Stock Price Movement and Market Context
The stock recorded an intraday low of Rs.599.9, down 3.72% from its previous close, while also touching an intraday high of Rs.636, representing a 2.08% gain during the session. Despite this intraday volatility, the closing price firmly established a new 52-week low. The day’s decline of 1.50% underperformed the Tour, Travel Related Services sector by 2.47%, reflecting sector-wide pressures.
IRCTC’s share price currently trades below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling a sustained downward trend. This technical positioning suggests persistent selling pressure and a cautious market stance towards the stock.
On the broader market front, the Sensex reversed sharply after a positive start, falling by 1,167.32 points to close at 81,221.65, a decline of 1.27%. The index remains below its 50-day moving average, although the 50-day average itself is above the 200-day average, indicating mixed medium-term market signals.
Performance Overview: One Year and Longer Term
Over the past year, IRCTC’s stock has declined by 21.31%, a stark contrast to the Sensex’s 6.14% gain during the same period. The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.838.35, highlighting the extent of the recent correction. This underperformance extends beyond the last year, with the stock lagging the BSE500 index over the last three years, one year, and three months.
Despite the share price decline, the company’s profits have increased by 10.8% over the past year, indicating some resilience in earnings. However, the price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio stands at 3.5, suggesting that the stock’s valuation remains elevated relative to its earnings growth.
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Valuation and Financial Metrics
IRCTC’s valuation metrics reflect a premium positioning. The company’s return on equity (ROE) averages 32.71%, with a recent figure of 31.3%, indicating strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the price-to-book value ratio is 11.7, which is considered very expensive compared to typical market standards.
The return on capital employed (ROCE) for the half-year ended September 2025 was 41.39%, the lowest recorded in recent periods, which may have contributed to the cautious sentiment among investors. The company’s flat results in the September 2025 quarter further weighed on the stock’s momentum.
Despite the high valuation, IRCTC trades at a discount relative to its peers’ historical averages, suggesting some relative value within the sector. The company’s debt-to-equity ratio remains at zero on average, underscoring a conservative capital structure with no reliance on debt financing.
Sector Position and Market Capitalisation
With a market capitalisation of approximately Rs.49,844 crore, IRCTC is the largest company in the Tour, Travel Related Services sector, accounting for 56.60% of the sector’s total market value. Its annual sales of Rs.4,798.86 crore represent 25.35% of the industry’s revenue, highlighting its dominant market presence.
The company benefits from strong institutional ownership, with 21.21% of shares held by institutional investors. This level of institutional holding reflects confidence in the company’s fundamentals from investors with significant analytical resources.
Summary of Ratings and Market Sentiment
MarketsMOJO currently assigns IRCTC a Mojo Score of 44.0 and a Mojo Grade of Sell, a downgrade from the previous Hold rating as of 31 December 2025. The market cap grade stands at 2, indicating a mid-tier valuation relative to market capitalisation benchmarks.
The downgrade reflects the combination of recent price weakness, flat quarterly results, and valuation concerns despite the company’s strong long-term fundamentals and sector leadership.
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Conclusion
Indian Railway Catering & Tourism Corporation Ltd’s recent fall to a 52-week low of Rs.599.9 reflects a combination of subdued near-term performance, valuation pressures, and broader market weakness. While the company maintains strong long-term fundamentals, including robust profitability metrics and a dominant sector position, the current market environment and recent financial results have contributed to a cautious outlook among investors.
The stock’s underperformance relative to the Sensex and its sector peers over the past year and longer periods underscores the challenges faced in sustaining momentum amid evolving market conditions. The prevailing technical indicators and rating downgrades further highlight the need for careful analysis of the stock’s current valuation and performance metrics.
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