Technical Momentum Shift and Price Action
The stock closed at ₹173.25 on 20 Feb 2026, down 2.97% from the previous close of ₹178.55. Intraday, it traded between ₹172.45 and ₹180.00, reflecting heightened volatility. The 52-week range remains broad, with a high of ₹231.70 and a low of ₹150.60, indicating significant price swings over the past year.
Recent price momentum has weakened considerably, with the stock underperforming the broader market. Over the past week, Capri Global declined 3.29%, compared to the Sensex’s 1.41% drop. The one-month return is down 2.67% versus Sensex’s 0.90% fall, while year-to-date losses stand at 5.22%, exceeding the Sensex’s 3.19% decline. Even on a one-year basis, Capri Global’s return is negative at -4.55%, contrasting sharply with the Sensex’s robust 8.64% gain.
MACD and Momentum Indicators Signal Bearishness
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains firmly bearish on both weekly and monthly charts, signalling sustained downward momentum. The MACD line continues to trade below the signal line, with no immediate signs of a bullish crossover. This suggests that selling pressure remains dominant and the stock is unlikely to see a near-term reversal without a significant catalyst.
Complementing this, the Bollinger Bands on weekly and monthly timeframes have contracted and shifted lower, reinforcing the bearish outlook. The price currently trades near the lower band, indicating persistent downward pressure and a lack of upward momentum.
Moving Averages and RSI: Bearish and Neutral Signals
Daily moving averages have turned bearish, with the stock price below key averages such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This technical alignment typically signals a downtrend and may deter momentum-driven investors. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on weekly and monthly charts remains neutral, showing no clear overbought or oversold conditions. This lack of RSI signal suggests the stock is not yet in an extreme zone but remains vulnerable to further declines.
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Other Technical Indicators Paint a Mixed Picture
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator presents a nuanced view: weekly readings are bearish, aligning with the broader downtrend, but monthly KST remains mildly bullish. This divergence suggests some longer-term underlying strength, though it is currently overshadowed by short-term weakness.
Similarly, the Dow Theory analysis shows a mildly bullish signal on the weekly chart but no discernible trend on the monthly timeframe. This mixed evidence points to a market in flux, with short-term bears dominating but longer-term bulls potentially waiting for a clearer entry point.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) data adds further complexity. Weekly OBV is mildly bullish, indicating some accumulation by volume despite price declines, while monthly OBV shows no clear trend. This could imply that institutional investors are selectively buying dips, though broader market sentiment remains cautious.
Mojo Score and Ratings Update
MarketsMOJO has downgraded Capri Global Capital Ltd’s Mojo Grade from Buy to Hold as of 19 Jan 2026, reflecting the deteriorating technical and price momentum. The current Mojo Score stands at 57.0, signalling a moderate outlook with neither strong buy nor sell conviction. The Market Cap Grade is 3, indicating a mid-tier market capitalisation relative to peers in the NBFC sector.
This downgrade aligns with the technical trend shift from mildly bearish to outright bearish, underscoring the need for investors to exercise caution and closely monitor further developments.
Long-Term Performance Context
Despite recent weakness, Capri Global’s long-term returns remain impressive. Over five years, the stock has delivered a cumulative return of 113.72%, nearly doubling the Sensex’s 62.11% gain. Over a decade, the outperformance is even more pronounced, with a 467.93% return compared to the Sensex’s 247.96%. This strong historical performance highlights the company’s growth potential, though recent technical signals suggest a pause or correction phase.
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Investor Takeaway and Outlook
Capri Global Capital Ltd’s recent technical deterioration suggests that investors should approach the stock with caution. The bearish MACD, moving averages, and Bollinger Bands indicate that downward momentum is likely to persist in the near term. While some indicators such as KST and OBV hint at underlying strength, these are insufficient to offset the prevailing negative trend.
Given the stock’s underperformance relative to the Sensex across multiple timeframes, investors may consider waiting for clearer signs of a technical reversal before initiating new positions. Those currently holding the stock should monitor key support levels near ₹150.60, the 52-week low, and watch for any bullish MACD crossovers or RSI signals that could signal a recovery.
In the broader context, Capri Global’s strong long-term returns and position within the NBFC sector remain attractive, but the current technical signals warrant prudence. Active traders may find opportunities in short-term volatility, while long-term investors should remain patient and vigilant.
Summary of Technical Ratings
To summarise, the technical landscape for Capri Global Capital Ltd is as follows:
- MACD: Weekly and Monthly - Bearish
- RSI: Weekly and Monthly - Neutral (No Signal)
- Bollinger Bands: Weekly and Monthly - Bearish
- Moving Averages (Daily) - Bearish
- KST: Weekly - Bearish; Monthly - Mildly Bullish
- Dow Theory: Weekly - Mildly Bullish; Monthly - No Trend
- OBV: Weekly - Mildly Bullish; Monthly - No Trend
This mixed but predominantly bearish technical profile supports the recent downgrade to a Hold rating by MarketsMOJO, signalling a cautious stance for investors in the near term.
Conclusion
Capri Global Capital Ltd is currently navigating a challenging technical environment marked by weakening momentum and bearish signals across key indicators. While the company’s long-term fundamentals and historical returns remain strong, the immediate outlook calls for careful monitoring and risk management. Investors should weigh the technical signals alongside broader market conditions and sector dynamics before making investment decisions.
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