Open Interest and Volume Dynamics
On 20 Apr 2026, Adani Power's open interest in futures and options contracts rose sharply by 4,334 contracts, marking an 11.41% increase from the previous OI of 37,975 to 42,309. This expansion in OI is accompanied by a substantial volume of 39,794 contracts traded, reflecting heightened activity and interest in the stock's derivatives. The futures value stood at approximately ₹48,829.99 lakhs, while the options segment exhibited an enormous notional value of ₹24,612.03 crores, underscoring the scale of speculative and hedging activity.
The total traded value in derivatives reached ₹57,590.16 lakhs, indicating strong liquidity and active participation from market participants. The underlying stock price closed at ₹204, having touched an intraday high of ₹205.45, a new 52-week peak, reinforcing the bullish sentiment prevailing in the market.
Price Momentum and Technical Strength
Adani Power has outperformed its sector peers by 1.48% on the day, with a one-day return of 2.90% compared to the Power sector's 1.57% and the Sensex's decline of 0.25%. The stock has been on a remarkable 12-day winning streak, delivering a cumulative return of 35.71% during this period. It is currently trading above all key moving averages — 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day — signalling strong technical momentum and sustained buying interest.
Investor participation has also intensified, as evidenced by a delivery volume of 2.69 crore shares on 17 Apr 2026, which surged 43.36% above the five-day average delivery volume. This rise in delivery volume suggests that investors are increasingly confident in holding the stock for the medium to long term, rather than engaging in short-term speculative trades.
Market Positioning and Directional Bets
The sharp increase in open interest alongside rising prices typically indicates fresh long positions being established, reflecting bullish directional bets. Traders and institutional investors appear to be positioning for further upside in Adani Power, supported by the stock’s strong fundamentals and sectoral tailwinds in the power industry.
However, the sizeable options notional value also hints at active hedging strategies, with market participants possibly using options to manage risk amid the rally. The balance between futures and options activity suggests a nuanced market stance, where some investors are aggressively bullish while others are cautiously protecting gains.
Valuation and Market Cap Considerations
Adani Power is classified as a large-cap stock with a market capitalisation of ₹3,89,647 crore, reflecting its significant presence in the power sector. The company’s Mojo Score currently stands at 50.0, with a Mojo Grade of Hold, upgraded from Sell on 16 Mar 2026. This rating change indicates an improvement in the stock’s quality and outlook, though it remains a cautious recommendation, signalling that investors should weigh risks carefully.
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Liquidity and Trading Viability
Liquidity remains robust for Adani Power, with the stock’s traded value comfortably supporting trade sizes up to ₹28.11 crore based on 2% of the five-day average traded value. This level of liquidity is favourable for institutional investors and large traders seeking to enter or exit positions without significant market impact.
Given the stock’s recent outperformance relative to the sector and benchmark indices, alongside the sustained increase in open interest and volume, market participants are likely interpreting these signals as confirmation of a strong upward trend. The combination of technical strength, improving fundamentals, and active derivatives positioning suggests that Adani Power could continue to attract investor interest in the near term.
Risks and Considerations
Despite the positive momentum, investors should remain mindful of potential volatility inherent in derivatives markets. The elevated options notional value may also indicate increased speculative activity, which can lead to sharp price swings. Furthermore, the Hold rating from MarketsMOJO reflects a balanced view, acknowledging that while the stock has improved, it may face resistance or consolidation phases ahead.
Sectoral factors such as regulatory changes, fuel price fluctuations, and demand-supply dynamics in the power industry could also influence Adani Power’s trajectory. Investors are advised to monitor these variables closely alongside technical indicators and market positioning data.
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Outlook and Investor Takeaway
Adani Power’s recent surge in open interest and volume, combined with its strong price performance and technical positioning, suggests that the stock is currently favoured by market participants for further gains. The upgrade in Mojo Grade to Hold reflects improving fundamentals and market sentiment, though investors should remain vigilant to potential volatility and sector-specific risks.
For investors with a medium to long-term horizon, the stock’s large-cap status and liquidity profile make it a viable candidate for portfolio inclusion, provided risk management strategies are employed. Traders focusing on derivatives markets may find opportunities in the current elevated activity, but should carefully analyse option greeks and expiry dynamics to optimise their positions.
Overall, the data points to a constructive near-term outlook for Adani Power, with the derivatives market signalling confidence in the stock’s upward trajectory while also incorporating prudent hedging measures.
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