Technical Trend Shift and Price Movement
The stock’s technical trend has transitioned from a sideways pattern to mildly bearish, signalling a subtle change in market dynamics. Today, Capri Global’s share price fluctuated between a low of ₹169.55 and a high of ₹180.00, closing near the lower end of this range. This movement comes amid a day change of -2.20%, indicating some selling pressure.
Over the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between ₹150.60 and ₹231.70, with the current price representing a discount of approximately 24% from its peak. This suggests that while the stock has experienced significant appreciation over the longer term, recent momentum has softened.
Moving Averages and Momentum Oscillators
On the daily chart, moving averages are mildly bullish, indicating that short-term price averages remain above longer-term averages, which typically supports upward momentum. However, this bullishness is tempered by weekly and monthly indicators that paint a more cautious picture.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a bearish signal on the weekly timeframe, suggesting that momentum is weakening in the near term. Conversely, the monthly MACD remains mildly bullish, implying that the longer-term trend retains some upward bias. This divergence between weekly and monthly MACD readings highlights a potential consolidation phase or a pause in the stock’s rally.
Relative Strength Index and Bollinger Bands
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts currently offers no clear signal, hovering in neutral territory. This absence of an extreme reading suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, which may indicate a period of indecision among investors.
Bollinger Bands, which measure volatility and price levels relative to moving averages, show a mildly bearish stance on the weekly chart and a bearish signal on the monthly chart. This suggests that price volatility has increased and the stock is trading closer to the lower band, often interpreted as a sign of downward pressure or potential support testing.
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Additional Technical Indicators: KST, Dow Theory, and OBV
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator, which aggregates multiple rate-of-change measures, is bearish on the weekly timeframe but mildly bullish on the monthly. This again reflects short-term weakness against a backdrop of longer-term resilience.
Dow Theory assessments for both weekly and monthly periods are mildly bearish, signalling that the stock’s price action may be under pressure from broader market forces or sector-specific challenges.
On-Balance Volume (OBV), a volume-based indicator that helps confirm price trends, shows no clear trend on the weekly chart but is mildly bearish on the monthly. This suggests that volume flows are not strongly supporting the price, which could limit upside potential in the near term.
Comparative Performance Versus Sensex
When compared to the benchmark Sensex, Capri Global’s returns reveal a mixed performance. Over the past week, the stock outperformed the Sensex with a 4.99% gain versus the index’s 0.90%. However, over the one-month and year-to-date periods, Capri Global underperformed slightly, with returns of -2.71% and -3.91% respectively, compared to the Sensex’s -2.84% and -3.46%.
Longer-term returns show a more favourable picture for Capri Global. Over five years, the stock has delivered a remarkable 103.73% gain, outpacing the Sensex’s 77.74%. Over a decade, the stock’s return is an extraordinary 2005.40%, dwarfing the Sensex’s 230.79%. This highlights the company’s strong growth trajectory despite recent technical softness.
Mojo Score and Rating Revision
MarketsMOJO’s proprietary scoring system currently assigns Capri Global a Mojo Score of 60.0, with a Mojo Grade of Hold. This represents a downgrade from a previous Buy rating as of 19 January 2026, reflecting the recent shift in technical momentum and cautious outlook. The Market Cap Grade stands at 3, indicating a mid-tier capitalisation within its sector.
The downgrade underscores the need for investors to exercise prudence, as the stock’s technical indicators suggest a period of consolidation or mild correction may be underway.
Outlook and Investor Considerations
While Capri Global’s daily moving averages and monthly MACD hint at underlying strength, the weekly bearish signals from MACD, KST, Dow Theory, and Bollinger Bands caution against aggressive positioning. The neutral RSI readings further imply that the stock is in a wait-and-watch phase, with neither bulls nor bears dominating decisively.
Investors should monitor key support levels near ₹170 and resistance around ₹180 to gauge the next directional move. A sustained break below support could confirm the mildly bearish trend, while a rebound above resistance may signal a resumption of the uptrend.
Given the stock’s strong long-term performance and sector fundamentals, a Hold rating appears appropriate until clearer technical confirmation emerges.
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Summary
Capri Global Capital Ltd’s recent technical parameter changes reveal a nuanced momentum shift. While short-term indicators lean mildly bearish, longer-term signals retain some bullish undertones. The stock’s price action, combined with mixed technical signals such as MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and moving averages, suggests a consolidation phase rather than a decisive trend reversal.
Investors should weigh the stock’s strong historical returns and sector positioning against the current technical caution. Maintaining a Hold stance with close monitoring of key technical levels is advisable until a clearer directional bias emerges.
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