Large-Cap Segment Sees Mixed Performance Amid Defensive and Cyclical Divergence

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The large-cap segment, represented by the BSE 100 index, has experienced a modest decline over recent sessions, reflecting a cautious market mood. While select heavyweight stocks have demonstrated resilience, the broader index has slipped by 0.93% on the day and 1.59% over the past five trading days, underscoring the ongoing tussle between defensive and cyclical sectors.

Overall Large-Cap Index Performance

The BSE 100 large-cap index has been under pressure, closing down by 0.93% on 24 Feb 2026. This decline extends a recent trend, with the index falling 1.59% over the last five days. Market breadth within this segment remains weak, with 45 stocks advancing against 56 decliners, resulting in an advance-decline ratio of 0.8x. This ratio highlights the prevailing bearish undertone despite pockets of strength.

Top and Bottom Performers

Among the large-cap constituents, AU Small Finance Bank emerged as the best performer, delivering a robust return of 2.83% on the day. The stock’s bullish momentum is supported by recent upgrades in technical scores, shifting from bullish to mildly bullish, reflecting improving investor sentiment and potential for further upside.

Conversely, LTI Mindtree was the worst performer, plunging 6.86%. The sharp decline in this IT heavyweight signals sector-specific headwinds, possibly linked to profit booking or concerns over near-term earnings growth. This divergence between financials and IT highlights the contrasting fortunes within the large-cap universe.

Sectoral Trends: Defensive Versus Cyclical

The large-cap segment is currently witnessing a clear bifurcation between defensive and cyclical stocks. Defensive names such as Hindalco Industries, HDFC AMC, and ONGC have seen their technical scores upgraded recently, moving from bullish to mildly bullish or sideways to mildly bullish. This suggests a cautious but positive outlook for sectors perceived as safe havens amid market volatility.

In contrast, cyclical sectors, particularly IT and discretionary consumption, have faced pressure. The downgrades and negative returns in stocks like LTI Mindtree underscore the challenges faced by cyclical names amid global economic uncertainties and shifting investor preferences.

Technical Upgrades and Calls

Several large-cap stocks have benefited from recent technical upgrades, signalling potential shifts in momentum. Notably, UltraTech Cement, Bajaj Finance, Sun Pharma Industries, and HDFC AMC have seen their technical calls change from Hold to Buy. These upgrades reflect improving price action and may attract renewed buying interest from institutional investors.

Meanwhile, stocks such as B P C L have moved from mildly bullish to bullish, indicating strengthening fundamentals or positive market sentiment. These technical shifts are crucial for traders and investors seeking to capitalise on emerging trends within the large-cap space.

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Market Capitalisation and Momentum Analysis

The large-cap segment continues to dominate market capitalisation, but the recent negative returns have raised questions about near-term momentum. The 0.93% decline on the day and 1.59% over five days contrasts with the relative strength seen in mid and small caps, which have shown more resilience in recent weeks.

Investors are increasingly discerning, favouring stocks with strong earnings visibility and robust balance sheets. This is evident in the technical upgrades for financial services and energy stocks, which are perceived as defensive plays amid macroeconomic uncertainties.

Outlook and Investor Implications

Given the current environment, investors should carefully balance exposure between defensive large caps and cyclical names. Defensive stocks such as Hindalco Industries and ONGC offer relative stability and dividend yield, while cyclical stocks may provide upside in a sustained economic recovery but carry higher volatility risk.

Technical upgrades in key large-cap stocks suggest selective buying opportunities, particularly in names transitioning from Hold to Buy calls. However, the overall negative breadth and recent index declines warrant caution and a focus on quality and valuation.

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Conclusion

The large-cap segment is navigating a complex landscape marked by divergent sectoral performances and cautious investor sentiment. While defensive stocks are gaining favour and technical upgrades point to pockets of strength, the overall index remains under pressure with a negative advance-decline ratio. Investors should adopt a selective approach, focusing on quality large caps with improving technicals and resilient fundamentals to navigate the current market volatility effectively.

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