Key Events This Week
09 Feb: Stock surges 4.56% on strong volume and market rally
10 Feb: Q3 FY26 results show 22% profit decline despite revenue growth; upgraded to Hold rating
10 Feb: Technical momentum shifts from bearish to mildly bearish amid mixed indicators
12-13 Feb: Stock retreats over two sessions, closing the week slightly lower but outperforming Sensex
09 February 2026: Strong Start Amid Broad Market Rally
Gulf Oil Lubricants began the week on a robust note, surging 4.56% to close at Rs.1,166.05 on 9 February 2026. This gain was significantly higher than the Sensex’s 1.04% rise to 37,113.23 points, signalling strong buying interest. The stock’s volume of 974 shares, while modest, accompanied this price jump, suggesting renewed investor confidence. The broader market rally provided a supportive backdrop, with Gulf Oil outperforming the benchmark substantially on the day.
10 February 2026: Quarterly Results and Rating Upgrade Drive Momentum
On 10 February, Gulf Oil Lubricants closed at Rs.1,181.80, up 1.35% from the previous day, continuing its upward trajectory. This followed the release of Q3 FY26 results, which revealed a 22% decline in profit despite revenue growth, attributed to margin contraction. Earnings per share stood at Rs.15.51, marking the lowest quarterly EPS in recent periods. Despite this, the company’s strong fundamentals and market position were recognised with an upgrade from 'Sell' to 'Hold' by MarketsMOJO, reflecting improved technical and valuation metrics.
The upgrade was underpinned by a shift in technical momentum from bearish to mildly bearish, signalling potential stabilisation. Key indicators such as MACD and RSI presented mixed signals, but the overall trend suggested cautious optimism. The stock’s intraday high reached Rs.1,167.25, with a low of Rs.1,116.00, closing well above the previous week’s close. This technical and fundamental reassessment helped sustain the stock’s positive momentum despite the profit dip.
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11 February 2026: Marginal Gains Amid Mixed Technical Signals
The stock edged up by 0.39% to Rs.1,186.35 on 11 February, marking the week’s highest close. Volume increased to 2,535 shares, indicating moderate trading interest. The Sensex also rose marginally by 0.13% to 37,256.72 points. Gulf Oil’s technical indicators remained mixed, with the MACD still bearish on weekly charts but mildly bearish monthly, and RSI neutral. Bollinger Bands and moving averages suggested limited downside risk but no clear bullish breakout. This consolidation phase reflected investor caution following the recent upgrade and quarterly results.
12 February 2026: Profit Taking and Market Weakness Weigh on Price
On 12 February, Gulf Oil Lubricants reversed course, falling 2.43% to close at Rs.1,157.50 on increased volume of 3,262 shares. This decline coincided with a broader market pullback, as the Sensex dropped 0.56% to 37,049.40 points. The stock’s retreat reflected profit-taking after the prior gains and uncertainty over margin pressures highlighted in the quarterly results. Technical momentum remained mildly bearish, with no strong signals of reversal, suggesting a cautious stance among traders.
13 February 2026: Continued Decline Amid Broader Market Sell-Off
The week ended with Gulf Oil slipping another 2.84% to Rs.1,124.60 on low volume of 653 shares. The Sensex experienced a sharper decline of 1.40%, closing at 36,532.48 points. Despite the stock’s fall, it outperformed the benchmark over the week, supported by its relative strength earlier in the week and the recent technical upgrade. The stock remains below its 52-week high of Rs.1,331.20 but comfortably above the 52-week low of Rs.972.45, indicating a trading range with potential for recovery if positive catalysts emerge.
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Daily Price Comparison: Gulf Oil Lubricants vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rs.1,166.05 | +4.56% | 37,113.23 | +1.04% |
| 2026-02-10 | Rs.1,181.80 | +1.35% | 37,207.34 | +0.25% |
| 2026-02-11 | Rs.1,186.35 | +0.39% | 37,256.72 | +0.13% |
| 2026-02-12 | Rs.1,157.50 | -2.43% | 37,049.40 | -0.56% |
| 2026-02-13 | Rs.1,124.60 | -2.84% | 36,532.48 | -1.40% |
Key Takeaways from the Week
Positive Signals: Gulf Oil Lubricants demonstrated resilience by outperforming the Sensex with a weekly gain of 0.84% against the benchmark’s 0.54% decline. The upgrade to a Hold rating by MarketsMOJO reflects improved technical and valuation metrics, signalling a stabilisation in price momentum. The company’s strong market position, zero debt, and high return on equity of 23.09% underpin its fundamental strength despite flat quarterly earnings.
Cautionary Notes: The 22% profit decline in Q3 FY26 due to margin contraction highlights near-term earnings pressure. Rising interest expenses, up 71.07% in the last six months, may further strain profitability. Technical indicators remain mixed, with MACD and KST oscillators still bearish weekly, and no clear volume confirmation from On-Balance Volume. The stock’s recent retreat over the last two sessions suggests profit-taking and market caution persist.
Conclusion: A Week of Mixed Signals but Relative Strength
Gulf Oil Lubricants India Ltd’s week was characterised by a strong start driven by positive market sentiment and a technical upgrade, followed by profit-taking amid mixed earnings results and cautious technical indicators. The stock’s ability to outperform the Sensex despite broader market weakness underscores its relative strength and solid fundamentals. However, the flat quarterly performance and rising costs warrant careful monitoring. The Hold rating reflects a balanced view, suggesting investors maintain positions while awaiting clearer signs of sustained earnings recovery and technical confirmation.
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