Key Events This Week
16 Feb: Strong opening day rally (+2.77%) on robust volume
19 Feb: Intraday low hit amid price pressure; sharp open interest surge
20 Feb: Open interest rises further amid mixed market signals; stock rebounds +1.39%
Week Close: Rs.629.20, up 0.44% vs Sensex +0.39%
16 February: Strong Start on Robust Volume
DLF Ltd began the week on a positive note, rallying 2.77% to close at Rs.643.80 on 16 February 2026. This gain outpaced the Sensex’s 0.70% rise, supported by a healthy volume of 100,513 shares. The strong opening day performance suggested renewed buying interest, possibly driven by short-term traders capitalising on oversold conditions from prior weeks. The stock’s price reached the week’s high on this day, setting a positive tone before the midweek volatility.
17-18 February: Consolidation Amid Mixed Market Signals
On 17 February, DLF’s price retraced slightly, falling 0.78% to Rs.638.75, while the Sensex continued its upward trajectory with a 0.32% gain. The lower volume of 38,052 shares indicated reduced investor enthusiasm. The following day, 18 February, saw a modest recovery of 0.57% to Rs.642.40, with the Sensex advancing 0.43%. However, delivery volumes declined sharply by 75.97% on 18 February compared to the five-day average, signalling waning conviction among long-term holders. This period reflected a cautious market stance ahead of the more volatile sessions to come.
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19 February: Intraday Price Pressure and Sharp Open Interest Surge
19 February was the most turbulent day of the week for DLF Ltd. The stock plunged 3.39% to close at Rs.620.60, hitting an intraday low of Rs.621.85. This decline significantly underperformed the Sensex’s 1.45% drop and the Realty sector’s 1.56% fall, highlighting pronounced selling pressure. The stock traded below all key moving averages — 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day — signalling sustained bearish momentum.
Simultaneously, the derivatives market saw a sharp 11.84% surge in open interest, rising from 1,00,675 to 1,12,597 contracts. Futures volume was robust at 60,098 contracts, with a combined futures and options notional value exceeding ₹14,000 crores. The divergence of rising open interest amid falling prices typically indicates fresh short positions or increased bearish bets by traders. Delivery volumes also fell sharply, down 75.97%, reflecting reduced long-term investor conviction.
This combination of technical weakness, heavy derivatives activity, and subdued investor participation underscored a cautious and bearish market environment for DLF on this day.
20 February: Open Interest Rises Further Amid Mixed Signals and Price Recovery
On the final trading day of the week, DLF Ltd rebounded 1.39% to close at Rs.629.20, outperforming the Realty sector’s 0.29% gain and the Sensex’s 0.41% rise. Open interest surged again by 14.51% to 1,16,321 contracts, with futures volume increasing to 67,877 contracts. The combined futures and options market value rose to approximately ₹16,82,77 lakhs, reflecting heightened market activity.
Despite this relative outperformance, the stock remained below all major moving averages, indicating the medium- to long-term downtrend persists. Delivery volumes declined by 15.57%, suggesting cautious investor stance despite the price uptick. The mixed signals from price action and derivatives activity imply that traders may be hedging or speculating on volatility rather than committing to a clear directional trend.
DLF’s Mojo Score remains at 30.0 with a Mojo Grade of ‘Sell’, upgraded from ‘Strong Sell’ in December 2025, reflecting a slightly improved but still cautious outlook.
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Daily Price Comparison: DLF Ltd vs Sensex (16-20 Feb 2026)
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Rs.643.80 | +2.77% | 36,787.89 | +0.70% |
| 2026-02-17 | Rs.638.75 | -0.78% | 36,904.38 | +0.32% |
| 2026-02-18 | Rs.642.40 | +0.57% | 37,062.35 | +0.43% |
| 2026-02-19 | Rs.620.60 | -3.39% | 36,523.88 | -1.45% |
| 2026-02-20 | Rs.629.20 | +1.39% | 36,674.32 | +0.41% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: The stock’s 0.44% weekly gain slightly outperformed the Sensex, with strong opening and closing sessions indicating pockets of buying interest. The upgrade in Mojo Grade from ‘Strong Sell’ to ‘Sell’ suggests a modest improvement in outlook. The sharp surges in open interest reflect active market participation and potential for volatility-driven trading opportunities.
Cautionary Signals: DLF’s persistent trading below all major moving averages signals a sustained downtrend. The sharp intraday decline on 19 February amid heavy selling pressure and falling delivery volumes points to waning long-term investor conviction. The divergence between rising open interest and falling prices on 19 February indicates bearish positioning. Delivery volumes remain subdued, underscoring cautious sentiment.
Overall, the week’s price action and derivatives activity portray a stock navigating a challenging environment with mixed signals, requiring careful monitoring of technical levels and market positioning.
Conclusion
DLF Ltd’s week was characterised by volatility and mixed market signals. While the stock managed a modest weekly gain of 0.44%, it faced significant intraday pressure midweek, reflecting broader sectoral and market uncertainties. The sharp increases in derivatives open interest highlight active repositioning by traders, though the technical backdrop remains bearish with the stock below all key moving averages. Delivery volume declines further suggest cautious investor participation.
The upgrade in Mojo Grade to ‘Sell’ from ‘Strong Sell’ indicates some improvement but maintains a cautious stance. Investors and traders should weigh the interplay of these factors carefully, recognising the potential for short-term volatility amid an unresolved medium-term downtrend. Monitoring price action around moving averages and open interest trends will be critical in assessing the stock’s next directional moves.
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