Crest Ventures Ltd Faces Bearish Momentum Amid Technical Downgrade

Technical Momentum Shifts to Bearish Territory

The latest technical assessment reveals that Crest Ventures’ trend has shifted from mildly bearish to outright bearish. The daily moving averages have turned decisively negative, reflecting sustained downward pressure on the stock price. Crest Ventures closed at ₹359.05 on 2 Feb 2026, down 4.00% from the previous close of ₹374.00, marking a significant intraday decline. The stock’s 52-week high stands at ₹479.90, while the low is ₹304.55, indicating that the current price is closer to the lower end of its annual range.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a mixed picture: the weekly MACD is bearish, confirming short-term negative momentum, while the monthly MACD remains mildly bearish, suggesting that longer-term momentum is weakening but not yet fully negative. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts shows no clear signal, hovering in neutral territory, which implies that the stock is neither oversold nor overbought at present.

Bollinger Bands and Other Indicators Confirm Downtrend

Bollinger Bands on both weekly and monthly timeframes are bearish, indicating that Crest Ventures is trading near the lower band, a sign of increased volatility and downward pressure. The daily moving averages reinforce this bearish stance, with the stock price consistently below key averages, signalling a lack of buying support.

Interestingly, the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator shows a bullish signal on the weekly chart but remains mildly bearish on the monthly chart. This divergence suggests some short-term positive momentum that may be insufficient to reverse the broader downtrend. Other technical tools such as Dow Theory and On-Balance Volume (OBV) show no definitive trend, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction from market participants.

Comparative Performance Highlights Underlying Challenges

When analysing Crest Ventures’ returns relative to the benchmark Sensex, the stock has underperformed across multiple time horizons. Over the past week, Crest Ventures declined by 1.87%, compared to a 1.00% drop in the Sensex. The one-month return shows a sharper divergence, with Crest Ventures falling 8.08% against the Sensex’s 4.67% decline. Year-to-date, the stock is down 6.25%, slightly worse than the Sensex’s 5.28% fall.

Over the one-year period, Crest Ventures’ return was negative 14.86%, while the Sensex gained 5.16%, highlighting a significant relative underperformance. However, the longer-term perspective is more favourable: over three years, Crest Ventures has delivered a robust 109.66% return, substantially outpacing the Sensex’s 35.67%. Similarly, five- and ten-year returns of 278.15% and 577.45% respectively demonstrate the company’s strong growth trajectory over the long haul.

Mojo Score and Ratings Reflect Elevated Risk

MarketsMOJO’s latest assessment downgraded Crest Ventures from a “Sell” to a “Strong Sell” rating as of 31 Dec 2025, with a Mojo Score of 19.0. This low score reflects deteriorating technical and fundamental conditions, signalling heightened risk for investors. The company’s market capitalisation grade stands at 4, indicating a micro-cap status with associated liquidity and volatility considerations.

The downgrade aligns with the technical indicators’ bearish signals and the recent price weakness, underscoring the need for caution. Investors should be mindful of the stock’s vulnerability to further downside, especially given the absence of strong bullish confirmations from momentum indicators like RSI and OBV.

Outlook and Investor Considerations

Given the current technical landscape, Crest Ventures appears to be in a consolidation phase with a bearish bias. The lack of strong bullish signals from RSI and OBV, combined with the bearish MACD and moving averages, suggests that the stock may face continued downward pressure in the near term. The divergence in KST readings between weekly and monthly charts indicates some short-lived positive momentum, but this is unlikely to offset the prevailing negative trend.

Investors should weigh the company’s strong long-term fundamentals and historical returns against the recent technical deterioration and relative underperformance. The downgrade to a “Strong Sell” rating by MarketsMOJO further emphasises the elevated risk profile. Those with existing positions may consider tightening stop-loss levels or reducing exposure, while prospective investors might prefer to monitor for a clearer technical reversal before committing capital.

In the broader NBFC sector context, Crest Ventures’ challenges highlight the importance of rigorous technical and fundamental analysis to navigate market volatility and identify resilient opportunities.

Summary

Crest Ventures Ltd’s technical indicators have shifted decisively towards bearishness, with key signals such as MACD, moving averages, and Bollinger Bands confirming downward momentum. The stock’s recent price decline and underperformance relative to the Sensex reinforce concerns about its short-term prospects. Despite strong long-term returns and a solid fundamental base, the current technical environment and MarketsMOJO’s “Strong Sell” rating suggest caution. Investors should carefully assess risk and consider alternative NBFC stocks with more favourable technical and fundamental profiles.

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