Understanding the Current Rating
The Strong Sell rating assigned to Ansal Housing Ltd indicates a cautious stance for investors, signalling significant risks and challenges facing the company. This rating is derived from a comprehensive evaluation of four key parameters: Quality, Valuation, Financial Trend, and Technicals. Each of these factors contributes to the overall assessment, helping investors understand why the stock is currently viewed as unattractive for investment.
Quality Assessment
As of 25 December 2025, Ansal Housing Ltd’s quality grade remains below average. The company is characterised by weak long-term fundamental strength, primarily due to its high debt levels and limited profitability. Over the past five years, operating profit has grown at an annual rate of just 13.94%, which is modest for a realty sector player. The average debt-to-equity ratio stands at a concerning 2.80 times, indicating a heavy reliance on borrowed funds. Furthermore, the average return on equity (ROE) is a mere 0.91%, reflecting low profitability relative to shareholders’ funds. These factors collectively weigh down the company’s quality score and contribute to the cautious rating.
Valuation Considerations
The valuation grade for Ansal Housing Ltd is currently classified as risky. The stock trades at valuations that are unfavourable compared to its historical averages, signalling potential overvaluation or market scepticism. Despite a 12.1% rise in profits over the past year, the stock has delivered a negative return of -39.94% during the same period. This disconnect is further highlighted by a price-to-earnings-growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7, which suggests that the stock’s price growth is not fully supported by earnings growth. Investors should be wary of the valuation risks embedded in the current price.
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- - Fundamental Analysis
- - Technical Signals
- - Peer Comparison
Financial Trend Analysis
The financial trend for Ansal Housing Ltd is negative as of 25 December 2025. The company has reported losses for three consecutive quarters, with profit before tax (PBT) excluding other income at Rs -4.08 crore, representing a dramatic fall compared to the previous four-quarter average. Net profit after tax (PAT) for the latest quarter stands at Rs -2.74 crore, a decline of 175.4% relative to the prior period. Return on capital employed (ROCE) is also at a low of -0.04%, underscoring the company’s inability to generate adequate returns on its capital base. These figures highlight ongoing operational challenges and deteriorating financial health, which justify the negative financial grade and the Strong Sell rating.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, the stock is mildly bearish. Despite short-term gains—such as a 3.31% increase in the last trading day and a 5.15% rise over the past month—the longer-term trend remains weak. Over the past six months, the stock has declined by 16.39%, and year-to-date losses stand at 45.05%. This underperformance is stark when compared to the broader market, with the BSE500 index delivering a positive 6.20% return over the last year. The technical grade reflects this subdued momentum and signals caution for traders and investors alike.
Stock Returns and Market Comparison
As of 25 December 2025, Ansal Housing Ltd has underperformed significantly relative to the market. The stock’s one-year return is -39.94%, a stark contrast to the 6.20% gain posted by the BSE500 index. This divergence emphasises the stock’s struggles amid broader market resilience. Shorter-term returns show some recovery, with gains of 3.73% over the past week and 5.37% over three months, but these are insufficient to offset the steep declines experienced earlier in the year. Investors should consider this performance context when evaluating the stock’s prospects.
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What This Rating Means for Investors
The Strong Sell rating on Ansal Housing Ltd serves as a clear warning signal for investors. It suggests that the stock currently carries elevated risks due to weak fundamentals, unfavourable valuation, deteriorating financial trends, and a bearish technical outlook. Investors should approach the stock with caution, considering the company’s high debt burden, sustained losses, and underperformance relative to the market.
For those holding the stock, it may be prudent to reassess their exposure and consider risk mitigation strategies. Prospective investors should conduct thorough due diligence and weigh the potential for recovery against the prevailing challenges. The rating reflects a consensus view that the stock is not well positioned for near-term gains and may continue to face headwinds.
Company Profile and Market Context
Ansal Housing Ltd operates within the realty sector and is classified as a microcap company. The sector itself has faced volatility amid changing economic conditions and regulatory environments. The company’s current market capitalisation and financial metrics underscore its status as a smaller player with limited scale and resources compared to larger real estate firms. This context further informs the cautious stance reflected in the Strong Sell rating.
Summary of Key Metrics as of 25 December 2025
- Mojo Score: 9.0 (Strong Sell)
- Quality Grade: Below Average
- Valuation Grade: Risky
- Financial Grade: Negative
- Technical Grade: Mildly Bearish
- Debt to Equity Ratio (avg): 2.80 times
- Return on Equity (avg): 0.91%
- Operating Profit Growth (5 years annualised): 13.94%
- Profit Before Tax (latest quarter): Rs -4.08 crore
- Profit After Tax (latest quarter): Rs -2.74 crore
- ROCE (half year): -0.04%
- Stock Returns: 1D +3.31%, 1W +3.73%, 1M +5.15%, 3M +5.37%, 6M -16.39%, YTD -45.05%, 1Y -39.94%
In conclusion, the Strong Sell rating on Ansal Housing Ltd reflects a comprehensive evaluation of the company’s current challenges and market realities. Investors should carefully consider these factors when making investment decisions related to this stock.
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