Suratwwala Business Group Sees Shift in Market Assessment Amid Mixed Financial and Technical Signals

12 hours ago
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Suratwwala Business Group, a player in the realty sector, has experienced a revision in its market assessment following a detailed analysis of its financial performance, valuation metrics, technical indicators, and overall quality parameters. This article explores the factors influencing the recent shift in perspective on the company’s stock, providing investors with a comprehensive understanding of its current standing.



Financial Trend Analysis: Mixed Signals from Recent Results


Suratwwala Business Group’s recent quarterly results have demonstrated notable activity. The company reported a net sales figure of ₹41.93 crores over the latest six months, reflecting a growth rate of 62.88% compared to previous periods. Profit after tax (PAT) for the same period stood at ₹13.49 crores, while the quarterly PBDIT reached ₹11.06 crores, marking the highest level recorded in recent quarters. These figures indicate a positive short-term momentum in operational performance.


However, a longer-term view reveals challenges. Over the past five years, the company’s net sales have shown an annualised decline of 10.37%, with operating profit contracting at a rate of 17.02% annually. This contrast between recent quarterly strength and extended period weakness suggests a complex financial trajectory that investors must carefully consider.


Additionally, Suratwwala Business Group’s ability to service debt remains robust, with a Debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.17 times, signalling manageable leverage levels. This financial stability is a key factor in the company’s overall evaluation.




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Valuation Considerations: Expensive Yet Discounted Relative to Peers


Suratwwala Business Group’s valuation metrics present a nuanced picture. The company’s return on capital employed (ROCE) stands at 18.8%, which is a respectable figure indicating efficient use of capital. However, the enterprise value to capital employed ratio is 4.8, suggesting a relatively expensive valuation compared to typical benchmarks.


Despite this, the stock is trading at a discount when compared to the average historical valuations of its peers within the realty sector. This discrepancy may reflect market caution given the company’s recent performance and sector dynamics.


Moreover, the price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is 1.3, which implies that the stock’s price is somewhat aligned with its earnings growth prospects, though not necessarily undervalued. Investors should weigh these valuation factors carefully in the context of the company’s financial trends and sector outlook.



Technical Indicators: Transition from Bearish to Mildly Bearish Trends


The technical landscape for Suratwwala Business Group has undergone a subtle shift. Weekly technical indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator have moved into mildly bullish territory, while monthly indicators remain bearish. This divergence suggests short-term optimism tempered by longer-term caution.


The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts currently shows no clear signal, indicating a lack of strong momentum in either direction. Bollinger Bands and moving averages on daily and weekly timeframes reflect mildly bearish trends, reinforcing the mixed technical outlook.


Volume-based indicators such as On-Balance Volume (OBV) show mildly bullish tendencies on a weekly basis but no definitive trend monthly. Dow Theory analysis aligns with this pattern, showing mildly bullish signals weekly and bearish signals monthly. Overall, the technical assessment points to a transition phase rather than a decisive directional move.



Quality and Market Position: Underperformance and Institutional Interest


Suratwwala Business Group’s market performance has lagged behind broader indices. Over the past year, the stock has generated a return of -73.96%, significantly underperforming the BSE500 index, which posted a modest 0.62% gain during the same period. This underperformance contrasts with a 22.9% rise in profits over the year, highlighting a disconnect between earnings growth and market valuation.


Longer-term returns show a more positive trend, with the stock delivering a 56.36% return over three years and an impressive 1174.07% over five years, far outpacing the Sensex’s 83.99% return in the same five-year span. This suggests that while recent performance has been challenging, the company has demonstrated significant value creation over extended periods.


Institutional interest appears limited, with domestic mutual funds holding no stake in the company. Given their capacity for detailed research and due diligence, this absence may indicate reservations about the company’s current valuation or business prospects.




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Stock Price Movement and Market Context


The stock price of Suratwwala Business Group closed at ₹34.40, up from the previous close of ₹31.75, with intraday highs reaching ₹34.94 and lows at ₹32.16. Despite this recent upward movement, the stock remains well below its 52-week high of ₹139.60, indicating significant volatility and price correction over the past year.


Short-term returns have been positive, with a one-week gain of 25.55%, outperforming the Sensex’s decline of 0.52% in the same period. Over one month, the stock returned 5.68%, slightly above the Sensex’s 1.13% gain. However, year-to-date and one-year returns remain deeply negative at -73.55% and -73.96% respectively, contrasting with the Sensex’s positive returns of 8.55% and 4.04% over those periods.



Conclusion: A Complex Investment Profile


Suratwwala Business Group’s recent revision in market assessment reflects a multifaceted evaluation across quality, valuation, financial trends, and technical indicators. The company’s short-term financial results show encouraging signs of recovery and operational strength, while longer-term sales and profit trends suggest ongoing challenges.


Valuation metrics indicate the stock is relatively expensive but trading at a discount compared to peers, and technical indicators reveal a transition from bearish to mildly bearish trends, with some weekly signals hinting at cautious optimism. The stock’s significant underperformance relative to the broader market and limited institutional interest add further complexity to its investment profile.


Investors considering Suratwwala Business Group should weigh these diverse factors carefully, recognising the potential for both risk and opportunity within the realty sector’s evolving landscape.






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