Technical Trend Overview
The stock’s technical trend has softened from mildly bullish to sideways, indicating a loss of upward momentum. The daily moving averages remain mildly bullish, suggesting some short-term support around the current price level of ₹27.66, down from the previous close of ₹28.33. However, weekly and monthly indicators paint a more cautious picture.
MACD Signals Indicate Bearish Pressure
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator on the weekly chart has turned bearish, signalling increasing downward momentum. This contrasts with the monthly MACD, which currently shows no clear directional signal, implying uncertainty over the longer term. The weekly bearish MACD suggests that recent price declines may continue unless there is a significant reversal in buying interest.
RSI Reflects Mixed Momentum
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the weekly timeframe remains bullish, indicating that the stock is not yet oversold and retains some buying interest. However, the monthly RSI offers no definitive signal, underscoring a lack of clear trend direction over the medium term. This divergence between weekly and monthly RSI readings highlights the stock’s current technical indecision.
Bollinger Bands Confirm Bearish Bias
Bollinger Bands on both weekly and monthly charts are bearish, with the price hovering near the lower band on the weekly scale. This suggests increased volatility and a potential continuation of downward pressure. The proximity to the lower band often signals oversold conditions, but in this case, it aligns with other bearish indicators, reinforcing the cautious outlook.
Moving Averages and KST Indicator
Daily moving averages remain mildly bullish, offering some short-term support near ₹27.50. However, the weekly Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator has turned bearish, signalling a loss of momentum in the intermediate term. The monthly KST is currently neutral, reflecting the absence of a clear trend. This mixed picture suggests that while short-term buyers may defend current levels, the broader trend is weakening.
Dow Theory and On-Balance Volume (OBV) Insights
According to Dow Theory, the weekly trend is mildly bullish, but the monthly trend shows no clear direction. This aligns with the OBV readings, which indicate no significant trend on either weekly or monthly timeframes. The lack of volume confirmation for price moves suggests that recent price changes may lack conviction, increasing the risk of further sideways or downward movement.
Price Performance Relative to Sensex
Allcargo Terminals Ltd’s recent returns have been mixed compared to the broader Sensex benchmark. Over the past week, the stock declined by 2.02%, while the Sensex gained 0.88%. Over the last month, however, the stock outperformed with a 6.51% gain against a 0.32% decline in the Sensex. Year-to-date, the stock is down 1.64%, slightly lagging the Sensex’s 0.26% rise. Over the past year, the stock has underperformed significantly, falling 28.29% compared to the Sensex’s 7.85% gain.
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Mojo Score and Ratings Update
MarketsMOJO’s latest assessment downgraded Allcargo Terminals Ltd’s Mojo Grade from Sell to Strong Sell on 5 Jan 2026, reflecting deteriorating technical and fundamental conditions. The current Mojo Score stands at 28.0, signalling weak momentum and caution for investors. The Market Cap Grade remains low at 4, indicating limited market capitalisation strength relative to peers in the transport infrastructure sector.
Price Range and Volatility
The stock’s 52-week high is ₹40.49, while the low is ₹19.61, showing a wide trading range and significant volatility over the past year. Today’s trading range was ₹27.06 to ₹28.62, with the closing price at ₹27.66, down 2.36% from the previous close. This intraday volatility, combined with bearish weekly technicals, suggests investors are cautious amid uncertain sector dynamics.
Sector Context and Outlook
Within the transport infrastructure sector, Allcargo Terminals Ltd faces headwinds from subdued volume growth and competitive pressures. While the sector overall has shown resilience, the stock’s technical indicators suggest it is lagging behind peers. Investors should monitor key support levels near ₹27 and watch for any reversal signals in MACD and RSI to gauge potential recovery.
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Investor Takeaway
Allcargo Terminals Ltd’s recent technical deterioration, highlighted by bearish weekly MACD and Bollinger Bands, alongside a downgrade to Strong Sell by MarketsMOJO, suggests investors should exercise caution. The mildly bullish daily moving averages offer limited short-term support, but the absence of volume confirmation and mixed RSI signals point to a sideways or downward trajectory in the near term.
Given the stock’s underperformance relative to the Sensex over the past year and the current technical uncertainty, investors may prefer to await clearer signs of trend reversal before increasing exposure. Monitoring key technical levels around ₹27 and observing changes in momentum indicators will be crucial for assessing potential entry points.
Long-Term Perspective
While the stock has struggled over the last year, the transport infrastructure sector’s long-term fundamentals remain intact, supported by ongoing economic growth and infrastructure development. However, Allcargo Terminals Ltd’s technical and market cap grades indicate it is currently a weaker candidate within the sector. Investors with a longer horizon should weigh these factors carefully against sector peers with stronger momentum and fundamentals.
Summary of Key Technical Metrics
- Current Price: ₹27.66 (down 2.36%)
- 52-Week Range: ₹19.61 - ₹40.49
- MACD Weekly: Bearish
- MACD Monthly: No Signal
- RSI Weekly: Bullish
- RSI Monthly: No Signal
- Bollinger Bands Weekly & Monthly: Bearish
- Moving Averages Daily: Mildly Bullish
- KST Weekly: Bearish
- Dow Theory Weekly: Mildly Bullish
- OBV Weekly & Monthly: No Trend
- Mojo Score: 28.0 (Strong Sell)
- Market Cap Grade: 4
Investors should remain vigilant and consider these technical signals alongside fundamental analysis before making investment decisions in Allcargo Terminals Ltd.
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