Price Movement and Market Context
On 6 January 2026, Data Patterns (India) Ltd closed at ₹2,735.60, marking a significant intraday gain of 4.43% from the previous close of ₹2,619.55. The stock traded within a range of ₹2,612.35 to ₹2,747.15, reflecting heightened volatility and investor interest. Over the past week, the stock has outperformed the Sensex, delivering a 3.03% return compared to the benchmark’s 0.88%. Year-to-date, Data Patterns has gained 4.26%, substantially ahead of the Sensex’s 0.26% rise.
Longer-term returns remain impressive, with a 10-year return unavailable for the stock but a three-year return of 133.18%, significantly surpassing the Sensex’s 41.57% over the same period. This robust performance underscores the company’s resilience and growth potential within the Aerospace & Defense sector.
Technical Trend Shift: From Sideways to Mildly Bullish
Technical analysis reveals a subtle but meaningful change in the stock’s momentum. The overall trend has shifted from a sideways consolidation phase to a mildly bullish trajectory. This is supported by daily moving averages which have turned mildly bullish, indicating that short-term price action is gaining upward momentum. The stock’s current price is comfortably above key daily moving averages, suggesting support levels are holding firm.
However, weekly and monthly indicators present a more nuanced picture. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains mildly bearish on both weekly and monthly charts, signalling that momentum is not yet decisively positive. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows no clear signal on weekly or monthly timeframes, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This lack of extreme RSI readings suggests the stock has room to move in either direction without immediate risk of reversal due to exhaustion.
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Bollinger Bands and KST Indicator Insights
Bollinger Bands provide further clarity on the stock’s price behaviour. On a weekly basis, the bands indicate a sideways movement, reflecting a period of consolidation and limited volatility. Conversely, the monthly Bollinger Bands signal a bullish trend, suggesting that over a longer horizon, the stock is poised for upward movement. This divergence between weekly and monthly signals highlights the importance of timeframe in technical analysis and suggests that investors with a longer-term perspective may find the current price action favourable.
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator adds another layer of complexity. Weekly KST readings remain mildly bearish, consistent with the MACD’s cautious tone. However, the monthly KST has turned bullish, reinforcing the notion that the stock’s longer-term momentum is improving despite short-term hesitations.
Volume and Dow Theory Analysis
Volume-based indicators such as On-Balance Volume (OBV) show no clear trend on either weekly or monthly charts, indicating that volume is not currently confirming price moves. This absence of volume confirmation suggests that while price momentum is improving, it is not yet strongly supported by trading activity, which could limit the sustainability of gains in the near term.
Dow Theory assessments align with this cautious outlook. Weekly Dow Theory signals remain mildly bearish, while monthly readings show no definitive trend. This mixed evidence underscores the need for investors to monitor developments closely before committing to a bullish stance.
Mojo Score and Rating Revision
MarketsMOJO’s proprietary scoring system assigns Data Patterns a Mojo Score of 64.0, reflecting a Hold rating. This represents a downgrade from a previous Buy rating as of 1 December 2025. The downgrade reflects the tempered enthusiasm due to mixed technical signals and the need for confirmation of sustained bullish momentum. The company’s Market Cap Grade stands at 3, indicating a mid-tier market capitalisation relative to peers in the Aerospace & Defense sector.
Investors should note that while the stock has demonstrated strong relative returns over multiple timeframes, the current technical landscape advises caution. The mildly bullish daily moving averages and monthly Bollinger Bands suggest potential upside, but the bearish weekly MACD and KST indicators temper expectations.
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Comparative Performance and Sector Outlook
Data Patterns’ performance relative to the Sensex and its sector peers remains a key consideration. The stock’s 10.12% return over the past year outpaces the Sensex’s 7.85%, while its three-year return of 133.18% dwarfs the benchmark’s 41.57%. This outperformance highlights the company’s strong positioning within the Aerospace & Defense sector, which continues to benefit from increased government spending and technological advancements.
Nevertheless, the sector’s inherent cyclicality and geopolitical sensitivities require investors to maintain a balanced view. The current technical indicators suggest that while Data Patterns is gaining momentum, it has yet to establish a clear, sustained uptrend. Investors should watch for confirmation from weekly MACD and KST indicators, as well as volume trends, before increasing exposure.
Conclusion: A Cautious Optimism for Investors
In summary, Data Patterns (India) Ltd is exhibiting a mild bullish momentum shift, supported by daily moving averages and monthly Bollinger Bands. However, mixed signals from weekly MACD, KST, and Dow Theory indicators, combined with neutral RSI and volume trends, counsel prudence. The recent downgrade from Buy to Hold by MarketsMOJO reflects this balanced outlook.
Investors with a medium to long-term horizon may find the stock attractive given its strong historical returns and sector fundamentals, but should remain vigilant for confirmation of sustained momentum. Monitoring technical indicators over the coming weeks will be crucial to assess whether the mildly bullish trend can evolve into a more robust uptrend.
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