Key Events This Week
Feb 09: Technical momentum shifts amid mixed indicator signals
Feb 10: Downgrade to Strong Sell amid weak fundamentals and mixed technicals
Feb 13: Week closes at Rs.21.70 (-4.82%)
9 February 2026: Technical Momentum Shifts Amid Mixed Signals
On Monday, 9 February, H T Media Ltd opened the week with a decline, closing at Rs.22.08, down 3.16% from the previous Friday’s close of Rs.22.80. This drop contrasted with a strong Sensex gain of 1.04% that day, which closed at 37,113.23. The stock’s technical momentum showed a subtle shift from a predominantly bearish stance to a mildly bearish outlook, reflecting mixed signals from key indicators such as MACD, RSI, and moving averages.
The stock traded within a relatively narrow intraday range, signalling moderate volatility. Despite the technical momentum improvement, the daily moving averages remained bearish, and the stock was trading below key resistance levels. The weekly RSI turned bullish, suggesting some strengthening, but the monthly RSI remained neutral, indicating caution among longer-term investors.
10 February 2026: Downgrade to Strong Sell Amid Weak Fundamentals
On Tuesday, 10 February, the stock marginally recovered, closing at Rs.22.20, up 0.54% from the previous day, while the Sensex also advanced by 0.25% to 37,207.34. However, this modest gain was overshadowed by a significant downgrade from MarketsMOJO, which lowered H T Media Ltd’s rating from Sell to Strong Sell. The downgrade was driven by weak fundamentals, including a low average Return on Equity (ROE) of 0.28% and poor debt servicing ability, with an EBIT to interest ratio of -2.35.
The company’s recent financial performance was flat, with Q3 FY25-26 earnings per share at a negative Rs.-1.00 and cash reserves at a low Rs.54.72 crores for the half-year. Despite a one-year stock return of 8.14%, the valuation was considered risky, with a PEG ratio of zero due to extraordinary profit growth not reflected in the share price. The absence of domestic mutual fund holdings further highlighted market scepticism.
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11 February 2026: Continued Weakness Amid High Volume
On Wednesday, 11 February, H T Media Ltd’s stock price declined further to Rs.21.73, down 2.12% from the previous close, while the Sensex inched up 0.13% to 37,256.72. The trading volume surged to 15,473 shares, indicating increased selling pressure. The technical outlook remained mixed, with weekly MACD and KST indicators bearish, while monthly MACD and KST showed mild bullishness. The Bollinger Bands suggested persistent downside risk, and the stock continued to trade below key moving averages.
12 February 2026: Market Weakness Adds Pressure
Thursday saw the stock edge down to Rs.21.62, a 0.51% decline, while the Sensex fell 0.56% to 37,049.40. Volume was notably low at 955 shares, reflecting subdued trading interest. The technical indicators continued to signal caution, with bearish momentum dominating daily and weekly charts. The Dow Theory analysis showed no clear weekly trend but a mildly bullish monthly trend, underscoring the stock’s uncertain near-term direction.
13 February 2026: Week Closes with Slight Recovery Amid Broader Market Decline
On Friday, 13 February, H T Media Ltd closed at Rs.21.70, up 0.37% from the previous day, but still down 4.82% for the week. The Sensex declined sharply by 1.40% to 36,532.48, reflecting broader market weakness. The stock’s volume rose to 10,645 shares, suggesting renewed interest despite the overall downtrend. Technical signals remained mixed, with weekly RSI bullish but daily moving averages bearish. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) was mildly bearish, indicating limited accumulation.
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rs.22.08 | -3.16% | 37,113.23 | +1.04% |
| 2026-02-10 | Rs.22.20 | +0.54% | 37,207.34 | +0.25% |
| 2026-02-11 | Rs.21.73 | -2.12% | 37,256.72 | +0.13% |
| 2026-02-12 | Rs.21.62 | -0.51% | 37,049.40 | -0.56% |
| 2026-02-13 | Rs.21.70 | +0.37% | 36,532.48 | -1.40% |
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Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) turned bullish, and monthly MACD and KST indicators showed mild bullishness, suggesting some underlying support and potential for stabilisation. The technical momentum shifted from strongly bearish to mildly bearish, indicating a tentative improvement in price action.
Cautionary Signals: Despite these positives, daily moving averages remain bearish, and the On-Balance Volume (OBV) is mildly bearish, reflecting limited buying interest. The company’s fundamentals remain weak, with a low ROE of 0.28%, poor debt servicing ability, and flat recent financial results. The MarketsMOJO downgrade to Strong Sell underscores elevated risks and limited upside potential.
Comparative Performance: The stock underperformed the Sensex significantly this week, falling 4.82% compared to the benchmark’s 0.54% decline. Over longer periods, H T Media’s returns lag the Sensex, highlighting structural challenges and sector headwinds.
Conclusion
H T Media Ltd’s performance in the week ending 13 February 2026 reflects a complex interplay of mixed technical signals and deteriorating fundamentals. The downgrade to a Strong Sell rating by MarketsMOJO highlights the company’s ongoing financial challenges and valuation concerns. While some technical indicators hint at a possible bottoming process, the prevailing bearish momentum and weak financial metrics suggest caution. The stock’s underperformance relative to the Sensex and absence of institutional support further reinforce the elevated risk profile. Investors should closely monitor any changes in core financial performance and technical trends before considering exposure to this stock.
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