Key Events This Week
2 Feb: Stock opens at Rs.253.90, down 2.57% amid broader market weakness
3 Feb: Sharp rebound to Rs.262.85 (+3.53%) as Sensex rallies
5 Feb: Price dips to Rs.260.20 (-2.55%) following downgrade announcement
6 Feb: Downgrade to Strong Sell confirmed; stock closes at Rs.257.40 (-1.08%)
2 February 2026: Weak Start Amid Market Sell-Off
Chemplast Sanmar commenced the week at Rs.253.90, marking a 2.57% decline from the previous close of Rs.260.60. This drop occurred in tandem with a broader market sell-off, as the Sensex fell 1.03% to 35,814.09. The stock’s sharper decline relative to the benchmark suggested early investor caution, possibly reflecting concerns over the company’s financial health and sectoral pressures.
3 February 2026: Strong Recovery on Market Rally
On 3 February, the stock rebounded sharply, gaining 3.53% to close at Rs.262.85, outperforming the Sensex’s 2.63% rise to 36,755.96. This recovery was supported by increased volume of 8,730 shares, indicating renewed buying interest. The rally aligned with positive market sentiment, although no company-specific news was reported that day to explain the surge.
4 February 2026: Moderate Gains Amid Stabilising Market
The upward momentum continued modestly on 4 February, with Chemplast Sanmar adding 1.58% to close at Rs.267.00. The Sensex also advanced by 0.37% to 36,890.21. Volume declined to 3,990 shares, suggesting cautious participation. The stock reached its weekly high on this day, reflecting a temporary technical strength before the subsequent reversal.
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5 February 2026: Downgrade Announcement Triggers Sell-Off
The stock reversed course on 5 February, declining 2.55% to Rs.260.20 on relatively low volume of 2,000 shares. This drop coincided with the MarketsMOJO downgrade of Chemplast Sanmar Ltd from 'Sell' to 'Strong Sell', citing weak financials and bearish technicals. The downgrade highlighted deteriorating fundamentals, including a low average ROE of 9.03%, high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.30 times, and a debt-equity ratio nearing 0.97 times, signalling elevated financial risk.
Investors reacted negatively to the downgrade, which underscored the company’s declining profitability, flat to negative growth trends, and technical indicators shifting firmly bearish. The stock’s proximity to its 52-week low of Rs.232.00 further amplified concerns about its near-term outlook.
6 February 2026: Bearish Momentum Confirmed Amid Technical Downshift
On the final trading day of the week, Chemplast Sanmar closed at Rs.257.40, down 1.08% from the previous day. The MarketsMOJO Mojo Score dropped to 26.0, with the grade slipping to Strong Sell. Technical indicators confirmed a shift from mildly bearish to outright bearish momentum. Daily moving averages were firmly negative, weekly and monthly Bollinger Bands indicated sustained downward pressure, and the Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator remained bearish on weekly and monthly charts.
While the MACD and monthly RSI showed mild bullishness, these were insufficient to offset the broader negative trend. On-Balance Volume (OBV) was mildly bearish weekly and neutral monthly, suggesting weak buying support. Dow Theory assessments aligned with a mildly bearish weekly trend and no clear monthly trend, reinforcing the cautious technical outlook.
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Rs.253.90 | -2.57% | 35,814.09 | -1.03% |
| 2026-02-03 | Rs.262.85 | +3.53% | 36,755.96 | +2.63% |
| 2026-02-04 | Rs.267.00 | +1.58% | 36,890.21 | +0.37% |
| 2026-02-05 | Rs.260.20 | -2.55% | 36,695.11 | -0.53% |
| 2026-02-06 | Rs.257.40 | -1.08% | 36,730.20 | +0.10% |
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Key Takeaways from the Week
Negative Financial Trends: Chemplast Sanmar’s deteriorating fundamentals, including a low ROE of 9.03%, high leverage with Debt to EBITDA at 4.30 times, and a debt-equity ratio close to 0.97, highlight significant financial stress. The company’s flat to negative growth trajectory, with net sales contracting at an annualised rate of -3.77% over five years and operating profits declining by -154.13%, signals structural challenges.
Technical Downshift: The shift from mildly bearish to outright bearish technical indicators, including bearish daily moving averages and Bollinger Bands, alongside a bearish KST oscillator, confirms weakening price momentum. Although some oscillators like monthly RSI and MACD show mild bullishness, these are insufficient to reverse the negative trend.
Underperformance vs Market: The stock’s weekly decline of 1.23% contrasts with the Sensex’s 1.51% gain, underscoring persistent underperformance. Longer-term returns remain weak, with a one-year loss of 44.52% against the Sensex’s 6.44% gain and a three-year loss of 40.15% versus Sensex’s 36.94% appreciation.
Investor Sentiment and Volume: Trading volumes fluctuated, peaking on 3 February during the brief rally but declining on days of price weakness, reflecting cautious investor participation amid uncertainty.
Conclusion: Elevated Risks and Cautious Outlook
Chemplast Sanmar Ltd’s week was dominated by a significant downgrade to Strong Sell, reflecting a convergence of weak financial fundamentals and deteriorating technical momentum. The stock’s underperformance relative to the Sensex and its proximity to 52-week lows highlight ongoing challenges. Despite some mild bullish signals in select technical indicators, the overall picture remains bearish, with elevated financial risk due to high leverage and declining profitability.
Investors should note the heightened risks and the need for substantial operational improvements before any positive re-rating can be considered. The downgrade and technical downshift serve as clear signals of caution in the current market environment for Chemplast Sanmar Ltd.
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