Price Movement and Recent Performance
As of 25 Feb 2026, HDFC AMC closed at ₹2,686.00, down from the previous close of ₹2,726.95. The stock traded within a range of ₹2,667.65 to ₹2,726.95 during the day, remaining below its 52-week high of ₹2,965.00 but comfortably above the 52-week low of ₹1,762.53. This price action reflects a degree of consolidation after a strong rally over the past year.
Examining returns relative to the benchmark Sensex reveals a mixed but generally favourable trend for HDFC AMC. Over the past week, the stock declined by 6.18%, underperforming the Sensex’s 1.47% drop. However, over longer periods, the stock has significantly outperformed the benchmark: a 10.4% gain in the last month compared to Sensex’s 0.84%, a 42.3% rise over one year versus Sensex’s 10.44%, and an impressive 195.98% return over three years against Sensex’s 38.28%. These figures underscore the stock’s strong fundamental and market positioning despite short-term volatility.
Technical Trend Shift: From Mildly Bullish to Sideways
Technical analysis indicates that HDFC AMC’s trend has shifted from mildly bullish to sideways. This suggests that while the stock had been showing upward momentum, recent price action has stalled, leading to a consolidation phase. Such sideways movement often precedes a significant directional move, making it crucial to monitor key technical indicators for clues on future momentum.
The daily moving averages currently signal a mildly bearish trend, indicating short-term selling pressure. This contrasts with weekly and monthly indicators, which present a more nuanced picture.
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MACD and Momentum Oscillators
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a mixed signal for HDFC AMC. On a weekly basis, the MACD remains bullish, suggesting that medium-term momentum is still positive. However, the monthly MACD is mildly bearish, indicating some weakening in longer-term momentum. This divergence between weekly and monthly MACD readings highlights the stock’s current indecision phase.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts shows no clear signal, hovering in neutral territory. This lack of extreme RSI readings suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, consistent with the sideways trend observed.
Bollinger Bands provide further insight: weekly bands are mildly bullish, indicating that price is near the upper band and volatility is moderate, while monthly bands are bullish, signalling a longer-term upward bias. These contrasting signals reinforce the notion of short-term consolidation within a broader positive trend.
Moving Averages and KST Indicator
Daily moving averages have turned mildly bearish, reflecting recent price weakness and short-term selling pressure. This is a cautionary sign for traders looking for immediate upside. Conversely, the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator, which measures momentum across multiple timeframes, is mildly bullish on the weekly chart and bullish on the monthly chart. This suggests that despite short-term softness, the underlying momentum remains constructive over longer periods.
Volume and Dow Theory Signals
On-Balance Volume (OBV) analysis shows no clear trend on the weekly timeframe but is bullish on the monthly chart. This indicates that accumulation is occurring over the longer term, supporting the stock’s fundamental strength. Dow Theory assessments, however, are mildly bearish on both weekly and monthly charts, signalling some caution as the stock may be undergoing a corrective phase or consolidation.
Market Capitalisation and Mojo Ratings
HDFC AMC holds a Market Cap Grade of 1, reflecting its status as a large-cap leader in the capital markets sector. The company’s Mojo Score stands at 71.0, with a recent upgrade in its Mojo Grade from Hold to Buy as of 23 Feb 2026. This upgrade reflects improved technical and fundamental outlooks, signalling increased investor confidence. Despite a recent day decline of 1.50%, the overall rating supports a positive medium-term view.
Comparative Performance and Sector Context
When compared to the Sensex, HDFC AMC has demonstrated superior returns over multiple time horizons, particularly over one, three, and five years. This outperformance is notable given the capital markets sector’s cyclical nature and recent volatility. The stock’s ability to maintain a bullish monthly Bollinger Band and KST reading suggests it remains well-positioned within its sector, even as short-term technical indicators signal caution.
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Outlook and Investor Considerations
Investors should approach HDFC AMC with a balanced perspective. The shift from a mildly bullish to sideways technical trend suggests a period of consolidation, which may offer opportunities for accumulation at current levels. The mixed signals from MACD, RSI, and moving averages imply that short-term volatility could persist, but the longer-term momentum remains intact as evidenced by bullish monthly indicators and strong relative returns.
Given the company’s strong fundamentals, large market capitalisation, and recent Mojo Grade upgrade to Buy, HDFC AMC remains an attractive proposition for investors with a medium to long-term horizon. However, traders should monitor daily moving averages and Dow Theory signals closely for signs of renewed momentum or further correction.
In summary, HDFC AMC’s technical landscape is characterised by a consolidation phase amid underlying strength. This nuanced picture calls for careful analysis and timing, with a focus on key technical levels and volume trends to guide entry and exit decisions.
Summary of Key Technical Indicators:
- MACD: Weekly Bullish, Monthly Mildly Bearish
- RSI: Neutral on Weekly and Monthly
- Bollinger Bands: Weekly Mildly Bullish, Monthly Bullish
- Moving Averages: Daily Mildly Bearish
- KST: Weekly Mildly Bullish, Monthly Bullish
- Dow Theory: Weekly and Monthly Mildly Bearish
- OBV: Weekly No Trend, Monthly Bullish
These indicators collectively suggest a stock in a phase of technical consolidation, with longer-term momentum still supportive of a positive outlook.
Conclusion
HDFC Asset Management Company Ltd’s recent technical parameter changes reflect a complex interplay of momentum and trend signals. While short-term indicators show mild bearishness and sideways movement, longer-term technicals and fundamental metrics remain robust. This duality presents both caution and opportunity for investors. Monitoring evolving technical signals alongside fundamental developments will be key to navigating the stock’s trajectory in the coming months.
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