Recent Price Movement and Market Context
On 5 December 2025, Confidence Petroleum India’s share price touched Rs.36.13, the lowest level recorded in the past year. This represents a decline of 1.28% on the day and a cumulative loss of 5.02% over the last three trading sessions. The stock’s performance has lagged behind its sector, underperforming the gas sector by 0.48% today. Notably, the share price is trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling sustained downward momentum.
In contrast, the broader market index, Sensex, opened lower at 85,125.48 points, down 0.16%, and was trading near 85,187.26 points at the time of reporting. The Sensex remains close to its 52-week high of 86,159.02, just 1.14% away, and is supported by bullish moving averages with the 50-day moving average positioned above the 200-day moving average.
Long-Term Performance Comparison
Over the past year, Confidence Petroleum India’s stock has recorded a return of -53.64%, a stark contrast to the Sensex’s positive 4.18% return during the same period. The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.84, highlighting the extent of the decline. This underperformance extends beyond the last year, with the company lagging behind the BSE500 index over the last three years, one year, and three months.
Shareholding and Market Perception
Despite the company’s size and presence in the gas sector, domestic mutual funds hold no stake in Confidence Petroleum India. Given that mutual funds typically conduct detailed research and maintain positions in companies they find favourable, this absence may reflect a cautious stance towards the stock’s current valuation or business outlook.
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Financial Metrics and Operational Highlights
Confidence Petroleum India demonstrates a strong capacity to service its debt, with a Debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.31 times, indicating manageable leverage relative to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation. This financial metric suggests the company maintains a reasonable balance between debt and operational cash flow.
On the growth front, the company’s net sales have expanded at an annual rate of 36.39%, while operating profit has grown at 33.45% annually. The latest six-month figures show net sales at Rs.2,095 crore, reflecting a growth rate of 37.50%, and profit after tax (PAT) at Rs.40.49 crore, growing at 23.63%. These figures indicate consistent revenue and profit growth despite the stock’s price decline.
Valuation and Profitability Metrics
The company’s return on capital employed (ROCE) stands at 7.8%, which, combined with an enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 0.9, points to an attractive valuation relative to its capital base. The stock is trading at a discount compared to the average historical valuations of its peers in the gas sector. Over the past year, while the stock price has declined by over half, profits have risen by 33.4%, resulting in a price/earnings to growth (PEG) ratio of 0.5.
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Summary of Current Market Position
Confidence Petroleum India’s stock has experienced a notable decline to its lowest level in a year, reflecting a combination of market pressures and sector-specific dynamics. While the broader market indices maintain a relatively stable position near their highs, the stock’s performance remains subdued. The company’s financial data reveals steady growth in sales and profits alongside a conservative debt profile, yet these fundamentals have not translated into positive price momentum in recent months.
The absence of domestic mutual fund holdings and the stock’s position below all major moving averages underscore the cautious market sentiment surrounding Confidence Petroleum India. Investors and market participants continue to monitor the stock’s trajectory amid evolving conditions in the gas sector and wider economic environment.
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