Price Movement and Market Context
On 1 December 2025, Allcargo Logistics closed at ₹13.00, marking a day change of 6.56% from the previous close of ₹12.20. The intraday range saw a low of ₹12.11 and a high of ₹14.21, indicating heightened trading activity. Despite this short-term price movement, the stock remains significantly below its 52-week high of ₹57.95, while hovering just above its 52-week low of ₹11.20.
Comparatively, the stock’s returns over various periods reveal a challenging performance relative to the broader market. Year-to-date, Allcargo Logistics has recorded a return of -74.11%, contrasting with the Sensex’s positive 9.68% over the same timeframe. Over one year, the stock’s return stands at -75.88%, while the Sensex shows an 8.43% gain. Longer-term data further emphasises this divergence, with the stock posting a -85.61% return over three years against the Sensex’s 37.12%, and a -64.83% return over ten years compared to the Sensex’s 228.02%.
Technical Indicator Overview
The recent revision in Allcargo Logistics’ evaluation metrics has brought attention to a shift from a bearish to a mildly bearish technical trend. This subtle change reflects a market environment where some indicators suggest potential stabilisation, while others continue to signal caution.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains bearish on both weekly and monthly charts, indicating that momentum is still weighted towards the downside in the medium to long term. This is complemented by the daily moving averages, which also maintain a bearish stance, suggesting that the stock price is trading below key average levels and may face resistance in upward attempts.
Conversely, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) presents a bullish signal on both weekly and monthly timeframes. This divergence between MACD and RSI points to a complex momentum scenario where short-term buying interest may be emerging despite longer-term downward pressure. The RSI’s bullish readings imply that the stock is not currently in oversold territory and may be experiencing some accumulation.
Bollinger Bands and Volume Analysis
Bollinger Bands, which measure volatility and potential price range, remain bearish on weekly and monthly charts. This suggests that price volatility is still skewed towards lower levels, with the stock price likely trading near or below the lower band, a typical sign of downward pressure or consolidation at depressed levels.
On the volume front, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator shows bullish signals on both weekly and monthly scales. This indicates that volume trends are supporting price advances, with buying pressure potentially increasing despite the overall bearish technical backdrop. Such volume behaviour can sometimes precede a reversal or at least a pause in a downtrend.
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Additional Momentum Indicators
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator, which aggregates multiple rate-of-change measures, remains bearish on both weekly and monthly charts. This suggests that the broader momentum trend is still negative, reinforcing the caution signalled by MACD and moving averages.
Dow Theory analysis presents a mixed picture: weekly data indicates a mildly bullish trend, while monthly data remains mildly bearish. This divergence highlights the possibility of short-term strength within a longer-term downtrend, a scenario often seen in stocks undergoing consolidation or tentative recovery phases.
Implications for Investors
The combination of bullish RSI and OBV readings alongside bearish MACD, KST, and moving averages suggests that Allcargo Logistics is in a phase of technical uncertainty. The stock may be experiencing short-term buying interest and volume support, yet it remains constrained by longer-term downward momentum and volatility pressures.
Investors analysing Allcargo Logistics should consider this mixed technical landscape carefully. The stock’s significant underperformance relative to the Sensex over multiple time horizons underscores the challenges faced by the company and the transport services sector. However, the presence of some bullish signals may indicate potential for stabilisation or a base-building phase.
Given the current price near ₹13.00, which is close to the 52-week low, the stock’s technical parameters suggest that any upward moves could encounter resistance from prevailing bearish trends. Monitoring the evolution of MACD and moving averages alongside volume indicators will be critical to assess whether a more sustained momentum shift is underway.
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Sector and Industry Considerations
Allcargo Logistics operates within the transport services sector, an industry often sensitive to economic cycles, fuel prices, and regulatory changes. The sector’s performance can be volatile, influenced by global trade dynamics and domestic infrastructure developments.
Given the stock’s technical profile and recent price action, it is important to contextualise its momentum within broader sector trends. The transport services sector has faced headwinds in recent years, which may be reflected in Allcargo Logistics’ extended period of underperformance relative to the Sensex benchmark.
Investors should also consider the company’s market capitalisation grade of 3, indicating a mid-tier size within its sector. This positioning may affect liquidity and volatility characteristics, further influencing technical indicator behaviour.
Conclusion
The recent shift in Allcargo Logistics’ technical parameters highlights a complex market assessment. While some indicators such as RSI and OBV suggest emerging bullish momentum, others including MACD, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and KST maintain bearish or mildly bearish signals. This mixed technical landscape points to a stock in transition, with potential for short-term price support amid longer-term challenges.
Investors and market participants should closely monitor the evolution of these technical indicators alongside fundamental developments in the transport services sector. The stock’s significant divergence from Sensex returns over multiple periods underscores the importance of a cautious and well-informed approach when analysing Allcargo Logistics’ future price trajectory.
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