Key Events This Week
2 Feb: Intraday high with 7.94% surge to Rs.3,150
3 Feb: Upper circuit hit with 20.0% surge, closing at Rs.3,908.60
4 Feb: Intraday high with 7.5% gain to Rs.4,198
5 Feb: Price correction of 4.71% amid mixed technical signals
6 Feb: Downgrade to Sell rating amid financial pressures
2 February: Strong Intraday Rally Signals Renewed Buying Interest
Garware Hi Tech Films Ltd began the week with a robust intraday surge of 7.94%, reaching a high of Rs.3,150. The stock demonstrated notable volatility, initially dipping 2.83% to Rs.2,872.85 before rallying sharply. This performance significantly outpaced the broader market, with the Sensex declining 1.03% to 35,814.09. The stock’s rise above its short-term moving averages indicated emerging bullish momentum despite a cautious longer-term technical backdrop. However, MarketsMOJO’s Mojo Score remained low at 23.0 with a Strong Sell grade, reflecting underlying fundamental concerns despite the price strength.
3 February: Upper Circuit Hit on 20% Surge Amid Strong Market Sentiment
The stock’s momentum accelerated dramatically on 3 February, hitting the upper circuit limit with a 20.0% gain to close at Rs.3,908.60. This surge was driven by intense buying pressure, with delivery volumes spiking 226.02% above the five-day average, signalling genuine accumulation. The stock outperformed its sector by over 10 percentage points and the Sensex by nearly 18 percentage points, despite the benchmark index’s 2.79% decline. Technically, Garware traded above all key moving averages, confirming a strong bullish trend. The regulatory freeze due to the upper circuit underscored the imbalance between demand and supply, highlighting heightened investor enthusiasm.
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4 February: Continued Uptrend with 7.5% Intraday Gain Despite Market Headwinds
On 4 February, Garware Hi Tech Films Ltd sustained its upward trajectory, surging 7.5% to an intraday high of Rs.4,198. This gain outperformed the Plastic Products - Industrial sector’s 2.48% rise and occurred amid a broadly subdued market, with the Sensex declining marginally by 0.08%. The stock’s position above all major moving averages reinforced its bullish momentum. Despite this, MarketsMOJO maintained a cautious stance with a Strong Sell rating and a Mojo Score of 27.0, reflecting concerns over valuation and financial fundamentals.
5 February: Price Correction Amid Mixed Technical Signals
The stock experienced a pullback on 5 February, declining 4.71% to close at Rs.4,142.70. This correction followed the prior days’ sharp gains and coincided with a 0.53% decline in the Sensex. Technical indicators presented a complex picture, with a shift from mildly bearish to mildly bullish trends. Weekly MACD and Bollinger Bands turned bullish, while monthly indicators remained cautiously bearish. The stock’s high beta of 1.68 contributed to the volatility, underscoring the risk of sharp price swings in either direction.
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6 February: Downgrade to Sell Amid Financial and Valuation Pressures
Despite the recent price strength, Garware Hi Tech Films Ltd was downgraded by MarketsMOJO from Strong Sell to Sell on 5 February 2026. The downgrade was driven by deteriorating financial results for the quarter ended December 2025, including a 28.7% decline in PAT to ₹55.77 crores and the weakest quarterly sales of ₹458.74 crores in recent periods. Operating margins contracted to 15.32%, and EPS fell to ₹24.01. Valuation metrics also worsened, with the PE ratio rising to 31.27 and EV/EBITDA reaching 22.16, significantly above sector peers. Technical indicators showed mixed signals, with some improvement in weekly momentum but continued caution on monthly charts.
Weekly Price Performance: Garware Hi Tech Films Ltd vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Rs.3,254.35 | +7.95% | 35,814.09 | -1.03% |
| 2026-02-03 | Rs.3,905.20 | +20.00% | 36,755.96 | +2.63% |
| 2026-02-04 | Rs.4,347.30 | +11.32% | 36,890.21 | +0.37% |
| 2026-02-05 | Rs.4,142.70 | -4.71% | 36,695.11 | -0.53% |
| 2026-02-06 | Rs.4,242.70 | +2.41% | 36,730.20 | +0.10% |
Key Takeaways
Strong Price Momentum: Garware Hi Tech Films Ltd’s 40.73% weekly gain dwarfed the Sensex’s 1.51% rise, driven by sharp rallies on 2, 3, and 4 February. The upper circuit hit on 3 February highlighted exceptional buying interest and market enthusiasm.
Mixed Technical Signals: While the stock traded above all major moving averages and showed bullish weekly MACD and Bollinger Bands, monthly indicators remained cautiously bearish. The high beta of 1.68 contributed to notable volatility, including a correction on 5 February.
Valuation Concerns: Despite strong price action, valuation metrics remain stretched with a PE ratio exceeding 31 and EV/EBITDA over 22, well above sector peers. This premium valuation reflects high market expectations but also elevates risk.
Financial Deterioration: The downgrade to Sell was prompted by a 28.7% drop in quarterly PAT and the weakest recent sales, signalling near-term earnings pressure. Operating margins contracted, and EPS declined, raising caution about sustainability.
Long-Term Outperformance: Despite recent challenges, Garware’s long-term returns remain exceptional, with five-year gains exceeding 700% and a decade-long return over 3,700%, far surpassing the Sensex.
Conclusion
Garware Hi Tech Films Ltd’s week was characterised by extraordinary price gains driven by strong buying momentum and technical strength, culminating in a 40.73% rise that outpaced the broader market significantly. However, this rally occurred amid mixed technical signals and a fundamental backdrop marked by deteriorating quarterly financials and stretched valuations. The recent downgrade to a Sell rating by MarketsMOJO underscores the need for caution despite the stock’s impressive short-term performance and long-term track record. Investors should carefully balance the potential for continued momentum against the risks posed by valuation premiums and earnings weakness, monitoring upcoming financial updates and technical confirmations for clearer directional cues.
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