Bajaj Finance Ltd Falls 0.97%: 3 Key Factors Driving the Weekly Decline

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Bajaj Finance Ltd closed the week at Rs.990.10, down 0.97% from Rs.999.80 last Friday, underperforming the Sensex which gained 1.35% over the same period. The stock faced a challenging week marked by a five-day decline, despite robust trading volumes and heightened derivatives activity, reflecting a complex interplay of investor sentiment and market dynamics.




Key Events This Week


2025-12-29: Stock opens at Rs.997.60, declines 0.22% amid broader market weakness


2025-12-31: High-value trading with ₹47,229.9 lakhs turnover; open interest surges 10.75%


2026-01-01: Continued high-value trading of ₹32,422.84 lakhs despite five-day decline


2026-01-02: Stock rebounds 1.84% to close at Rs.990.10, partially recovering losses





Week Open
Rs.999.80

Week Close
Rs.990.10
-0.97%

Week High
Rs.997.60

Sensex Change
+1.35%



Monday, 29 December 2025: Modest Decline Amid Market Weakness


Bajaj Finance Ltd began the week at Rs.997.60, slipping 0.22% from the previous close. The broader Sensex also declined by 0.41%, closing at 37,140.23. The stock’s slight underperformance reflected cautious investor sentiment as markets digested year-end positioning. Trading volume was healthy at 591,393 shares, indicating sustained interest despite the minor price dip.



Wednesday, 31 December 2025: High-Value Trading and Open Interest Surge


The stock witnessed one of its highest value turnovers of the week on 31 December, with shares worth ₹47,229.9 lakhs traded on the BSE. Despite this liquidity, the stock price declined 0.27% to Rs.986.65, underperforming the Sensex’s 0.83% gain. This day also saw a significant 10.75% increase in open interest in the derivatives segment, rising from 1,50,194 to 1,66,337 contracts, signalling heightened market activity and repositioning by investors.


The surge in open interest, coupled with a futures volume of 59,703 contracts and a total derivatives value exceeding ₹95,591 lakhs, suggested that traders were establishing fresh positions amid mixed market signals. The stock’s technical position remained mixed, trading below its short- and medium-term moving averages but above the 200-day average, indicating underlying long-term strength despite near-term weakness.




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Thursday, 1 January 2026: High-Value Trading Amid Five-Day Decline


On the first trading day of the new year, Bajaj Finance Ltd recorded a traded value of ₹32,422.84 lakhs, maintaining its status as one of the most actively traded stocks. However, the stock price continued its downward trend, closing at Rs.972.20, down 1.46% on the day and marking a five-day consecutive decline. This underperformance contrasted with the Sensex’s modest 0.14% gain, highlighting stock-specific pressures.


Delivery volumes surged to 75.12 lakh shares on 31 December, a 93.96% increase over the five-day average, indicating strong institutional participation despite the price weakness. The stock’s technical setup remained mixed, trading below its 5-, 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages but above the 200-day average, suggesting a consolidation phase amid profit-taking.



Friday, 2 January 2026: Partial Recovery on Strong Volume


Bajaj Finance Ltd rebounded on the final trading day of the week, gaining 1.84% to close at Rs.990.10. This recovery came alongside a Sensex gain of 0.81%, with the index closing at 37,799.57. The stock’s volume was lower at 125,019 shares, but the price bounce helped offset some of the week’s losses. The partial recovery may reflect bargain hunting or repositioning after the prior days’ declines.



















































Date Stock Price Day Change Sensex Day Change
2025-12-29 Rs.997.60 -0.22% 37,140.23 -0.41%
2025-12-30 Rs.989.30 -0.83% 37,135.83 -0.01%
2025-12-31 Rs.986.65 -0.27% 37,443.41 +0.83%
2026-01-01 Rs.972.20 -1.46% 37,497.10 +0.14%
2026-01-02 Rs.990.10 +1.84% 37,799.57 +0.81%



Key Takeaways


Robust Trading Volumes: Bajaj Finance maintained high liquidity throughout the week, with turnover exceeding ₹47,000 lakhs on 31 December and ₹32,400 lakhs on 1 January, underscoring strong investor interest despite price weakness.


Derivatives Market Activity: A notable 10.75% surge in open interest on 31 December highlighted active repositioning by traders, reflecting mixed sentiment and potential volatility ahead.


Technical Indicators Mixed: The stock’s position above the 200-day moving average signals long-term strength, but trading below shorter-term averages indicates near-term resistance and consolidation.


Institutional Participation: Delivery volumes surged significantly, suggesting accumulation or repositioning by long-term investors amid short-term price pressures.


Underperformance vs Sensex: The stock declined 0.97% over the week while the Sensex gained 1.35%, indicating relative weakness that may attract tactical interest.




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Conclusion


Bajaj Finance Ltd’s week was characterised by a subtle decline in share price amid strong trading volumes and active derivatives market participation. The stock’s underperformance relative to the Sensex and NBFC sector highlights short-term challenges, while elevated delivery volumes and a solid long-term technical base suggest sustained investor interest. The recent downgrade from Strong Buy to Buy reflects a more cautious outlook, balancing the company’s robust fundamentals against near-term volatility and sector headwinds.


Investors and market participants should closely monitor the stock’s ability to reclaim its short-term moving averages and watch for further developments in derivatives positioning. The interplay of strong liquidity, institutional activity, and mixed technical signals will likely shape Bajaj Finance’s trajectory in the coming weeks.






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