As of 20 November 2025, Cosmo First’s share price closed at ₹768.00, marking a slight change from the previous close of ₹765.75. The stock’s intraday range spanned from ₹755.75 to ₹769.85, reflecting modest volatility within a relatively narrow band. Over the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between a low of ₹532.95 and a high of ₹1,306.85, indicating a wide price range and significant historical price movement.
Technical analysis reveals a shift in momentum with the overall trend moving from sideways to mildly bearish. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a mixed signal: the weekly MACD remains bearish, suggesting short-term downward pressure, while the monthly MACD is bullish, indicating longer-term positive momentum. This divergence highlights a potential conflict between short-term and long-term market sentiment.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also offers a complex picture. On a weekly basis, the RSI does not currently signal a definitive trend, implying a neutral momentum in the short term. Conversely, the monthly RSI is bearish, which may suggest weakening strength over a longer horizon. This contrast between timeframes underscores the importance of monitoring multiple periods to gauge the stock’s momentum accurately.
Bollinger Bands, which measure volatility and potential price extremes, are bearish on both weekly and monthly charts. This indicates that price movements are currently trending towards the lower bands, often interpreted as a sign of increased selling pressure or a potential continuation of a downward trend. Meanwhile, daily moving averages show a mildly bullish stance, suggesting that in the very short term, the stock price may be supported by recent buying activity.
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator, which aggregates multiple rate-of-change measures, aligns with the MACD’s mixed signals: bearish on a weekly basis but bullish monthly. This further reinforces the notion of short-term caution balanced against longer-term optimism. Dow Theory analysis also points to a mildly bearish trend on both weekly and monthly scales, consistent with the broader technical signals of subdued momentum.
On-Balance Volume (OBV), a volume-based indicator that helps confirm price trends, shows a mildly bearish reading weekly but a mildly bullish reading monthly. This suggests that while recent trading volumes may have favoured sellers, the longer-term volume trend supports accumulation, adding another layer of complexity to the stock’s technical profile.
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Examining Cosmo First’s returns relative to the benchmark Sensex index provides further context. Over the past week, the stock recorded a return of -4.51%, contrasting with the Sensex’s positive 0.85%. The one-month return for Cosmo First stands at -12.52%, while the Sensex posted a gain of 1.47%. Year-to-date figures show the stock at -16.07%, whereas the Sensex has advanced by 9.02%. These figures indicate that Cosmo First has underperformed the broader market in recent periods.
However, the longer-term perspective offers a different narrative. Over one year, Cosmo First’s return is 3.45%, compared to the Sensex’s 9.81%. Over three years, the stock’s return is 6.64%, while the Sensex has delivered 38.15%. Notably, over five and ten years, Cosmo First’s returns are 159.39% and 316.78%, respectively, surpassing the Sensex’s corresponding returns of 95.38% and 229.64%. This suggests that despite recent underperformance, the company has demonstrated substantial growth over extended periods, reflecting resilience and potential value for long-term investors.
Within the packaging sector, Cosmo First’s technical signals and price action should be considered alongside industry trends and sectoral performance. The packaging industry often experiences cyclical demand influenced by consumer goods, industrial activity, and export-import dynamics. Investors may find it prudent to monitor sector momentum and macroeconomic factors that could impact Cosmo First’s future trajectory.
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In summary, Cosmo First’s recent technical evaluation reflects a complex interplay of short-term caution and longer-term optimism. The mixed signals from MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and other momentum indicators suggest that investors should adopt a measured approach, considering both the stock’s historical performance and current market conditions. While short-term technicals lean towards mild bearishness, longer-term indicators and volume trends hint at underlying strength that could support future recovery.
Investors analysing Cosmo First should also weigh the stock’s relative performance against the Sensex and sector peers, recognising the divergence between recent underperformance and historical gains. This balanced perspective can help in making informed decisions aligned with individual investment horizons and risk tolerance.
As the packaging sector continues to evolve amid changing consumer preferences and supply chain dynamics, monitoring technical momentum alongside fundamental developments will remain crucial for stakeholders tracking Cosmo First’s market journey.
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