Stock Price Movement and Market Context
On the trading day, Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Ltd’s stock price fell by 2.08%, closing at Rs.15.85, the lowest level recorded in the past year. This decline extended a losing streak spanning four consecutive sessions, during which the stock has depreciated by 9.98%. The stock’s performance lagged behind the sugar sector, underperforming by 0.49% on the day.
Technical indicators reveal that the stock is trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling sustained bearish momentum. This technical positioning underscores the challenges faced by the stock in regaining upward traction.
In comparison, the Sensex opened lower by 385.82 points and was trading at 81,623.64, down 0.68%. The benchmark index has experienced a three-week consecutive decline, losing 4.83% over this period. While the Sensex trades below its 50-day moving average, the 50DMA remains above the 200DMA, indicating some underlying market resilience despite recent weakness.
Long-Term Performance and Relative Weakness
Over the past year, Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Ltd’s stock has delivered a negative return of 46.10%, a stark contrast to the Sensex’s positive 7.57% gain over the same period. The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.30.88, highlighting the extent of the decline from its peak.
Further, the stock has underperformed the BSE500 index across multiple time frames, including the last three years, one year, and three months, indicating persistent challenges in both near-term and long-term performance metrics.
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Financial Metrics and Profitability Concerns
Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Ltd’s financial health remains under pressure, as reflected in its recent quarterly and annual results. The company reported a net loss of Rs.105.07 crore in the latest quarter, representing a 39.6% decline compared to the previous period. Operating cash flow for the year stood at Rs.303.47 crore, the lowest recorded figure, signalling constrained liquidity generation.
The operating profit to interest ratio has deteriorated significantly, reaching a negative 21.22 times in the quarter, underscoring the company’s limited capacity to cover interest expenses from operating earnings. This metric highlights the elevated financial risk associated with the company’s current earnings profile.
Moreover, the company’s debt servicing ability is notably weak, with a Debt to EBITDA ratio of 22.71 times, indicating a high leverage position relative to earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation. This elevated leverage contributes to the company’s negative return on equity (ROE), reflecting losses and diminished shareholder value.
Valuation and Risk Factors
The stock’s valuation appears stretched relative to its historical averages, trading at levels that suggest heightened risk. Over the past year, profits have contracted by 718.9%, a severe decline that has weighed heavily on investor sentiment and market valuation.
Additionally, 100% of promoter shares are pledged, a factor that can exert additional downward pressure on the stock price during market downturns. This situation increases the stock’s vulnerability to forced selling in falling markets, further exacerbating price declines.
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Industry and Sector Comparison
Within the sugar industry and sector, Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Ltd’s performance has been notably weaker than peers. The stock’s Mojo Score stands at 3.0 with a Mojo Grade of Strong Sell, an upgrade from the previous Sell rating on 11 Jul 2025, reflecting the company’s deteriorated fundamentals and elevated risk profile.
The company’s market capitalisation grade is 3, indicating a mid-tier market cap relative to other listed entities in the sector. Despite the sector’s overall challenges, Bajaj Hindusthan’s relative underperformance highlights specific company-level issues impacting its valuation and investor confidence.
Summary of Key Performance Indicators
To summarise, Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Ltd’s key metrics as of 21 Jan 2026 are:
- New 52-week low price: Rs.15.85
- One-year stock return: -46.10%
- Sensex one-year return: +7.57%
- Debt to EBITDA ratio: 22.71 times
- Operating cash flow (annual): Rs.303.47 crore (lowest)
- Net loss (quarterly): Rs.105.07 crore, down 39.6%
- Operating profit to interest coverage: -21.22 times
- Promoter share pledge: 100%
These figures collectively illustrate the challenges faced by the company in maintaining profitability, managing debt, and sustaining shareholder value.
Broader Market Environment
The broader market environment has also been challenging, with the Sensex experiencing a three-week decline and trading below its 50-day moving average. This environment has contributed to the downward pressure on stocks with weaker fundamentals, including Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Ltd.
Despite these headwinds, the Sensex’s 50-day moving average remaining above the 200-day moving average suggests that the overall market retains some underlying strength, though selective pressures persist on individual stocks.
Conclusion
Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Ltd’s fall to a 52-week low of Rs.15.85 reflects a confluence of factors including sustained losses, high leverage, negative cash flow metrics, and elevated risk due to promoter share pledging. The stock’s underperformance relative to the sector and broader market indices underscores the challenges faced by the company in its current financial and operational environment.
While the stock’s technical indicators and financial ratios point to continued pressure, the detailed metrics provide a comprehensive view of the company’s current standing within the sugar sector and the wider market context.
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