Key Events This Week
28 Sep: Sharp open interest surge amid bearish price action
29 Sep: Technical momentum shifts to mildly bearish
30 Sep: Another open interest increase with mixed technical signals
1 Oct: Mildly bearish momentum confirmed amid technical shifts
28 September: Open Interest Surges Amid Bearish Price Action
Delhivery opened the week under pressure, closing at Rs.408.00, down 3.63% from the previous close. The stock’s decline was sharper than the Sensex’s 1.60% fall, signalling company-specific weakness. Notably, open interest in derivatives rose by 12.27% to 28,986 contracts, indicating fresh positions being established amid falling prices. The volume of 19,679 contracts and a combined derivatives turnover exceeding ₹61,457 lakhs highlighted active market participation despite bearish sentiment.
The stock traded near intraday lows, with the weighted average price skewed lower, reflecting selling pressure. Delhivery’s price remained below all key moving averages, confirming a sustained downtrend. Investor delivery volumes increased by 6.9%, suggesting active repositioning despite the negative price action. This combination of rising open interest and falling prices typically points to new short positions or unwinding of longs, aligning with the stock’s downgrade to a Sell rating earlier in May 2026.
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29 September: Technical Momentum Shifts to Mildly Bearish
On 29 September, Delhivery’s stock rebounded modestly to Rs.415.20, gaining 1.76%, yet technical indicators painted a cautious picture. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) turned bearish on weekly charts, while Bollinger Bands on weekly and monthly timeframes indicated increased volatility with a downward bias. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained neutral, offering no clear directional signal.
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator showed bearish momentum weekly but bullish monthly, reflecting mixed signals. On-Balance Volume (OBV) lacked trend confirmation, suggesting volume did not support price moves decisively. The stock’s Mojo Score remained at 31.0 with a Sell grade, reflecting deteriorating technical momentum. Relative to the Sensex, Delhivery underperformed, declining 6.25% over the past week compared to the benchmark’s 2.79% fall, highlighting persistent weakness.
30 September: Open Interest Rises Again Amid Mixed Technical Signals
Delhivery’s derivatives open interest increased by 10.94% to 20,997 contracts on 30 September, accompanied by a futures volume of 13,124 contracts. Despite this, the stock closed lower at Rs.409.70, down 1.32%, underperforming the transport services sector which gained 2.82%. The weighted average price skewed towards the lower end, indicating cautious buying or selling pressure near support levels.
Technical momentum showed signs of stabilisation with a shift from mildly bearish to sideways trend. The MACD remained bearish weekly but mildly bearish monthly, while Bollinger Bands presented a bearish weekly stance and mildly bullish monthly outlook. The RSI was neutral, and the KST indicator diverged with bearish weekly and bullish monthly signals. The stock’s liquidity supported sizeable trades, but the narrow intraday price range suggested limited bullish conviction.
1 October: Mildly Bearish Momentum Amid Technical Shifts
Delhivery closed the week at Rs.400.60, down 2.22% on 1 October, confirming a mildly bearish momentum. The MACD indicator remained bearish weekly and mildly bearish monthly, while the RSI stayed neutral. Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart indicated downward pressure, though monthly bands were sideways. Daily moving averages showed mild bullishness, suggesting some short-term support.
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator continued to show bearish weekly but bullish monthly momentum, and Dow Theory assessments aligned with a mildly bearish outlook. On-Balance Volume (OBV) was mildly bearish weekly, reflecting slight selling pressure. Relative to the Sensex, Delhivery underperformed with a 5.34% weekly decline versus the benchmark’s 3.14% fall. The stock’s small-cap status and recent downgrade to a Sell rating underscore the cautious sentiment prevailing among investors.
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Daily Price Performance Compared to Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Rs.408.00 | -3.63% | 34,788.97 | -1.60% |
| 2026-09-29 | Rs.415.20 | +1.76% | 34,621.52 | -0.48% |
| 2026-09-30 | Rs.409.70 | -1.32% | 34,564.37 | -0.17% |
| 2026-10-01 | Rs.400.60 | -2.22% | 34,221.41 | -0.99% |
Key Takeaways
Heightened Derivatives Activity: The week saw two significant surges in open interest, rising 12.27% on 28 September and 10.94% on 30 September, indicating active positioning and increased market interest despite bearish price trends.
Technical Momentum Weakening: Multiple technical indicators, including MACD and Bollinger Bands, shifted towards bearish or sideways trends, reflecting weakening momentum and increased volatility.
Underperformance vs Benchmarks: Delhivery’s stock declined 5.37% over the week, underperforming the Sensex’s 3.20% fall, highlighting company-specific challenges amid broader market weakness.
Mixed Technical Signals: While weekly indicators leaned bearish, monthly charts showed some mildly bullish signals, suggesting potential for consolidation but no clear reversal yet.
Sell Rating and Low Mojo Score: The stock’s Mojo Score of 31.0 and Sell grade reflect deteriorating fundamentals and technical outlook, reinforcing a cautious stance among investors.
Conclusion
Delhivery Ltd’s performance during the week ending 1 October 2026 was marked by a notable decline amid increased derivatives market activity and shifting technical momentum. The stock’s underperformance relative to the Sensex and transport services sector, combined with bearish technical indicators and a Sell rating, signals ongoing challenges. While some longer-term indicators suggest potential stabilisation, the prevailing sentiment remains cautious. Investors should closely monitor open interest trends, volume patterns, and key technical levels for signs of a sustained turnaround or further weakness in the near term.
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