Stock Price Movement and Market Context
On 19 Jan 2026, Fratelli Vineyards Ltd’s share price touched an intraday low of Rs.96.3, representing a fall of 4.94% from the previous close. Despite opening with a gap up of 2.47% at Rs.103.8, the stock reversed course during the trading session, closing with a day change of -4.24%. This decline extended a two-day losing streak, during which the stock has fallen by 4.72% cumulatively. The stock’s performance today notably underperformed the beverages sector by 4.18%.
The stock is currently trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling sustained downward momentum. This technical positioning underscores the prevailing bearish sentiment among market participants.
Meanwhile, the broader market context shows the Sensex index also experiencing pressure, closing down 248.31 points or 0.39% at 83,246.18 after a flat opening. The Sensex remains 3.5% below its 52-week high of 86,159.02 and has declined by 2.93% over the past three weeks. Although the Sensex trades below its 50-day moving average, the 50DMA remains above the 200DMA, indicating mixed medium-term market signals.
Financial Performance and Fundamental Indicators
Fratelli Vineyards Ltd’s financial metrics reveal considerable strain. Over the last year, the stock has delivered a negative return of 64.73%, starkly contrasting with the Sensex’s positive 8.65% return and the BSE500’s 7.53% gain. This divergence highlights the company’s underperformance relative to the broader market.
The company’s 52-week high was Rs.289, illustrating the extent of the decline to the current low of Rs.96.3. This drop reflects deteriorating fundamentals and investor sentiment over the period.
Long-term growth trends have been unfavourable, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in operating profits of -160.50% over the past five years. The company’s ability to service debt is constrained, evidenced by a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.54 times. Additionally, Fratelli Vineyards has reported losses, resulting in a negative return on equity (ROE).
The latest six-month financials show net sales at Rs.82.39 crores, declining by 61.18%, while the profit after tax (PAT) stands at a negative Rs.9.13 crores, also down by 61.18%. Return on capital employed (ROCE) for the half-year is negative at -1.17%, further indicating operational difficulties.
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Risk Profile and Valuation Considerations
The stock’s risk profile remains elevated, trading at valuations that are considered risky relative to its historical averages. Over the past year, the company’s profits have fallen by an alarming 1383%, a factor that has contributed to the stock’s steep decline.
Fratelli Vineyards Ltd’s Mojo Score currently stands at 3.0, with a Mojo Grade of Strong Sell, upgraded from a previous Sell rating on 15 Jan 2025. The Market Cap Grade is 4, reflecting the company’s relatively small market capitalisation within its sector.
The company has reported negative EBITDA, which adds to the concerns regarding its financial health and operational sustainability. The stock’s underperformance relative to the BSE500 index, which has generated a 7.53% return over the last year, further emphasises the challenges faced by the company.
Shareholding and Sectoral Position
Fratelli Vineyards Ltd operates within the beverages industry and sector, with promoters holding the majority shareholding. The company’s position in the sector has been impacted by its financial results and stock price performance, which have trended negatively over the past year.
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Summary of Key Metrics
To summarise, Fratelli Vineyards Ltd’s stock has reached a new 52-week low of Rs.96.3, reflecting a sustained downtrend over recent months. The company’s financial indicators, including negative PAT, declining net sales, and negative ROCE, highlight ongoing difficulties. The stock’s trading below all major moving averages and its Strong Sell Mojo Grade underline the cautious stance reflected in market pricing.
While the broader market and sector have shown relative resilience, Fratelli Vineyards Ltd’s performance has diverged significantly, with a 64.73% loss over the past year compared to positive returns in the Sensex and BSE500 indices. The company’s elevated debt levels and negative profitability metrics contribute to the current valuation pressures.
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