Technical Trend Evolution and Price Momentum
The stock closed at ₹1,002.20 on 10 Feb 2026, up 1.17% from the previous close of ₹990.65. Intraday, it traded between ₹981.60 and ₹1,008.90, inching closer to its 52-week high of ₹1,029.60, a level last touched in recent months. This price movement reflects a positive momentum shift from a mildly bullish to a bullish technical trend, signalling strengthening demand.
AU Small Finance Bank’s price appreciation over the past year has been remarkable, with a 69.41% return compared to the Sensex’s 7.97% gain. Over three and five years, the stock has outperformed the benchmark by delivering 56.43% and 88.68% returns respectively, versus Sensex returns of 38.25% and 63.78%. This outperformance underscores the stock’s resilience and growth potential within the Other Bank sector.
MACD and Momentum Indicators
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a nuanced picture. On a weekly basis, the MACD remains mildly bearish, indicating some short-term consolidation or profit-taking. However, the monthly MACD has turned bullish, reflecting a longer-term positive momentum that supports the recent price gains. This divergence suggests that while short-term volatility may persist, the medium to long-term trend favours further upside.
Complementing this, the Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator is mildly bearish on the weekly chart but bullish on the monthly timeframe. This mixed signal aligns with the MACD’s interpretation, highlighting a transitional phase where the stock is consolidating gains before potentially resuming its upward trajectory.
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RSI and Bollinger Bands Analysis
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently shows no definitive signal on both weekly and monthly charts, indicating the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. This neutral RSI reading suggests room for further price appreciation without immediate risk of a sharp correction.
Bollinger Bands, however, provide a more optimistic outlook. Both weekly and monthly Bollinger Bands are bullish, with the stock price trending near the upper band. This positioning often signals strong buying pressure and potential continuation of the upward trend, especially when supported by other technical indicators.
Moving Averages and Volume Trends
Daily moving averages reinforce the bullish stance, with the stock price consistently trading above key averages such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This alignment confirms the positive momentum and suggests that the recent price gains are supported by sustained buying interest.
On volume, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator shows no clear trend on the weekly chart but turns bullish on the monthly timeframe. This indicates that accumulation is occurring over the longer term, which is a positive sign for the stock’s price sustainability.
Dow Theory and Market Context
According to Dow Theory, the stock currently exhibits no clear trend on both weekly and monthly charts. This absence of a definitive Dow Theory trend suggests that while technical momentum is improving, the stock may still be in a phase of price discovery or consolidation before a confirmed breakout.
Within the broader market context, AU Small Finance Bank’s sector – Other Bank – has been gaining investor attention due to its robust fundamentals and growth prospects. The bank’s Mojo Score of 72.0 and upgraded Mojo Grade to Buy on 9 Feb 2026 reflect this positive sentiment. The Market Cap Grade remains modest at 2, indicating room for market capitalisation growth as the stock gains traction.
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Investment Implications and Outlook
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd’s technical parameters collectively point to a strengthening bullish momentum, supported by a recent upgrade in its Mojo Grade from Hold to Buy. The stock’s ability to outperform the Sensex significantly over the past year and longer periods highlights its growth credentials within the mid-cap banking segment.
Investors should note the mixed signals from short-term oscillators such as the weekly MACD and KST, which suggest some near-term consolidation. However, the dominant monthly bullish indicators and positive moving average alignment provide confidence in the stock’s medium to long-term uptrend.
Given the stock’s proximity to its 52-week high and the bullish Bollinger Bands, a breakout above ₹1,030 could trigger further upside momentum. Conversely, a failure to sustain above current levels may lead to a short-term pullback, offering potential entry points for investors seeking exposure.
Overall, AU Small Finance Bank Ltd remains a compelling candidate for investors favouring mid-cap banking stocks with strong technical and fundamental underpinnings. The stock’s upgraded Mojo Grade and solid technical backdrop make it a noteworthy addition to portfolios seeking growth and momentum.
Summary of Key Technical Scores and Ratings
Mojo Score: 72.0 (Buy, upgraded from Hold on 9 Feb 2026)
Market Cap Grade: 2
Technical Trend: Bullish (upgraded from mildly bullish)
MACD: Weekly - Mildly Bearish, Monthly - Bullish
RSI: Neutral on weekly and monthly charts
Bollinger Bands: Bullish on weekly and monthly charts
Moving Averages: Daily - Bullish
KST: Weekly - Mildly Bearish, Monthly - Bullish
OBV: Weekly - No Trend, Monthly - Bullish
Dow Theory: No clear trend on weekly and monthly charts
Price and Return Metrics
Current Price: ₹1,002.20
Previous Close: ₹990.65
52-Week High: ₹1,029.60
52-Week Low: ₹479.00
Day’s Range: ₹981.60 - ₹1,008.90
Returns Comparison with Sensex:
1 Week: +4.08% vs Sensex +2.94%
1 Month: +0.32% vs Sensex +0.59%
Year-to-Date: +0.78% vs Sensex -1.36%
1 Year: +69.41% vs Sensex +7.97%
3 Years: +56.43% vs Sensex +38.25%
5 Years: +88.68% vs Sensex +63.78%
These figures reinforce the stock’s strong relative performance and technical momentum, making it a key focus for investors monitoring mid-cap banking opportunities.
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