Price Momentum and Recent Market Performance
On 4 February 2026, Gokul Agro Resources Ltd’s share price closed at ₹165.65, up from the previous close of ₹159.20, marking a daily increase of 4.05%. The stock traded within a range of ₹162.10 to ₹169.40 during the session, reflecting heightened intraday volatility. While the current price remains below its 52-week high of ₹221.40, it is comfortably above the 52-week low of ₹96.00, indicating a recovery phase over the past year.
Comparing returns with the broader market, Gokul Agro has outperformed the Sensex over multiple time horizons. The stock delivered a 6.87% return over the past week against the Sensex’s 2.30%, though it lagged over the one-month and year-to-date periods with declines of 7.25% and 7.64% respectively, compared to the Sensex’s smaller drops of 2.36% and 1.74%. Over longer durations, Gokul Agro’s performance is impressive, with a 10.34% gain over one year versus Sensex’s 8.49%, and a remarkable 170.34% return over three years compared to the Sensex’s 37.63%. The five-year return is particularly striking at 1,225.51%, dwarfing the Sensex’s 66.63% gain.
Technical Indicator Analysis: Mixed Signals
The technical landscape for Gokul Agro is nuanced, with several indicators presenting conflicting signals. The overall technical trend has shifted from sideways to mildly bullish, primarily driven by daily moving averages and positive price momentum.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Both weekly and monthly MACD readings remain mildly bearish, suggesting that the momentum on a broader timeframe is still under pressure. This indicates that while short-term price action is improving, the longer-term trend has yet to confirm a sustained uptrend.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI on both weekly and monthly charts currently shows no clear signal, hovering in neutral territory. This implies that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, providing room for potential directional moves without immediate risk of reversal due to extreme conditions.
Bollinger Bands: The weekly Bollinger Bands indicate a mildly bearish stance, reflecting recent price consolidation and volatility contraction. Conversely, the monthly Bollinger Bands are bullish, signalling that on a longer-term basis, the stock may be poised for an upward breakout if momentum sustains.
Moving Averages: Daily moving averages have turned mildly bullish, with the stock price trading above key short-term averages. This is a positive sign for near-term momentum and suggests that buyers are gaining control after a period of consolidation.
KST (Know Sure Thing): Both weekly and monthly KST indicators remain mildly bearish, reinforcing the view that momentum on broader timeframes is still tentative and requires confirmation through further price strength.
Dow Theory: Weekly Dow Theory analysis is mildly bearish, indicating that the stock has not yet established a definitive bullish trend on this classical technical framework. The monthly Dow Theory shows no clear trend, reflecting uncertainty in the intermediate term.
On-Balance Volume (OBV): Weekly OBV is bullish, suggesting accumulation by investors and supporting the recent price gains. However, the monthly OBV shows no trend, indicating that volume-driven momentum is not yet firmly established over longer periods.
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Mojo Score Upgrade and Market Capitalisation Insights
Gokul Agro Resources Ltd’s Mojo Score has improved to 61.0, reflecting a shift from a previous Sell rating to a Hold as of 7 July 2025. This upgrade signals a more favourable outlook based on a combination of fundamental and technical factors. The company’s market cap grade stands at 3, indicating a mid-tier capitalisation within its sector and peer group.
The Hold rating suggests that while the stock is not yet a strong buy, it has stabilised and may offer selective opportunities for investors seeking exposure to the edible oil industry. The recent price momentum and technical trend shift support this cautious optimism, although the mixed signals from key indicators warrant careful monitoring.
Sector Context and Comparative Performance
Operating within the edible oil sector, Gokul Agro faces both cyclical and structural challenges, including commodity price volatility and regulatory influences. Its recent outperformance relative to the Sensex over longer periods highlights the company’s resilience and growth potential. However, the short-term underperformance over one month and year-to-date periods reflects sector headwinds and broader market uncertainties.
Investors should weigh these factors alongside the technical signals, which suggest a tentative but improving momentum. The mildly bullish daily moving averages and bullish weekly OBV indicate that buying interest is returning, but the bearish MACD and KST on weekly and monthly charts caution against overenthusiasm.
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Investor Takeaway and Outlook
For investors considering Gokul Agro Resources Ltd, the current technical and fundamental landscape suggests a cautious but constructive stance. The stock’s recent price appreciation and upgrade in Mojo Grade to Hold reflect improving business conditions and market sentiment. However, the mixed technical signals, particularly the mildly bearish MACD and KST on weekly and monthly charts, imply that the stock has not yet fully confirmed a sustained bullish trend.
Long-term investors may find the stock’s impressive multi-year returns compelling, especially the 170.34% gain over three years and the extraordinary 1,225.51% over five years, which significantly outpace the Sensex. Short-term traders should monitor key technical levels and indicator confirmations before committing, as volatility and sector-specific risks remain.
Overall, Gokul Agro Resources Ltd appears to be in the early stages of a turnaround in momentum, supported by improving moving averages and volume trends. Continued monitoring of MACD and KST indicators, alongside fundamental developments in the edible oil sector, will be crucial to assess the sustainability of this positive shift.
Summary of Technical Indicators for Gokul Agro Resources Ltd
- Technical Trend: Shifted from sideways to mildly bullish
- MACD: Weekly and Monthly - Mildly Bearish
- RSI: Weekly and Monthly - Neutral (No Signal)
- Bollinger Bands: Weekly - Mildly Bearish; Monthly - Bullish
- Moving Averages: Daily - Mildly Bullish
- KST: Weekly and Monthly - Mildly Bearish
- Dow Theory: Weekly - Mildly Bearish; Monthly - No Trend
- OBV: Weekly - Bullish; Monthly - No Trend
Price and Return Highlights
- Current Price: ₹165.65
- Previous Close: ₹159.20
- 52-Week High: ₹221.40
- 52-Week Low: ₹96.00
- 1 Week Return: +6.87% vs Sensex +2.30%
- 1 Month Return: -7.25% vs Sensex -2.36%
- Year-to-Date Return: -7.64% vs Sensex -1.74%
- 1 Year Return: +10.34% vs Sensex +8.49%
- 3 Year Return: +170.34% vs Sensex +37.63%
- 5 Year Return: +1,225.51% vs Sensex +66.63%
Mojo Score and Rating
- Mojo Score: 61.0
- Mojo Grade: Hold (Upgraded from Sell on 7 July 2025)
- Market Cap Grade: 3
Investors should continue to analyse both technical and fundamental developments in Gokul Agro Resources Ltd to capitalise on emerging opportunities while managing risks inherent in the edible oil sector.
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