CRISIL Ltd. Technical Momentum Shifts Amid Mixed Market Signals

Price Momentum and Recent Market Performance

CRISIL’s current market price stands at ₹4,661.90, marking a significant intraday rise from the previous close of ₹4,442.00, representing a robust 4.95% gain on 7 January 2026. The stock’s 52-week trading range spans from a low of ₹3,893.85 to a high of ₹6,329.95, indicating considerable volatility over the past year. Today’s trading session saw a high of ₹4,700.00 and a low of ₹4,442.10, underscoring the stock’s intraday momentum.

When compared to the broader market, CRISIL has outperformed the Sensex across short- and medium-term horizons. Over the past week, the stock surged 11.39%, vastly exceeding the Sensex’s modest 0.46% gain. Similarly, the one-month return of 4.72% contrasts with the Sensex’s decline of 0.76%. Year-to-date, CRISIL has appreciated by 7.78%, while the Sensex has marginally declined by 0.18%. However, over the trailing one-year period, CRISIL’s performance has lagged significantly, with a 23.26% loss compared to the Sensex’s 9.10% gain. Longer-term returns remain favourable, with three-, five-, and ten-year gains of 58.45%, 143.32%, and 135.87% respectively, though the ten-year return trails the Sensex’s 234.81% appreciation.

Technical Indicator Analysis: Mixed Signals Across Timeframes

The technical landscape for CRISIL is nuanced, with several indicators presenting conflicting signals that suggest a period of consolidation and cautious investor sentiment.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): On a weekly basis, the MACD remains bearish, signalling that downward momentum still dominates in the medium term. The monthly MACD, however, has softened to mildly bearish, indicating a potential easing of selling pressure but no definitive reversal yet.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): Both weekly and monthly RSI readings currently show no clear signal, hovering in neutral zones that neither confirm overbought nor oversold conditions. This suggests that the stock is in a consolidation phase without strong directional bias.

Bollinger Bands: Weekly Bollinger Bands indicate sideways movement, reinforcing the notion of price consolidation. Monthly bands lean mildly bearish, hinting at a slight downward pressure over the longer term.

Moving Averages: Daily moving averages have shifted to mildly bearish, reflecting recent price action that has not yet established a strong upward trend. This mild bearishness suggests caution among traders, with the possibility of further downside if support levels fail to hold.

KST (Know Sure Thing) Indicator: The weekly KST reading is mildly bullish, suggesting some short-term positive momentum that could support price gains in the near term. Conversely, the monthly KST remains mildly bearish, indicating that the longer-term trend has yet to confirm a sustained uptrend.

Dow Theory: Weekly Dow Theory signals are mildly bullish, aligning with the KST’s short-term optimism. However, monthly Dow Theory remains mildly bearish, reinforcing the view that the stock’s longer-term trend is still under pressure.

On-Balance Volume (OBV): Both weekly and monthly OBV indicators show no clear trend, implying that volume flows are not decisively favouring buyers or sellers. This lack of volume confirmation adds to the uncertainty surrounding the stock’s directional bias.

Mojo Score and Grade Update

CRISIL’s current Mojo Score stands at 42.0, reflecting a Sell rating, a downgrade from the previous Hold grade assigned prior to 22 September 2025. The Market Cap Grade remains low at 2, signalling limited market capitalisation strength relative to peers. This downgrade is consistent with the mixed technical signals and the cautious stance adopted by technical analysts.

The downgrade reflects a shift in sentiment driven by the mildly bearish technical trend and the absence of strong bullish confirmation from key momentum indicators. Investors should weigh these technical factors alongside fundamental considerations before making allocation decisions.

Comparative Sector and Market Context

Operating within the Capital Markets industry and sector, CRISIL’s technical profile contrasts with some peers that have demonstrated stronger momentum and more decisive trend signals. The stock’s recent outperformance relative to the Sensex in the short term is encouraging but tempered by its underperformance over the past year. This divergence highlights the importance of monitoring both technical and fundamental factors in this sector, which is often sensitive to macroeconomic shifts and regulatory developments.

Investor Takeaway and Outlook

CRISIL Ltd.’s technical indicators paint a picture of a stock in transition, with short-term bullish signals tempered by longer-term bearish undertones. The mildly bearish daily moving averages and monthly MACD suggest that the stock has yet to establish a sustainable upward trajectory, while weekly KST and Dow Theory readings offer some hope for near-term gains.

Investors should remain vigilant, monitoring key support levels near ₹4,400 and resistance around ₹4,700 to gauge the stock’s next directional move. The absence of strong volume trends and neutral RSI readings imply that a decisive breakout or breakdown may require additional catalysts, such as earnings updates or sectoral developments.

Given the current Mojo Grade downgrade to Sell and the mixed technical signals, a cautious approach is advisable. Those holding positions may consider tightening stop-loss levels, while prospective buyers might await clearer confirmation of trend reversal before committing fresh capital.

In summary, CRISIL’s technical momentum shift underscores the importance of a balanced analysis incorporating multiple indicators and timeframes. While short-term optimism exists, the prevailing mildly bearish longer-term signals counsel prudence amid ongoing market uncertainties.

Only Rs. 9,999 - Get MojoOne + Stock of the Week for 1 Year (MRP = Rs. 34,999) Start Today