Technical Trend Overview
Recent technical analysis reveals that Dodla Dairy’s price momentum has deteriorated across multiple timeframes. The weekly technical trend has shifted decisively to bearish, while the monthly trend remains mildly bearish. This shift is underscored by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, which is bearish on a weekly basis and mildly bearish monthly, signalling weakening upward momentum and increasing selling pressure.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), however, remains neutral with no clear signal on both weekly and monthly charts, suggesting that the stock is neither oversold nor overbought at present. This neutral RSI indicates that while momentum is weakening, there is no immediate capitulation or rebound signal.
Moving Averages and Price Action
Dodla Dairy’s daily moving averages have turned bearish, with the current price of ₹1,230.00 trading below key short-term and medium-term averages. The stock’s previous close was ₹1,250.60, marking a day decline of 1.65%. The intraday range saw a high of ₹1,254.60 and a low of ₹1,230.00, reflecting increased volatility and selling interest near resistance levels.
Over the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between ₹962.05 and ₹1,522.85, with the current price sitting closer to the lower end of this range. This proximity to the 52-week low adds to the bearish sentiment, as the stock struggles to regain upward momentum.
Bollinger Bands and KST Indicator
Bollinger Bands provide a mixed signal: mildly bearish on the weekly timeframe but mildly bullish on the monthly. This divergence suggests short-term pressure but potential for longer-term consolidation or recovery if buying interest returns. The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator aligns with the bearish outlook, showing bearish momentum weekly and mildly bearish monthly, reinforcing the cautious stance among traders.
Volume and Dow Theory Signals
On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Dow Theory indicators show no definitive trend on either weekly or monthly charts. The absence of volume confirmation and trend signals implies that the current price movements lack strong conviction from institutional investors, which may limit the stock’s ability to sustain any rallies in the near term.
Just made the cut! This Mid Cap from the Heavy Electrical Equipment sector entered our elite Top 1% list recently. Discover it before the crowd catches on!
- - Top-rated across platform
- - Strong price momentum
- - Near-term growth potential
Comparative Performance Against Sensex
Dodla Dairy’s recent returns have underperformed the benchmark Sensex across several periods. Year-to-date, the stock has declined by 1.65%, compared to a marginal Sensex gain of 0.04%. Over the past month, Dodla Dairy fell 1.95%, while the Sensex dropped 0.53%. Even over the one-year horizon, the stock posted a negative return of 1.67%, contrasting with the Sensex’s robust 8.51% gain.
However, the longer-term outlook remains positive, with Dodla Dairy delivering a remarkable 143.11% return over three years, significantly outperforming the Sensex’s 40.02% gain. This disparity highlights the stock’s strong historical growth potential despite recent technical setbacks.
MarketsMOJO Grade and Quality Assessment
MarketsMOJO has downgraded Dodla Dairy’s Mojo Grade from Hold to Sell as of 09 Dec 2025, reflecting the deteriorating technical and momentum indicators. The current Mojo Score stands at 41.0, signalling weak overall fundamentals and price action. The Market Cap Grade is rated 3, indicating a small-cap classification within the FMCG sector, which often entails higher volatility and sensitivity to market shifts.
This downgrade suggests caution for investors, as the stock’s technical parameters and momentum indicators point to further downside risk in the near term.
Outlook and Investor Considerations
Given the bearish technical signals, investors should approach Dodla Dairy with prudence. The daily moving averages and MACD indicate that the stock is currently in a downtrend, while the neutral RSI suggests limited immediate reversal potential. The lack of volume confirmation and trend signals from OBV and Dow Theory further emphasise the absence of strong buying interest.
Investors may consider waiting for a confirmed technical reversal or improvement in momentum indicators before initiating new positions. Alternatively, those holding the stock might evaluate risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders or partial profit-taking, to mitigate potential losses amid the current bearish environment.
Dodla Dairy Ltd or something better? Our SwitchER feature analyzes this small-cap FMCG stock and recommends superior alternatives based on fundamentals, momentum, and value!
- - SwitchER analysis complete
- - Superior alternatives found
- - Multi-parameter evaluation
Summary
Dodla Dairy Ltd’s technical landscape has shifted towards a more bearish stance, with key indicators such as MACD, moving averages, and KST signalling weakening momentum. The downgrade in MarketsMOJO grade to Sell reinforces the cautious outlook. While the stock’s long-term performance remains impressive, near-term price action suggests investors should remain vigilant and consider alternative opportunities within the FMCG sector or broader market.
Monitoring changes in volume, RSI, and Bollinger Bands will be critical to identifying any potential reversal or stabilisation in the coming weeks. Until then, the prevailing technical signals advocate a defensive approach to Dodla Dairy Ltd’s stock.
Only Rs. 9,999 - Get MojoOne + Stock of the Week for 1 Year (MRP = Rs. 34,999) Start Saving Now →
