Key Events This Week
2 Feb: Intraday high with 3.02% surge and valuation upgrade
3 Feb: Significant gap up and 6.77% intraday rally
4 Feb: Continued gains with 1.37% rise
5-6 Feb: Steady advances closing the week above Rs.1,000
2 February 2026: Intraday Surge and Valuation Upgrade Signal Renewed Interest
On 2 February, Adani Energy Solutions Ltd rebounded from prior declines with a robust intraday surge of 3.02%, reaching a high of Rs.868.50. Despite closing lower at Rs.884.15 (-1.25%) due to profit-taking, the stock’s intraday strength outpaced the Sensex’s 1.03% decline, signalling renewed buying interest. This performance coincided with a notable valuation shift, as the company’s Mojo Grade was upgraded from Sell to Hold, reflecting improved price attractiveness amid a challenging market backdrop.
The stock’s Price-to-Earnings ratio moderated to 45.27, down from previous levels that labelled it ‘very expensive’, while the Price-to-Book Value stood at 4.35. Compared to sector peers such as NTPC (P/E 13.86) and Tata Power (P/E 28.02), Adani Energy Solutions remains richly valued but more accessible than some group companies like Adani Green Energy (P/E 77.73). Operational metrics showed moderate efficiency with ROCE at 11.31% and ROE at 9.65%, supporting the cautious optimism behind the rating upgrade.
3 February 2026: Strong Gap Up and Intraday Rally Amid Market Volatility
The following day, the stock opened sharply higher with a 5.4% gap up, sustaining momentum to touch an intraday high of Rs.972.55, a 6.77% gain on the day. This rally was remarkable given the broader market’s weakness, as the Sensex closed down 2.74%. Adani Energy Solutions outperformed its power sector peers by over 4 percentage points, underscoring its leadership within the segment.
Technically, the stock traded above its 5-day, 20-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, signalling strong short- and long-term support, though it remained below the 50-day average, indicating some medium-term resistance. The consecutive two-day gains amounted to a 12.95% return, marking a significant recovery phase. The stock’s high beta of 1.64 relative to the Sensex also explained the pronounced price swings during this period.
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4 February 2026: Continued Gains Reflect Steady Momentum
On 4 February, the stock maintained its upward trajectory, closing at Rs.987.95, up 1.37% on the day. This steady advance came despite a modest 0.37% gain in the Sensex, indicating sustained investor confidence in the stock’s recovery. Volume moderated to 114,004 shares, reflecting a more measured trading session following the prior day’s volatility.
The stock’s technical positioning remained favourable, supported by its position above key moving averages. This day’s performance reinforced the emerging short-term uptrend, with the stock inching closer to the Rs.1,000 mark, a psychological resistance level.
5-6 February 2026: Steady Advances Close Week Above Rs.1,000
Adani Energy Solutions Ltd closed the week with further gains on 5 and 6 February, rising 2.40% and 0.54% respectively to finish at Rs.1,017.15. These gains came amid mixed market conditions, with the Sensex declining 0.53% on 5 February before a marginal 0.10% rise on 6 February. The stock’s ability to hold above Rs.1,000 despite broader market fluctuations highlights its relative strength and resilience.
Trading volumes varied, with a low of 58,193 shares on 5 February and a rebound to 126,078 shares on 6 February, suggesting renewed investor interest as the stock consolidated its gains. The week’s close marked a 13.60% increase from the prior Friday’s close, significantly outperforming the Sensex’s 1.51% rise.
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Daily Price Performance: Stock vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Rs.884.15 | -1.25% | 35,814.09 | -1.03% |
| 2026-02-03 | Rs.974.60 | +10.23% | 36,755.96 | +2.63% |
| 2026-02-04 | Rs.987.95 | +1.37% | 36,890.21 | +0.37% |
| 2026-02-05 | Rs.1,011.65 | +2.40% | 36,695.11 | -0.53% |
| 2026-02-06 | Rs.1,017.15 | +0.54% | 36,730.20 | +0.10% |
Key Takeaways
Strong Weekly Outperformance: The stock’s 13.60% weekly gain far exceeded the Sensex’s 1.51% rise, highlighting robust relative strength amid a volatile market.
Valuation Recalibration: The upgrade from ‘very expensive’ to ‘expensive’ valuation status and the Mojo Grade improvement to Hold reflect a more balanced risk-reward profile, despite premium multiples relative to sector peers.
Technical Momentum: Trading above multiple moving averages and a significant gap up on 3 February signal positive short- and long-term technical support, though resistance near the 50-day average remains a consideration.
Volatility and Beta: The stock’s high beta of 1.64 indicates greater price swings relative to the market, necessitating caution amid potential volatility despite recent gains.
Conclusion
Adani Energy Solutions Ltd’s performance in the week ending 6 February 2026 was marked by a strong rebound and sustained momentum, driven by positive intraday rallies, a valuation upgrade, and technical strength. The stock’s ability to significantly outperform the Sensex amid mixed market conditions underscores its resilience and renewed investor interest. While valuation remains elevated compared to traditional power sector peers, the recent rating upgrade and improved price action suggest a cautious but constructive outlook. Investors should remain mindful of the stock’s volatility and medium-term resistance levels as the company navigates ongoing sector dynamics and market fluctuations.
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