Arvind Stock Shows Mixed Technical Signals Amid Price Momentum Shift

On 20 Nov 2025, Arvind’s share price closed at ₹356.65, marking a day change of 3.06% from the previous close of ₹346.05. The stock traded within a range of ₹345.00 to ₹357.95 during the day, positioning itself well above its 52-week low of ₹271.55 but still below the 52-week high of ₹450.40. This price movement indicates a moderate recovery phase, though the stock remains distant from its peak levels over the past year.

Examining the technical trend, there has been a transition from a mildly bearish stance to a mildly bullish one on a weekly basis. This shift is supported by several indicators, though the monthly outlook retains some bearish undertones. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a mildly bullish signal on the weekly chart, while the monthly MACD remains mildly bearish. This divergence suggests that short-term momentum is gaining strength, whereas longer-term momentum is still under pressure.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator, shows no definitive signal on both weekly and monthly timeframes. This neutrality implies that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving room for potential directional movement depending on forthcoming market developments.

Bollinger Bands, which measure volatility and price levels relative to moving averages, indicate a bullish stance on both weekly and monthly charts. This suggests that the stock price is trending towards the upper band, often interpreted as a sign of upward momentum and potential continuation of the current price trend.

Daily moving averages, however, present a mildly bearish signal, indicating that in the very short term, the stock may face some resistance or consolidation before any sustained upward movement. This contrast between daily and weekly indicators highlights the importance of monitoring multiple timeframes for a comprehensive technical assessment.

The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator, which aggregates multiple rate-of-change calculations, aligns with the MACD by showing a mildly bullish signal on the weekly chart but remains mildly bearish on the monthly chart. This further reinforces the mixed momentum picture, with short-term strength counterbalanced by longer-term caution.

Dow Theory analysis, which focuses on the confirmation of trends through market averages, shows mildly bullish signals on both weekly and monthly timeframes. This suggests that the broader market sentiment for Arvind is cautiously optimistic, supporting the possibility of a sustained upward trend if confirmed by other indicators.

On-Balance Volume (OBV), a volume-based indicator that measures buying and selling pressure, also reflects mildly bullish signals on both weekly and monthly charts. This indicates that volume trends are supporting the price movement, which is a positive sign for momentum continuation.

Looking at Arvind’s returns relative to the Sensex provides further context to its performance. Over the past week, Arvind’s stock return was 7.28%, significantly outpacing the Sensex’s 0.85%. This trend continues over the one-month period, with Arvind showing a 16.06% return compared to the Sensex’s 1.47%. However, year-to-date figures reveal a contrasting scenario where Arvind’s stock return stands at -13.05%, while the Sensex has recorded a positive 9.02% return. Over the one-year horizon, Arvind’s return is 3.38%, trailing the Sensex’s 9.81%.

Longer-term returns paint a more favourable picture for Arvind. Over three years, the stock has delivered a 290.21% return, substantially exceeding the Sensex’s 38.15%. The five-year return is even more pronounced at 749.17%, compared to the Sensex’s 95.38%. However, the ten-year return of 15.01% for Arvind is modest relative to the Sensex’s 229.64%, indicating that the stock’s significant gains have been more concentrated in recent years.

These return figures highlight the stock’s volatility and cyclical nature within the Garments & Apparels sector. While short-term and medium-term returns have fluctuated, the long-term performance underscores the company’s capacity for substantial growth over extended periods.

Investors analysing Arvind should consider the interplay of technical indicators alongside fundamental sector dynamics. The Garments & Apparels industry is subject to seasonal demand, raw material price fluctuations, and evolving consumer preferences, all of which can influence stock performance. The current technical signals suggest a cautious optimism, with short-term momentum gaining traction but longer-term indicators advising prudence.

From a technical perspective, the mixed signals from MACD, KST, and moving averages underscore the importance of monitoring price action closely in the coming weeks. The absence of a clear RSI signal suggests that the stock is not currently in an extreme condition, which could allow for either a continuation of the upward momentum or a period of consolidation.

Volume trends, as indicated by OBV, support the recent price gains, which is a positive sign for the sustainability of the current momentum. Meanwhile, the bullish indications from Bollinger Bands on both weekly and monthly charts point to increased volatility with a bias towards higher price levels.

In summary, Arvind’s recent technical parameter changes reflect a nuanced shift in market assessment. The weekly mildly bullish signals contrast with monthly mildly bearish indicators, suggesting that while short-term momentum is gaining, longer-term trends require further confirmation. Investors should weigh these technical insights alongside broader market conditions and sector fundamentals when considering their positions in Arvind.

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