GPT Infraprojects Ltd Faces Technical Momentum Shift Amid Bearish Sentiment

Feb 02 2026 08:00 AM IST
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GPT Infraprojects Ltd has experienced a notable shift in its technical momentum, reflecting a complex interplay of bearish and mildly bullish signals across key indicators. Despite a recent downgrade to a Strong Sell rating by MarketsMojo, the stock’s technical parameters reveal nuanced trends that investors should carefully analyse amid ongoing market volatility.
GPT Infraprojects Ltd Faces Technical Momentum Shift Amid Bearish Sentiment

Current Market Performance and Price Action

As of 2 Feb 2026, GPT Infraprojects Ltd closed at ₹101.15, down 3.07% from the previous close of ₹104.35. The stock traded within a range of ₹101.00 to ₹106.45 during the day, remaining well below its 52-week high of ₹149.75, yet comfortably above its 52-week low of ₹84.75. This price action underscores a persistent downward pressure, consistent with the broader bearish technical backdrop.

Technical Trend and Indicator Analysis

The overall technical trend has shifted from bearish to mildly bearish, signalling a tentative easing of downward momentum but no definitive reversal. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a mixed picture: the weekly MACD is mildly bullish, suggesting some short-term positive momentum, while the monthly MACD remains mildly bearish, indicating that longer-term momentum is still under pressure.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) offers no clear signal on either the weekly or monthly charts, hovering in a neutral zone that neither confirms overbought nor oversold conditions. This lack of directional RSI momentum suggests that the stock is consolidating, awaiting a catalyst to break decisively in either direction.

Bollinger Bands on both weekly and monthly timeframes remain bearish, with the price frequently testing the lower band. This pattern typically signals sustained selling pressure and heightened volatility, which may deter risk-averse investors.

Daily moving averages continue to trend bearish, reinforcing the short-term downtrend. The stock price remains below key moving averages, which often act as resistance levels in a declining market.

Additional Technical Signals

The Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator also reflects this duality: weekly readings are mildly bullish, hinting at some short-term recovery attempts, while monthly readings remain mildly bearish, consistent with the MACD’s longer-term outlook. Dow Theory and On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicators show no clear trend on either weekly or monthly charts, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction among market participants.

Comparative Returns and Market Context

When compared with the Sensex, GPT Infraprojects Ltd has underperformed over recent periods. The stock’s one-week return stands at -0.98%, slightly better than the Sensex’s -1.00%. However, over one month, the stock declined by 5.16%, exceeding the Sensex’s 4.67% loss. Year-to-date, GPT Infraprojects has fallen 9.28%, nearly double the Sensex’s 5.28% decline. Over the past year, the stock’s return was -7.12%, contrasting sharply with the Sensex’s positive 5.16% gain.

Longer-term performance remains impressive, with three-year and five-year returns of 273.25% and 859.91% respectively, far outpacing the Sensex’s 35.67% and 74.40% gains. Even over a decade, GPT Infraprojects has delivered a robust 231.64% return, slightly above the Sensex’s 224.57%. This historical outperformance highlights the company’s growth potential despite recent technical setbacks.

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Mojo Score and Analyst Ratings

MarketsMOJO has recently downgraded GPT Infraprojects Ltd’s Mojo Grade from Sell to Strong Sell as of 30 Jan 2026, reflecting deteriorating technical and fundamental outlooks. The current Mojo Score stands at a low 28.0, signalling weak momentum and unfavourable risk-reward dynamics. The Market Cap Grade is rated 3, indicating a mid-tier market capitalisation relative to peers in the construction sector.

This downgrade aligns with the bearish signals from moving averages and Bollinger Bands, reinforcing the cautious stance investors should adopt. The Strong Sell rating suggests that the stock may face further downside pressure unless there is a significant improvement in technical indicators or fundamental catalysts.

Sector and Industry Considerations

Operating within the construction industry, GPT Infraprojects Ltd faces sector-specific headwinds including fluctuating raw material costs, regulatory challenges, and cyclical demand patterns. The construction sector has broadly experienced volatility in recent months, with many stocks exhibiting mixed technical signals similar to GPT Infraprojects.

Investors should weigh these sectoral risks alongside the company’s individual technical profile. The mildly bullish weekly MACD and KST indicators may offer short-term trading opportunities, but the prevailing monthly bearishness and negative moving averages counsel prudence.

Outlook and Investor Implications

Given the current technical landscape, GPT Infraprojects Ltd appears to be in a consolidation phase with a bearish bias. The absence of strong RSI signals and neutral Dow Theory and OBV trends suggest that the stock is lacking clear directional momentum. Investors should monitor key support levels near ₹101 and resistance around the daily moving averages near ₹106 to gauge potential breakout or breakdown scenarios.

Long-term investors may find value in the company’s impressive multi-year returns, but short-term traders should be cautious given the mixed technical signals and recent downgrade to Strong Sell. A sustained move above the weekly MACD bullish zone or a reversal in Bollinger Bands could signal a change in trend, but until then, the technical indicators favour a defensive approach.

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Summary

GPT Infraprojects Ltd’s technical parameters reveal a stock caught between bearish longer-term momentum and mildly bullish short-term signals. The recent downgrade to Strong Sell by MarketsMOJO, combined with a low Mojo Score of 28.0, underscores the challenges ahead. While the stock’s historical returns remain impressive, current technical indicators such as bearish moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and monthly MACD suggest caution.

Investors should closely monitor weekly MACD and KST oscillators for signs of a sustained recovery, while also considering sectoral headwinds and broader market trends. Until a clear technical reversal emerges, a defensive stance is advisable for those holding or considering exposure to GPT Infraprojects Ltd.

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