Technical Momentum Shifts to Bearish Territory
Over the past weeks, Epack Durable’s technical trend has transitioned from mildly bearish to outright bearish, reflecting increased selling pressure. The stock closed at ₹270.70 on 9 Jan 2026, down 4.13% from the previous close of ₹282.35. This decline is notable given the stock’s 52-week high of ₹673.65 and a low of ₹245.50, indicating a significant retracement from its peak levels.
The daily moving averages have deteriorated into a bearish alignment, signalling that short-term price momentum is weakening. This is corroborated by the weekly and monthly Bollinger Bands, both of which are firmly bearish, suggesting that volatility is skewed towards downside risk. The weekly MACD indicator remains bearish, reinforcing the negative momentum, although the monthly MACD currently does not provide a clear signal, indicating some ambiguity in longer-term momentum.
Oscillators and Volume Trends Offer Mixed Signals
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts currently shows no definitive signal, hovering in neutral zones. This suggests that while the stock is not yet oversold, it lacks the momentum to mount a meaningful recovery. The KST (Know Sure Thing) indicator on the weekly timeframe is bearish, further confirming the short-term downtrend, though the monthly KST remains inconclusive.
On the volume front, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator is mildly bearish on the weekly scale, implying that volume trends are not supporting any significant price rallies. The absence of a clear trend in the monthly OBV adds to the uncertainty surrounding the stock’s medium-term direction.
Comparative Performance Against Sensex
When benchmarked against the Sensex, Epack Durable’s returns have been underwhelming. Over the past week, the stock declined by 3.29%, compared to a 1.18% drop in the Sensex. Year-to-date, the stock is down 4.01%, while the Sensex has fallen by 1.22%. The one-year performance is particularly stark, with Epack Durable plunging 56.93%, whereas the Sensex gained 7.72%. This underperformance highlights the stock’s vulnerability amid broader market gains and sectoral headwinds.
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Mojo Score and Ratings Reflect Elevated Risk
Epack Durable’s MarketsMOJO score currently stands at 12.0, accompanied by a Mojo Grade of Strong Sell, upgraded from a previous Sell rating on 25 Sep 2025. This downgrade reflects a worsening outlook based on a comprehensive evaluation of fundamentals, technicals, and market sentiment. The company’s market capitalisation grade is a low 3, underscoring its relatively small size and associated liquidity risks within the Electronics & Appliances sector.
The downgrade to Strong Sell is consistent with the technical deterioration observed across multiple indicators. Investors should note that the bearish signals are not isolated to short-term charts but are evident across weekly and monthly timeframes, suggesting a sustained downtrend unless significant positive catalysts emerge.
Price Action and Moving Averages Analysis
The daily moving averages have crossed into bearish territory, with the short-term averages falling below the longer-term ones, a classic sell signal. This crossover has been accompanied by a decline in price from recent highs, reinforcing the negative momentum. The stock’s inability to sustain levels above ₹280 in recent sessions further emphasises resistance at these levels.
On the weekly scale, the bearish MACD and Bollinger Bands indicate that the stock is trading near the lower band, which often signals oversold conditions but can also precede further declines if selling pressure persists. The lack of a bullish divergence in RSI or KST suggests that any relief rallies may be short-lived.
Sectoral and Industry Context
Within the Electronics & Appliances sector, Epack Durable’s performance contrasts with some peers that have managed to stabilise or recover modestly. The sector itself faces challenges from supply chain disruptions and fluctuating consumer demand, which have weighed on earnings expectations. Epack Durable’s technical weakness may partly reflect these broader headwinds, compounded by company-specific factors such as valuation concerns and market sentiment.
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Investor Implications and Outlook
Given the current technical landscape, investors should approach Epack Durable with caution. The confluence of bearish signals across MACD, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and KST suggests that the stock may continue to face downward pressure in the near term. The absence of strong RSI or OBV support further diminishes the likelihood of an imminent rebound.
Long-term investors may need to reassess their positions, especially considering the stock’s significant underperformance relative to the Sensex over the past year. The technical deterioration aligns with the MarketsMOJO Strong Sell rating, indicating that the risk-reward profile is currently unfavourable.
However, should the stock find support near its 52-week low of ₹245.50 and technical indicators begin to stabilise or improve, there could be potential for a recovery phase. Until then, the prevailing trend remains bearish, and risk-averse investors might prefer to explore alternatives within the sector or broader market.
Summary of Key Technical Indicators
- MACD: Weekly - Bearish; Monthly - Neutral
- RSI: Weekly & Monthly - No clear signal
- Bollinger Bands: Weekly & Monthly - Bearish
- Moving Averages: Daily - Bearish crossover
- KST: Weekly - Bearish; Monthly - Neutral
- Dow Theory: Weekly - Mildly Bullish; Monthly - No trend
- OBV: Weekly - Mildly Bearish; Monthly - No trend
Price and Return Snapshot
- Current Price: ₹270.70
- Previous Close: ₹282.35
- 52-Week High: ₹673.65
- 52-Week Low: ₹245.50
- Day’s Range: ₹268.25 - ₹282.55
Returns Comparison with Sensex
- 1 Week: -3.29% vs Sensex -1.18%
- 1 Month: +6.68% vs Sensex -1.08%
- Year-to-Date: -4.01% vs Sensex -1.22%
- 1 Year: -56.93% vs Sensex +7.72%
In conclusion, Epack Durable Ltd’s technical parameters have shifted decisively towards a bearish stance, with multiple indicators confirming the negative momentum. Investors should weigh these signals carefully against their risk tolerance and investment horizon.
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