Understanding the Current Rating
The Strong Sell rating indicates that the stock is expected to underperform the broader market and carries considerable risks for investors. This recommendation is grounded in a comprehensive evaluation of four key parameters: Quality, Valuation, Financial Trend, and Technicals. Each of these factors contributes to the overall assessment of the company’s investment appeal and risk profile.
Quality Assessment
As of 04 January 2026, Supreme Infrastructure India Ltd’s quality grade is categorised as below average. The company has been grappling with operational challenges, reflected in its weak long-term fundamental strength. Over the past five years, net sales have declined at an annualised rate of -25.58%, signalling persistent difficulties in sustaining growth. Furthermore, the company has reported operating losses, which undermine its ability to generate consistent profits and reinvest in its business. This weak quality profile raises concerns about the company’s competitive positioning and operational efficiency within the construction sector.
Valuation Considerations
The valuation grade for Supreme Infrastructure India Ltd is currently deemed risky. The stock trades at levels that suggest elevated risk relative to its historical averages. Negative EBITDA and ongoing losses have contributed to this cautious stance. Despite the stock’s price decline of -35.72% over the past year, profits have marginally increased by 2.8%, indicating some operational resilience but insufficient to offset broader valuation concerns. Investors should be wary of the stock’s pricing, which reflects market apprehension about the company’s future earnings potential and financial stability.
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- - Fundamental Analysis
- - Technical Signals
- - Peer Comparison
Financial Trend Analysis
The company’s financial trend remains negative as of 04 January 2026. Supreme Infrastructure India Ltd has declared losses for four consecutive quarters, with net sales for the latest six months at ₹21.82 crores, reflecting a sharp decline of -40.79%. The net profit after tax (PAT) for the same period stands at a substantial loss of ₹-560.05 crores, also down by -40.79%. Return on capital employed (ROCE) is negative at -0.66%, underscoring the company’s inability to generate adequate returns from its capital base. Additionally, the company carries a high debt burden, with an average debt-to-equity ratio of 4.17 times, which exacerbates financial risk and limits flexibility for growth or restructuring.
Technical Outlook
The technical grade is bearish, reflecting downward momentum in the stock price and weak market sentiment. Over the past year, the stock has underperformed the broader market significantly. While the BSE500 index has delivered a positive return of 5.35%, Supreme Infrastructure India Ltd’s stock has declined by -35.72%. Short-term price movements also show negative trends, with a 1-month return of -4.62% and a 6-month return of -21.19%. The high proportion of promoter shares pledged at 63.87%, which has increased by 47.57% over the last quarter, adds further pressure on the stock price, particularly in volatile market conditions.
Implications for Investors
For investors, the Strong Sell rating signals caution. The combination of weak fundamentals, risky valuation, deteriorating financial trends, and bearish technical indicators suggests that the stock is currently unattractive for long-term or speculative investment. The company’s ongoing losses, high leverage, and declining sales point to significant challenges ahead. Investors should carefully consider these factors and the potential for further downside before committing capital to Supreme Infrastructure India Ltd.
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Summary of Key Metrics as of 04 January 2026
Supreme Infrastructure India Ltd’s stock performance and financial health present a challenging picture. The stock’s one-year return of -35.72% starkly contrasts with the positive market returns, highlighting its underperformance. The company’s net sales and profits have both contracted significantly, while its capital efficiency remains negative. High promoter share pledging and elevated debt levels further compound the risks. These factors collectively justify the current Strong Sell rating and advise investors to approach the stock with caution.
Looking Ahead
Investors should monitor Supreme Infrastructure India Ltd’s quarterly results and any strategic initiatives aimed at improving operational efficiency and reducing debt. Until there is clear evidence of a turnaround in fundamentals and financial health, the stock is likely to remain under pressure. The current rating serves as a prudent guide for portfolio management, signalling the need for risk mitigation and careful stock selection within the construction sector.
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