Recent Price Movement and Market Context
The stock’s fall to Rs.49.51 represents a notable drop from its 52-week high of Rs.81.50, underscoring a year-long depreciation of 26.27%. This contrasts sharply with the broader market benchmark, the Sensex, which has delivered a positive return of 7.66% over the same period. Today’s decline of 1.73% in Bodal Chemicals’ share price was in line with the sector’s performance, as the Sensex itself closed 443.59 points lower at 83,578.50, down 0.72% following a negative opening.
The stock is currently trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling persistent bearish momentum. In contrast, the Sensex remains 3.09% shy of its 52-week high of 86,159.02, with its 50-day moving average still positioned above the 200-day moving average, indicating a more stable market environment overall.
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Financial Performance and Fundamental Metrics
Bodal Chemicals’ financial indicators reveal several areas of concern that have contributed to the stock’s subdued performance. The company’s long-term fundamental strength remains weak, with an average Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) of just 6.01%, reflecting limited efficiency in generating profits from its capital base. Over the past five years, net sales have grown at a modest annual rate of 10.26%, indicating restrained top-line expansion relative to sector peers.
Debt servicing capacity is another challenge, with a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.91 times, suggesting elevated leverage and potential strain on cash flows. The company’s operating cash flow for the fiscal year stood at Rs.113.78 crores, marking the lowest level in recent periods. Additionally, the operating profit to interest coverage ratio for the latest quarter was 1.15 times, signalling limited buffer to meet interest obligations.
Profit after tax (PAT) for the most recent quarter was Rs.6.02 crores, reflecting a decline of 19.8% compared to the average of the previous four quarters. This contraction in profitability has further weighed on investor sentiment and contributed to the stock’s downward trajectory.
Investor Participation and Market Sentiment
Institutional investor participation has diminished, with a reduction of 0.51% in their stake over the previous quarter. Currently, institutional investors hold a marginal 0.3% of the company’s equity, a relatively low level that may indicate cautious positioning given the company’s financial profile. Institutional investors typically possess greater analytical resources, and their reduced involvement may reflect concerns about the company’s outlook.
Over the last three years, Bodal Chemicals has consistently underperformed the BSE500 benchmark, reinforcing a pattern of relative weakness. The stock’s cumulative return of -26.27% over the past year contrasts with the broader market’s positive gains, highlighting ongoing challenges in regaining investor confidence.
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Valuation and Relative Positioning
Despite the challenges, Bodal Chemicals exhibits a very attractive valuation profile. The company’s ROCE of 4.8% is accompanied by an enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 0.8, indicating that the stock is trading at a discount relative to its peers’ historical valuations. This valuation discount reflects market caution but also positions the stock as comparatively inexpensive within the Dyes and Pigments sector.
Interestingly, while the stock has generated a negative return of 26.27% over the past year, its profits have surged by 2168.8%, a substantial increase that has not yet translated into share price appreciation. The company’s PEG ratio stands at zero, underscoring the disconnect between earnings growth and market valuation.
Summary of Key Metrics
To summarise, Bodal Chemicals Ltd’s current stock price of Rs.49.51 marks a 52-week low, reflecting a combination of subdued financial performance, elevated leverage, and reduced institutional interest. The stock’s Moody’s Mojo Score is 26.0, with a Strong Sell grade assigned on 7 August 2025, an upgrade from the previous Sell rating. The market capitalisation grade is 4, indicating a micro-cap status with associated liquidity considerations.
Performance trends show the stock has declined steadily over the last three days, with a cumulative loss of 5.48%, and remains below all major moving averages. The broader market environment is more stable, with the Sensex trading near its 52-week high and maintaining positive momentum in moving averages.
Overall, the stock’s valuation metrics suggest it is priced at a discount relative to peers, but fundamental weaknesses and market dynamics have contributed to its recent lows.
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