Open Interest and Volume Dynamics
The latest data reveals that open interest (OI) in GMR Airports Ltd’s derivatives rose from 44,180 contracts to 50,427, an increase of 6,247 contracts or 14.14%. This substantial uptick in OI was accompanied by a futures volume of 27,085 contracts, underscoring robust trading activity. The combined futures and options value stood at approximately ₹9,17,67 lakhs, with futures contributing ₹90,711.85 lakhs and options an overwhelming ₹10,142.50 crores, indicating significant capital flow into the stock’s derivatives market.
The underlying stock price currently trades at ₹100, maintaining a steady trajectory aligned with sector performance. The stock has gained 0.74% in the last trading session, closely mirroring the sector’s 0.75% rise and outperforming the Sensex’s 0.44% gain. Notably, GMR Airports has recorded consecutive gains over the past two days, delivering a cumulative return of 1.38% during this period.
Technical and Market Positioning Insights
Technically, GMR Airports is trading above all key moving averages — 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day — signalling a strong bullish trend. This upward momentum is further supported by the stock’s recent upgrade in MarketsMOJO’s mojo grade from Sell to Hold on 16 Feb 2026, reflecting improved market sentiment and fundamental outlook. The mojo score currently stands at 51.0, indicating a neutral stance but with positive directional bias.
Despite the positive price action, investor participation appears to be moderating. Delivery volume on 20 Feb was 31.04 lakh shares, a sharp decline of 64.17% compared to the five-day average delivery volume. This suggests that while short-term speculative interest in derivatives is rising, long-term investor commitment in the cash segment is somewhat subdued. Liquidity remains adequate, with the stock supporting trade sizes up to ₹4.71 crore based on 2% of the five-day average traded value, ensuring smooth execution for institutional and retail participants alike.
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Interpreting the Surge in Open Interest
The 14.14% rise in open interest is a significant indicator of increased market participation and fresh capital inflows into GMR Airports’ derivatives. Such a surge often reflects new directional bets by traders, either anticipating a continuation of the current uptrend or positioning for volatility ahead. Given the stock’s alignment with sector gains and its technical strength, the increased OI likely represents bullish sentiment, with participants expecting further upside.
However, the divergence between rising derivatives activity and falling delivery volumes in the cash market suggests a nuanced market positioning. While traders are actively building positions in futures and options, long-term investors may be adopting a wait-and-watch approach, possibly due to broader macroeconomic uncertainties or awaiting clearer fundamental triggers.
Valuation and Market Capitalisation Context
GMR Airports Ltd is classified as a mid-cap company with a market capitalisation of ₹1,06,846 crore. The company operates within the transport infrastructure sector, which has been witnessing steady growth driven by increased government spending on airport modernisation and rising passenger traffic. The stock’s mojo grade upgrade from Sell to Hold reflects a cautious optimism, balancing the company’s growth prospects against sectoral headwinds and valuation considerations.
Investors should note that the market cap grade of 2 indicates moderate size and liquidity, which aligns with the observed trading volumes and open interest levels. The stock’s ability to sustain its position above key moving averages enhances its technical appeal, but the subdued delivery volumes warrant careful monitoring of investor conviction in the underlying equity.
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Potential Directional Bets and Investor Strategy
The current derivatives market activity suggests that traders are positioning for a continuation of the upward trend in GMR Airports Ltd. The increase in open interest alongside rising prices typically signals fresh buying interest rather than short-covering. This is supported by the stock’s performance relative to the sector and Sensex, as well as its technical strength across multiple moving averages.
Nevertheless, the sharp decline in delivery volumes indicates that retail and institutional investors may be cautious about committing long-term capital at this juncture. This divergence could imply that the derivatives market is currently driven more by short-term speculative flows rather than sustained fundamental conviction.
Investors should consider monitoring upcoming sectoral developments, government infrastructure policies, and quarterly earnings results to better gauge the sustainability of the current momentum. Additionally, tracking changes in open interest and volume patterns in the coming sessions will provide further clarity on whether the bullish positioning is broad-based or concentrated among a few market participants.
Summary and Outlook
GMR Airports Ltd’s recent surge in open interest by over 14% in the derivatives segment highlights increased market engagement and a positive directional bias. The stock’s technical positioning above key moving averages and its outperformance relative to the Sensex reinforce this optimistic outlook. However, the contrasting decline in delivery volumes suggests a cautious stance among long-term investors.
With a mojo grade upgrade to Hold and a mojo score of 51.0, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward profile. Market participants should weigh the strong derivatives activity against the underlying equity participation trends and broader sector dynamics before making investment decisions.
Overall, the data points to a market environment where speculative interest is rising, potentially foreshadowing further price appreciation, but tempered by measured investor participation in the cash segment.
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