Key Events This Week
09 Feb: MarketsMOJO upgrades Dodla Dairy Ltd to Hold rating
10 Feb: Technical momentum shifts to mildly bearish with mixed signals
13 Feb: Week closes at Rs.1,204.30 (+0.58%) outperforming Sensex
09 February 2026: Upgrade to Hold Signals Stabilisation
On Monday, 09 February, Dodla Dairy Ltd’s stock price edged up 0.24% to close at Rs.1,200.20, marginally higher than the previous close of Rs.1,197.30. This movement coincided with MarketsMOJO’s upgrade of the company’s rating from Sell to Hold, reflecting improvements in technical indicators and valuation metrics. The upgrade was driven by a shift in technical outlook from bearish to mildly bearish, signalling a potential easing of downward momentum.
Technical analysis highlighted a neutral stance in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and a mixed picture from the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator, which was mildly bullish on the weekly scale but mildly bearish monthly. The company’s valuation was deemed fair, with a Price to Book ratio of 4.7 and a return on equity of 17%, supporting the Hold rating. Despite flat quarterly financials, the company’s long-term operating profit growth of 8.86% annually and a debt-free balance sheet underpinned the cautious optimism.
10 February 2026: Technical Momentum Shifts Amid Mixed Signals
On Tuesday, the stock surged 3.94% to Rs.1,247.45, marking the week’s high. This sharp gain followed the previous day’s upgrade and reflected a tentative improvement in technical momentum. However, the technical indicators remained mixed. The weekly MACD stayed bearish, while the monthly MACD softened to mildly bearish, indicating stabilisation but no clear bullish trend.
The RSI remained neutral, and Bollinger Bands suggested mildly bearish volatility with a slight downward bias. Daily moving averages continued to signal bearish momentum, indicating resistance levels that the stock had yet to decisively overcome. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) showed no clear trend, suggesting volume was not strongly supporting either buying or selling pressure. These mixed signals pointed to a consolidation phase rather than a breakout.
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11-13 February 2026: Gradual Decline Amid Market Weakness
Following the peak on 10 February, Dodla Dairy’s stock price retraced over the next three trading days. On 11 February, it declined 1.31% to Rs.1,231.05, despite the Sensex gaining 0.13%. The downward trend continued on 12 February with a 0.93% drop to Rs.1,219.65, coinciding with a Sensex decline of 0.56%. The week closed on 13 February with a further 1.26% fall to Rs.1,204.30, while the Sensex dropped 1.40%.
This late-week weakness reflected broader market pressures and the persistence of bearish daily moving averages for the stock. The technical momentum remained fragile, with no clear reversal signals. Volume also tapered off, indicating reduced trading interest amid uncertainty. Despite these short-term setbacks, the stock’s weekly close still represented a net gain, outperforming the Sensex’s decline.
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Weekly Price Performance: Dodla Dairy Ltd vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rs.1,200.20 | +0.24% | 37,113.23 | +1.04% |
| 2026-02-10 | Rs.1,247.45 | +3.94% | 37,207.34 | +0.25% |
| 2026-02-11 | Rs.1,231.05 | -1.31% | 37,256.72 | +0.13% |
| 2026-02-12 | Rs.1,219.65 | -0.93% | 37,049.40 | -0.56% |
| 2026-02-13 | Rs.1,204.30 | -1.26% | 36,532.48 | -1.40% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: The upgrade to a Hold rating by MarketsMOJO on 09 February marked a technical stabilisation for Dodla Dairy Ltd, supported by fair valuation metrics and strong management efficiency. The stock’s weekly gain of 0.58% outperformed the Sensex’s 0.54% decline, reflecting relative resilience amid broader market weakness. Institutional investor interest remains robust, with a 31.12% stake and recent incremental buying.
Cautionary Notes: Despite the upgrade, technical momentum remains fragile with a mildly bearish outlook on weekly and monthly MACD indicators. Daily moving averages continue to signal resistance, and volume trends do not confirm strong buying pressure. The company’s flat quarterly financial performance and sectoral headwinds in FMCG suggest ongoing challenges. The stock’s retracement after the midweek peak underscores the need for cautious monitoring.
Conclusion
Dodla Dairy Ltd’s performance in the week ending 13 February 2026 was characterised by a cautious but positive shift in technical and valuation perspectives. The MarketsMOJO upgrade to Hold and the stock’s outperformance relative to the Sensex highlight stabilising fundamentals and market sentiment. However, mixed technical signals and subdued volume indicate that momentum remains tentative. Investors should consider these factors in the context of the company’s flat quarterly results and the FMCG sector’s challenges. Overall, the stock appears to be in a consolidation phase, balancing potential for recovery against near-term uncertainties.
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