Key Events This Week
29 Dec: Stock opens at Rs.5,564.90 with initial decline
30 Dec: Robust value trading and institutional interest amid market volatility
30 Dec: Significant call option activity signalling bullish sentiment
2 Jan: Strong upward momentum with record derivatives open interest surge
2 Jan: Heavy put option activity indicating mixed market signals
2 Jan: Week closes at Rs.5,930.60 (+5.24%) outperforming Sensex
29 December 2025: Opening Week with a Slight Decline
Hero MotoCorp began the week on a cautious note, closing at Rs.5,564.90, down 1.25% from the previous close. This decline was in line with the Sensex’s 0.41% drop to 37,140.23. The stock’s volume was moderate at 18,355 shares, reflecting some initial profit-taking or consolidation after prior gains.
30 December 2025: Institutional Interest Spurs Recovery and Call Option Activity
On 30 December, Hero MotoCorp demonstrated a strong rebound, closing at Rs.5,711.85, up 2.64% on the day, significantly outperforming the Sensex which was nearly flat, down 0.01%. The stock emerged as one of the most actively traded by value, with a volume of 25,169 shares and a traded value of ₹45,081.26 lakhs, highlighting renewed institutional confidence amid market volatility.
Investor participation was further evidenced by a slight increase in delivery volumes to 3.94 lakh shares on 29 December, a 0.24% rise over the five-day average, signalling genuine accumulation rather than short-term trading. Technically, the stock traded above its 100-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a medium- to long-term bullish trend despite short-term consolidation below shorter moving averages.
Derivatives activity on this day was notable, with call options at the 5,650 and 5,700 strike prices dominating volumes. The 5,700 strike call led with 4,614 contracts traded and an open interest of 1,255, reflecting investor optimism for a near-term upside. This bullish positioning was supported by the stock’s outperformance of the automobile sector’s 1.07% gain and the broader market’s muted performance.
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31 December 2025 to 1 January 2026: Steady Gains and Technical Strength
Hero MotoCorp continued its upward momentum through the year-end, closing at Rs.5,770.25 (+1.02%) on 31 December and Rs.5,844.90 (+1.29%) on 1 January 2026. These gains outpaced the Sensex’s respective rises of 0.83% and 0.14%, underscoring the stock’s relative strength. Volumes were moderate, with 13,207 shares traded on 31 December and 9,153 on 1 January, while delivery volumes on 1 January declined sharply by 70.74% to 1.8 lakh shares, suggesting a shift towards more speculative or intraday trading activity.
Technically, the stock began trading above all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, and 50-day, signalling a strong bullish trend. This technical breakout was supported by sustained institutional interest and positive market sentiment heading into the new year.
2 January 2026: Surge in Derivatives Activity and Mixed Market Signals
The stock closed the week at Rs.5,930.60, up 1.47% on the day and marking a cumulative 7.81% gain over the last four sessions. Hero MotoCorp outperformed the Sensex’s 0.81% rise and the automobile sector’s 0.55% gain, reaching an intraday high of Rs.6,029.50. The total traded volume was robust at 47,909 shares, with a traded value of ₹2,109.53 crores, reflecting strong liquidity and investor interest.
Derivatives market activity was particularly intense, with open interest surging by 17.51% to 65,061 contracts. Call option volumes were concentrated at strike prices of 6,000 and 6,200, with 15,242 and 8,154 contracts traded respectively, signalling bullish positioning. However, put option activity was also elevated, especially at the 5,900 and 6,000 strikes, indicating a cautious hedging approach amid mixed market signals.
Despite the strong price gains and derivatives interest, delivery volumes remained subdued, reinforcing the notion that short-term traders and option players are driving recent moves rather than long-term holders. The stock’s Mojo Score remained steady at 78.0 with a Buy grade, reflecting a positive but measured outlook.
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Daily Price Comparison: Hero MotoCorp vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Rs.5,564.90 | -1.25% | 37,140.23 | -0.41% |
| 2025-12-30 | Rs.5,711.85 | +2.64% | 37,135.83 | -0.01% |
| 2025-12-31 | Rs.5,770.25 | +1.02% | 37,443.41 | +0.83% |
| 2026-01-01 | Rs.5,844.90 | +1.29% | 37,497.10 | +0.14% |
| 2026-01-02 | Rs.5,930.60 | +1.47% | 37,799.57 | +0.81% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: Hero MotoCorp’s 5.24% weekly gain significantly outpaced the Sensex’s 1.35%, driven by strong institutional interest and active derivatives market participation. The stock’s technical profile improved markedly, trading above all key moving averages by week’s end, signalling a robust bullish trend. Call option volumes and open interest surged, reflecting investor optimism for further upside. The stock’s liquidity remained ample, supporting sizeable trades without price disruption.
Cautionary Notes: Despite price gains, delivery volumes declined sharply on 1 January and remained subdued on 2 January, suggesting that short-term traders and option players are driving recent moves rather than long-term holders. Elevated put option activity at near-the-money strikes indicates hedging or cautious positioning amid mixed market signals. The Mojo Grade downgrade from Strong Buy to Buy reflects a more measured outlook, advising vigilance amid potential volatility or sector headwinds.
Conclusion
Hero MotoCorp Ltd. demonstrated a strong and sustained upward momentum over the week ending 2 January 2026, supported by robust institutional participation and active derivatives market engagement. The stock’s outperformance relative to the Sensex and automobile sector highlights its resilience and appeal amid evolving market conditions. However, the divergence between price strength and declining delivery volumes, coupled with heavy put option activity, suggests a nuanced investor stance balancing optimism with risk management. As the market approaches the January expiry, monitoring open interest trends, delivery volumes, and technical indicators will be crucial to assess the sustainability of this momentum. Overall, Hero MotoCorp remains a key stock to watch, combining solid fundamentals with dynamic market positioning.
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