after a subdued first half of the fiscal year. Notably, the March 2025 quarter had a comparable positivity rate of 45.0%, indicating that the current quarter’s performance aligns with seasonal patterns observed historically.

However, the distribution of positive results across market capitalisation segments reveals a nuanced picture. Mid-cap companies outperformed with 52.0% reporting positive earnings, reflecting their agility and potential to capitalise on niche market opportunities. Small caps followed closely at 46.0%, while large caps lagged at 38.0%, signalling challenges faced by heavyweight firms in sustaining growth momentum amid inflationary pressures and global supply chain disruptions.

Sectoral Standouts and Top Performers

Among large caps, TVS Motor Co. emerged as a notable outperformer in the automobile sector, delivering robust sales growth and margin expansion despite a challenging commodity price environment. The company’s ability to navigate input cost inflation and maintain market share in the two-wheeler segment was a key driver behind its strong quarterly showing.

In the mid-cap space, FSN E-Commerce from the e-retail sector impressed investors with a sharp acceleration in revenue growth, supported by expanding customer acquisition and improved operational efficiencies. This performance underscores the resilience of digital commerce platforms amid shifting consumer preferences and increased online penetration.

Among small caps, Cupid in the FMCG sector stood out with healthy volume growth and margin improvement, benefiting from strong rural demand and effective cost management. The company’s strategic focus on premiumisation and product innovation has helped it sustain competitive advantage in a fragmented market.

Micro-cap stocks also delivered noteworthy results, with String Metaverse (Paper, Forest & Jute Products) and Trescon (Realty) posting impressive earnings growth, reflecting niche sectoral tailwinds and effective cost controls. These companies highlight the potential for select micro-caps to outperform despite broader market volatility.

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Spotlight on HBL Engineering Ltd: A Strong Quarter in Auto Components

Among recent declarations, HBL Engineering Ltd, a mid-sized player in the auto components and equipment industry, reported an outstanding quarter ending December 2025. The company’s net sales surged by 27.1% to ₹874.04 crores compared to its previous four-quarter average, signalling robust demand recovery in the automotive supply chain.

Profit before tax (excluding other income) rose sharply by 36.1% to ₹287.52 crores, while net profit after tax expanded by 33.9% to ₹221.31 crores. Despite a slight decline in its mojo score from 38 to 30 over the past three months, HBL Engineering’s financial performance remains impressive, reflecting operational efficiencies and favourable product mix shifts.

The stock turned mildly bullish on 01 February 2026 at ₹760.65, indicating renewed investor confidence. This performance is particularly encouraging given the broader challenges faced by the auto components sector, including raw material cost inflation and supply chain constraints.

Aggregate Profit Growth and Market Implications

The aggregate earnings growth across the 1,744 companies reporting this quarter suggests a cautious but positive outlook for corporate India. While the overall positivity rate of 46.0% indicates that nearly half of the companies beat or met expectations, the relatively lower performance among large caps points to ongoing headwinds in sectors dominated by these firms, such as banking, energy, and heavy industry.

Mid and small caps continue to benefit from domestic demand revival, sectoral tailwinds, and nimble management strategies. This divergence may influence portfolio allocation decisions, favouring mid and small cap exposure for investors seeking growth opportunities in the near term.

Looking ahead, key results to watch include upcoming declarations from pharmaceutical stalwarts such as Zydus Lifesciences Ltd, Linde India Ltd., and Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. scheduled for 09 February 2026. These companies operate in sectors with strong export potential and defensive characteristics, which could provide further clarity on earnings resilience amid global uncertainties.

Sectoral Patterns and Investor Takeaways

The automobile and auto components sectors have shown encouraging signs of recovery, driven by pent-up demand and easing semiconductor shortages. Companies like TVS Motor Co. and HBL Engineering exemplify this trend with strong top-line and bottom-line growth.

Meanwhile, the e-commerce and FMCG sectors continue to capitalise on evolving consumer behaviour and rural market penetration, as evidenced by FSN E-Commerce and Cupid’s results. These sectors are likely to remain key drivers of earnings growth in the medium term.

Investors should remain mindful of the mixed earnings landscape, balancing exposure between resilient mid and small caps and selectively chosen large caps with strong fundamentals. Monitoring upcoming quarterly results and sectoral developments will be crucial to navigating the evolving market environment.

Conclusion: Earnings Season Reflects Gradual Recovery with Selective Strength

The December 2025 quarterly results season paints a picture of gradual recovery and selective strength across market capitalisation segments and sectors. While the overall positivity rate of 46.0% signals improvement, the disparity between large caps and smaller firms highlights ongoing challenges and opportunities within the market.

Companies demonstrating operational agility, cost discipline, and market leadership continue to outperform, offering potential avenues for investors seeking quality growth. As the earnings season progresses, attention will centre on upcoming results from key sectors such as pharmaceuticals and industrials to gauge the sustainability of this recovery trend.

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