Key Events This Week
9 Feb: Stock opens strong at ₹32.14, up 6.74%
10 Feb: Mixed technical signals amid price momentum shift
13 Feb: Flat quarterly performance reported with margin pressures
13 Feb: Bearish momentum noted amid technical downturn
9 February 2026: Strong Opening Rally
Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd began the week on a strong note, closing at ₹32.14, a gain of 6.74% from the previous Friday’s close of ₹30.11. This sharp rise was accompanied by a healthy volume of 93,516 shares, signalling renewed investor interest. The Sensex also advanced 1.04% that day, closing at 37,113.23, but the stock’s outperformance was notable, setting a positive tone for the week ahead.
10 February 2026: Mixed Technical Signals Amid Price Momentum Shift
The stock continued its upward trajectory, closing at ₹32.55, up 1.28% on the day, albeit on lower volume of 56,104 shares. Despite the price momentum, technical indicators presented a nuanced picture. The weekly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remained bearish, while the monthly MACD turned mildly bullish, suggesting a tentative stabilisation in longer-term momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovered in neutral territory, indicating consolidation rather than a clear directional move.
Bollinger Bands and daily moving averages maintained a bearish bias, reflecting short-term price pressure. The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator showed bearish signals weekly but bullish monthly, reinforcing the mixed technical outlook. On-Balance Volume (OBV) failed to confirm price gains decisively, and Dow Theory assessments remained mildly bearish. Overall, the technical landscape suggested cautious optimism amid uncertainty.
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11 & 12 February 2026: Profit Taking and Market Volatility
On 11 February, the stock retreated 1.54% to close at ₹32.05 on heavy volume of 1,738,407 shares, reflecting profit-taking after the prior gains. The Sensex rose marginally by 0.13% to 37,256.72. The following day, 12 February, the stock declined further by 1.90% to ₹31.44 on lighter volume of 21,948 shares, while the Sensex fell 0.56% to 37,049.40. These declines aligned with the bearish signals from daily moving averages and Bollinger Bands, confirming short-term technical pressure.
13 February 2026: Flat Quarterly Performance Amid Margin Pressures and Bearish Momentum
The week closed on a mixed note with the stock rebounding strongly to ₹33.23, a 5.69% gain on the day and the highest close of the week, supported by a volume of 460,168 shares. This followed the release of quarterly results for the December 2025 quarter, which showed record net sales of ₹286.39 crores and a peak earnings per share of ₹2.62. However, profit before tax excluding other income plunged 70.76% to a loss of ₹28.26 crores, highlighting significant margin pressures.
Financial trend analysis indicated a shift from negative to flat, signalling stabilisation but no clear recovery. The company’s debt-equity ratio improved to 0.44 times, reflecting a more conservative capital structure. Despite the flat financial trend, technical momentum deteriorated, with daily moving averages turning bearish and the weekly Bollinger Bands remaining weak. The MACD on weekly charts was bearish, though monthly MACD and KST indicators retained mild bullishness, underscoring ongoing technical uncertainty.
Dow Theory assessments classified the stock as mildly bearish, and On-Balance Volume analysis showed no strong volume confirmation for price advances. The Mojo Grade was downgraded to Strong Sell with a score of 17.0, reflecting heightened caution amid these mixed signals.
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Weekly Price Performance: Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rs.32.14 | +6.74% | 37,113.23 | +1.04% |
| 2026-02-10 | Rs.32.55 | +1.28% | 37,207.34 | +0.25% |
| 2026-02-11 | Rs.32.05 | -1.54% | 37,256.72 | +0.13% |
| 2026-02-12 | Rs.31.44 | -1.90% | 37,049.40 | -0.56% |
| 2026-02-13 | Rs.33.23 | +5.69% | 36,532.48 | -1.40% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: The stock’s 10.36% weekly gain significantly outpaced the Sensex’s 0.54% decline, driven by strong opening rallies and a rebound on the final trading day. Record quarterly net sales and peak EPS indicate operational strength despite profitability challenges. The improved debt-equity ratio to 0.44 times suggests a more prudent financial structure.
Cautionary Signals: Technical indicators remain mixed, with daily moving averages and weekly MACD signalling bearish momentum. The sharp 70.76% contraction in profit before tax highlights ongoing margin pressures. Dow Theory and On-Balance Volume analyses reinforce a cautious stance amid uncertain volume support. The downgrade to a Strong Sell Mojo Grade reflects these concerns.
Overall, Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd’s week was characterised by volatility and mixed signals, with strong price gains tempered by technical and fundamental challenges. Investors should monitor upcoming developments closely for clearer directional cues.
Conclusion
Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd’s performance over the week ending 13 February 2026 was marked by a notable 10.36% price appreciation, substantially outperforming the Sensex. This rally was supported by record sales and stabilising financial trends, yet offset by significant margin pressures and bearish technical momentum. The stock’s mixed technical indicators and downgrade to Strong Sell suggest that while short-term gains are evident, underlying challenges remain unresolved. Investors are advised to maintain a cautious approach, balancing the recent positive price action against the broader technical and fundamental context. Continued monitoring of volume patterns, profitability trends, and technical signals will be essential to assess the sustainability of this recovery phase.
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