Technical Trend Overview
The stock’s technical trend has transitioned from a clearly bearish stance to a mildly bearish one, signalling a potential easing of downward pressure but not yet a definitive reversal. The daily moving averages remain mildly bearish, with the current price at ₹299.00, slightly down from the previous close of ₹299.40. This marginal decline of 0.13% on 6 Feb 2026 underscores a cautious market sentiment.
Examining the weekly and monthly technical indicators provides further insight. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a mildly bullish signal on the weekly chart, suggesting some short-term positive momentum. However, the monthly MACD remains bearish, indicating that longer-term momentum has yet to improve significantly.
Momentum Indicators: RSI and KST
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly timeframes currently shows no clear signal, hovering in neutral zones without indicating overbought or oversold conditions. This neutrality suggests that the stock is not experiencing extreme price pressures in either direction, leaving room for potential shifts depending on upcoming market catalysts.
Meanwhile, the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator presents a mildly bullish reading on the weekly chart but remains bearish on the monthly scale. This divergence between short-term and long-term momentum indicators highlights the stock’s current technical uncertainty, with short-term traders possibly finding some opportunities while long-term investors remain cautious.
Bollinger Bands and Volume Trends
Bollinger Bands on both weekly and monthly charts are bearish, indicating that the stock price is trading near the lower band and suggesting increased volatility with a downward bias. This technical setup often signals that the stock could be under selling pressure or consolidating after a decline.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) analysis shows no discernible trend on either weekly or monthly charts, implying that volume is not currently confirming price movements. This lack of volume support may limit the strength of any potential rallies in the near term.
Price Performance Relative to Sensex
Gujarat State Petronet’s price performance over various periods reveals a mixed picture when compared with the benchmark Sensex. Over the past week, the stock declined by 1.95%, contrasting with the Sensex’s 0.91% gain. The one-month return shows a sharper divergence, with GSPC down 7.10% against the Sensex’s 2.49% loss, indicating the stock has underperformed even in a weak market environment.
Year-to-date, the stock’s return of -2.40% slightly trails the Sensex’s -2.24%, while the one-year performance is notably weaker, with GSPC down 12.62% compared to the Sensex’s 6.44% gain. Over longer horizons, the stock has delivered positive returns but still lags the broader market, with a three-year return of 15.02% versus Sensex’s 36.94%, and a five-year return of 44.69% against 64.22% for the index.
These figures highlight the stock’s relative underperformance, which may be a factor in the recent downgrade to a Sell rating by MarketsMOJO on 1 Feb 2025, moving from a previous Hold stance.
Momentum just kicked in! This Small Cap from the Auto - Trucks sector entered our list with explosive short-term signals. Catch the wave while it's still building!
- - Fresh momentum detected
- - Explosive short-term signals
- - Early wave positioning
Moving Averages and Dow Theory Signals
The daily moving averages remain mildly bearish, with the stock price hovering just below key short-term averages. This suggests that while the immediate downtrend has softened, the stock has yet to establish a clear upward trajectory. The lack of a confirmed crossover above these averages limits bullish conviction among technical traders.
Dow Theory analysis on both weekly and monthly charts shows no clear trend, indicating indecision in the broader market context for this stock. This absence of directional confirmation further complicates the outlook, as investors await more definitive signals.
Support and Resistance Levels
Gujarat State Petronet’s 52-week high stands at ₹360.00, while the 52-week low is ₹261.55. The current price near ₹299.00 places it closer to the lower end of this range, suggesting limited upside in the near term unless momentum indicators improve significantly. Today’s intraday high of ₹300.90 and low of ₹297.45 reflect a narrow trading band, consistent with consolidation amid uncertainty.
Mojo Score and Market Capitalisation
The company’s Mojo Score is 38.0, categorised as a Sell, reflecting weak technical and fundamental parameters. This score was downgraded from Hold on 1 Feb 2025, signalling deteriorating investor sentiment. The Market Cap Grade of 3 indicates a relatively modest market capitalisation, which may contribute to higher volatility and sensitivity to sectoral trends.
Gujarat State Petronet Ltd or something better? Our SwitchER feature analyzes this small-cap Gas stock and recommends superior alternatives based on fundamentals, momentum, and value!
- - SwitchER analysis complete
- - Superior alternatives found
- - Multi-parameter evaluation
Sectoral and Industry Context
Operating within the gas sector, Gujarat State Petronet faces sector-specific challenges including fluctuating natural gas prices, regulatory changes, and infrastructure investment cycles. The sector’s overall performance has been mixed, with some peers showing stronger momentum and better technical setups. This context emphasises the importance of monitoring sector trends alongside company-specific technical signals.
Investor Takeaway
For investors, the current mildly bearish technical trend combined with mixed momentum indicators suggests caution. The weekly mildly bullish MACD and KST readings offer some short-term optimism, but the persistent bearish monthly signals and neutral RSI imply that a sustained recovery is not yet confirmed.
Given the stock’s underperformance relative to the Sensex over multiple timeframes and the recent downgrade to a Sell rating, investors should weigh the risks carefully. Those considering entry may prefer to wait for clearer confirmation of trend reversal, such as a sustained break above key moving averages or improvement in volume trends.
Long-term investors should also consider the company’s fundamentals and sector outlook alongside technical signals to make informed decisions.
Conclusion
Gujarat State Petronet Ltd’s technical parameters reveal a stock at a crossroads, with short-term momentum showing tentative signs of improvement amid a broader bearish backdrop. The mixed signals from MACD, RSI, KST, and moving averages underscore the need for vigilance and a balanced approach. While the downgrade to Sell reflects current challenges, the stock’s technical profile suggests that investors should monitor developments closely for potential shifts in momentum.
Upgrade at special rates, valid only for the next few days. Claim Your Special Rate →
